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Short Trade on ARPA

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Short Trade on ARPA 30 Jan 2026 at 02:02:46

Take profit at 0.01229 (1.21 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01252 (0.64 %)

Short Trade on ARPA

The 30 Jan 2026 at 02:02:46

With 104435.2389 ARPA at 0.01244$ per unit.

Position size of 1299.1744 $

Take profit at 0.01229 (1.21 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01252 (0.64 %)

That's a 1.87 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: -0.05
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.88
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.74
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.91
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.531402

15m : 0.163128

1H : -0.100213

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 5.106833086E-5
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0124995
  4. ema21 : 0.0127282
  5. ema50 : 0.0127551
  6. ema100 : 0.0126941
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00476608
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0179691
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00210786
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0200229
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.685189
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.351536
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.101761
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0321434
  17. rsi : 0.424223
  18. adx : 0.255342
  19. kc_percentage : 0.289285
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.106516
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.761404
  22. volume_ema1 : 52606.18683846
  23. volume_ema2 : 220483.0354609
  24. chop : 47.4152
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.0123391
  28. ema21 : 0.0123715
  29. ema50 : 0.012605
  30. ema100 : 0.0127539
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00817236
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00261551
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.018524
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0246141
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0364509
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0408646
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.104817
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0718355
  41. rsi : 0.513318
  42. adx : 0.476454
  43. kc_percentage : 0.677869
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0337335
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.793361
  46. volume_ema1 : 8736.2471107636
  47. volume_ema2 : 42277.841962148
  48. chop : 74.1078
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.0123306
  52. ema21 : 0.0123265
  53. ema50 : 0.0123398
  54. ema100 : 0.0123979
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00886826
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000328619
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00107214
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00339259
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.0361208
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0268144
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0159694
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0179398
  65. rsi : 0.612696
  66. adx : 0.186044
  67. kc_percentage : 1.03498
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0170656
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.23708
  70. volume_ema1 : 3995.3402927394
  71. volume_ema2 : 5236.9101239955
  72. chop : 32.3936
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    83085.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00508552
  78. 5m_price: 
    82663.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.531402
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    84712
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0241869
  83. 15m_price: 
    82663.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.163128
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87020.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0500694
  88. 1H_price: 
    82663.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.100213
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01266
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 18:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01292
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 03:00:00
                    [1] => 0.0123
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01257
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01215
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 18:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01245
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01198
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01505
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01202
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01257
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.5757071547421
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.5757071547421
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 05:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01439
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 07:30:00
                    [1] => 0.01505
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01353
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 10:45:00
                    [1] => 0.01441
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 14:15:00
                    [1] => 0.0132
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01278
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 20:30:00
                    [1] => 0.01202
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:15:00
                    [1] => 0.01243
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:15:00
                    [1] => 0.0122
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01257
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0327868852459
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0327868852459
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01278
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
                    [1] => 0.01202
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:25:00
                    [1] => 0.01207
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 22:10:00
                    [1] => 0.01229
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 23:30:00
                    [1] => 0.0124
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:15:00
                    [1] => 0.01232
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:25:00
                    [1] => 0.01243
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:55:00
                    [1] => 0.01241
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:25:00
                    [1] => 0.0122
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01257
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0327868852459
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0327868852459
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.03%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.03%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0003
2.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0003
2.20%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 20:00:00 0.01278 ↑ High
2026-01-29 20:40:00 0.01202 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 21:25:00 0.01207 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 22:10:00 0.01229 ↑ High
2026-01-29 23:30:00 0.0124 ↑ High
2026-01-30 00:15:00 0.01232 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:25:00 0.01243 ↑ High
2026-01-30 00:55:00 0.01241 ↑ High
2026-01-30 01:25:00 0.0122 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 02:00:00 0.01257 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.03%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.03%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0025
20.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0003
2.20%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 05:00:00 0.01439 ↑ High
2026-01-29 07:30:00 0.01505 ↑ High
2026-01-29 10:00:00 0.01353 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 10:45:00 0.01441 ↑ High
2026-01-29 14:15:00 0.0132 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 20:00:00 0.01278 ↑ High
2026-01-29 20:30:00 0.01202 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:15:00 0.01243 ↑ High
2026-01-30 01:15:00 0.0122 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 02:00:00 0.01257 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.58%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.58%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0025
20.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0003
2.52%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-27 11:00:00 0.01266 ↑ High
2026-01-27 18:00:00 0.01292 ↑ High
2026-01-28 03:00:00 0.0123 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 07:00:00 0.01257 ↑ High
2026-01-28 11:00:00 0.01215 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 18:00:00 0.01245 ↑ High
2026-01-28 21:00:00 0.01198 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 07:00:00 0.01505 ↑ High
2026-01-29 20:00:00 0.01202 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 02:00:00 0.01257 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Jan 2026
02:02:46		 30 Jan 2026
02:05:00		 2 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01244 0.01252 0.01229 1.87 0.00968
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01244
  • Stop Loss: 0.01252
  • Take Profit: 0.01229

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01252 - 0.01244 = 8.0E-5

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01244 - 0.01229 = 0.00015

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00015 / 8.0E-5 = 1.875

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1299.1744 100 104435.2389 12.99
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 8.0E-5

Taille de position = 8 / 8.0E-5 = 100000

Taille de position USD = 100000 x 0.01244 = 1244

Donc, tu peux acheter 100000 avec un stoploss a 0.01252

Avec un position size USD de 1244$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 100000 x 8.0E-5 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 100000 x 0.00015 = 15

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 100000
  • Taille de position USD 1244
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.875

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.21 % 15.67 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.64 % 8.35 $
PNL PNL %
-8.35 $ -0.64
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.135 % 487.48 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01229
            [entry_price] => 0.01244
            [stop_loss] => 0.012528
            [rr_ratio] => 1.7
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 02:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01229
            [entry_price] => 0.01244
            [stop_loss] => 0.012536
            [rr_ratio] => 1.56
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 02:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01229
            [entry_price] => 0.01244
            [stop_loss] => 0.012544
            [rr_ratio] => 1.44
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 02:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01229
            [entry_price] => 0.01244
            [stop_loss] => 0.01256
            [rr_ratio] => 1.25
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 02:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.0001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00146
            [rr_ratio] => -0.07
            [high] => 0.01390000
            [low] => 0.01254000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.8
            [mae_pct] => 11.74
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.07
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T02:02:46-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T04:02:46-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 9.9999999999996E-6
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00146
            [rr_ratio] => 0.01
            [high] => 0.01390000
            [low] => 0.01243000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.08
            [mae_pct] => 11.74
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.01
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T02:02:46-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T09:02:46-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.01257000
            [high_after] => 0.01390000
            [low_before] => 0.01219000
            [low_after] => 0.01254000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)