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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 30 Jan 2026 at 00:28:57

Take profit at 141.4067 (0.41 %) and Stop Loss at 142.2816 (0.21 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 30 Jan 2026 at 00:28:57

With 27.4307 MSTR at 141.99$ per unit.

Position size of 3894.8803 $

Take profit at 141.4067 (0.41 %) and Stop Loss at 142.2816 (0.21 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.57
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.62
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.7
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.800732

15m : -0.057317

1H : 0.011219

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.19
  4. atr: 0.1944295955
Details
  1. score: 1.19
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 142.442
  4. ema21 : 146.039
  5. ema50 : 151.739
  6. ema100 : 155.481
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00317863
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.024628
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0375652
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.086774
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.440841
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.455105
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.310745
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.188211
  17. rsi : 0.291652
  18. adx : 0.547585
  19. kc_percentage : -0.0104651
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0518608
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.768098
  22. volume_ema1 : 390617.56847957
  23. volume_ema2 : 1684413.5909065
  24. chop : 50.017
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 141.379
  28. ema21 : 141.608
  29. ema50 : 143.59
  30. ema100 : 147.218
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00432003
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00161867
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0138028
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0355152
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0192297
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0464618
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0867134
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0928716
  41. rsi : 0.467964
  42. adx : 0.320213
  43. kc_percentage : 0.681163
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0164047
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.958578
  46. volume_ema1 : 15499.482914001
  47. volume_ema2 : 374190.29077968
  48. chop : 40.8679
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 141.686
  52. ema21 : 141.502
  53. ema50 : 141.524
  54. ema100 : 142.123
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00213892
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00130032
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000154336
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.000939712
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00676407
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0219757
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00549126
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00709849
  65. rsi : 0.621032
  66. adx : 0.202023
  67. kc_percentage : 1.18758
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00484258
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.951832
  70. volume_ema1 : 1046.0418588645
  71. volume_ema2 : 21716.645714573
  72. chop : 53.9832
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    83272.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0013182
  78. 5m_price: 
    83162.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.800732
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    85003.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0244606
  83. 15m_price: 
    82924.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.057317
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87178.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0460682
  88. 1H_price: 
    83162.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.011219
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 09:00:00
                    [1] => 158.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
                    [1] => 163.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
                    [1] => 162.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                    [1] => 161.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:00:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -14.206397103199
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9473531754653
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 39
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 13.983633861974
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 06:00:00
                    [1] => 157.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 07:00:00
                    [1] => 158.22
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 11:00:00
                    [1] => 142.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 12:15:00
                    [1] => 145.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 18:30:00
                    [1] => 144.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:15:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 23:15:00
                    [1] => 142.25
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.063268892794378
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9473531754653
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0125280614092
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 18:00:00
                    [1] => 144.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 18:40:00
                    [1] => 144.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 20:00:00
                    [1] => 143.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
                    [1] => 138.42
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:20:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 22:20:00
                    [1] => 140.87
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 22:45:00
                    [1] => 140.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 23:25:00
                    [1] => 142.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 23:55:00
                    [1] => 141.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:25:00
                    [1] => 142.16
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.48063330506079
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.48063330506079
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.48%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.48%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.3884
1.68%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.3167
2.35%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 18:00:00 144.3 ↑ High
2026-01-29 18:40:00 144.67 ↑ High
2026-01-29 20:00:00 143.82 ↑ High
2026-01-29 20:40:00 138.42 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 21:20:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 22:20:00 140.87 ↑ High
2026-01-29 22:45:00 140.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 23:25:00 142.25 ↑ High
2026-01-29 23:55:00 141.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:25:00 142.16 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.95%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.01%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.9384
11.20%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.3167
2.35%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 06:00:00 157.61 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 07:00:00 158.22 ↑ High
2026-01-29 11:00:00 142.07 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 12:15:00 145.28 ↑ High
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:15:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:00:00 144.72 ↑ High
2026-01-29 18:30:00 144.67 ↑ High
2026-01-29 21:15:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 23:15:00 142.25 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-14.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.95%
Bars Since Swing High
39 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
13.98%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
23.4184
16.46%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.3167
2.35%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 09:00:00 158.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-26 14:00:00 163.97 ↑ High
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 16:00:00 162.48 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 161.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 09:00:00 165.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 14:00:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 21:00:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 21:00:00 138.09 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Jan 2026
00:28:57		 30 Jan 2026
01:00:00		 31 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
141.99 142.2816 141.4067 2 134.45
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 141.99
  • Stop Loss: 142.2816
  • Take Profit: 141.4067

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 142.2816 - 141.99 = 0.29159999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 141.99 - 141.4067 = 0.58330000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.58330000000001 / 0.29159999999999 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3894.8803 100 27.4307 38.95
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.29159999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.29159999999999 = 27.43

Taille de position USD = 27.43 x 141.99 = 3894.79

Donc, tu peux acheter 27.43 avec un stoploss a 142.2816

Avec un position size USD de 3894.79$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 27.43 x 0.29159999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 27.43 x 0.58330000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 27.43
  • Taille de position USD 3894.79
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.41 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.21 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.41
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1972 % 96.01 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.4068
            [stop_loss] => 142.2816
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 01:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.261
            [stop_loss] => 142.2816
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 01:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.1152
            [stop_loss] => 142.2816
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 01:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.9694
            [stop_loss] => 142.2816
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 01:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.8236
            [stop_loss] => 142.2816
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 01:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.6778
            [stop_loss] => 142.2816
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 01:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.532
            [stop_loss] => 142.2816
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 01:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.3862
            [stop_loss] => 142.2816
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 01:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.2404
            [stop_loss] => 142.2816
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 01:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.0946
            [stop_loss] => 142.2816
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 01:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.9488
            [stop_loss] => 142.2816
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 01:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.85
            [max_drawdown] => 0.28
            [rr_ratio] => 10.18
            [high] => 142.27000000
            [low] => 139.14000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.01
            [mae_pct] => 0.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 10.18
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T00:28:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T02:28:57-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.19
            [max_drawdown] => 0.28
            [rr_ratio] => 14.96
            [high] => 142.27000000
            [low] => 137.80000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.95
            [mae_pct] => 0.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 14.96
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T00:28:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T07:28:57-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 142.55000000
            [high_after] => 142.27000000
            [low_before] => 138.09000000
            [low_after] => 137.80000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)