Short Trade on RENDER 30 Jan 2026 at 02:14:05
Take profit at 1.6872 (1.62 %) and Stop Loss at 1.7289 (0.81 %)
Short Trade on RENDER 30 Jan 2026 at 02:14:05
Take profit at 1.6872 (1.62 %) and Stop Loss at 1.7289 (0.81 %)
Position size of 986.6123 $
Take profit at 1.6872 (1.62 %) and Stop Loss at 1.7289 (0.81 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.76 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.53 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.627491 15m : -0.024574 1H : 0.003438 |
3 |
Indicators:
83091.6
-0.00197923
82927.2
0.627491
84717.2
-0.0211297
82927.2
-0.024574
87025.3
-0.0470917
82927.2
0.003438
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 03:00:00
[1] => 1.945
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-26 10:00:00
[1] => 1.974
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-27 08:00:00
[1] => 1.791
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-27 11:00:00
[1] => 1.91
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 10:00:00
[1] => 2.008
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 12:00:00
[1] => 1.901
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 19:00:00
[1] => 2.003
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 09:00:00
[1] => 1.868
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 14:00:00
[1] => 1.712
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 01:00:00
[1] => 1.663
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.2976445396146
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0066145520144
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9464822609741
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 07:30:00
[1] => 1.787
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 09:00:00
[1] => 1.868
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
[1] => 1.758
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 12:15:00
[1] => 1.862
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 14:15:00
[1] => 1.712
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 17:00:00
[1] => 1.767
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 21:15:00
[1] => 1.671
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 23:15:00
[1] => 1.721
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 01:30:00
[1] => 1.663
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 02:00:00
[1] => 1.719
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.34904013961606
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0066145520144
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3674082982562
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 21:40:00
[1] => 1.708
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 22:05:00
[1] => 1.681
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 22:15:00
[1] => 1.697
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 22:45:00
[1] => 1.681
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 23:25:00
[1] => 1.721
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 00:10:00
[1] => 1.686
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 00:50:00
[1] => 1.706
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 01:30:00
[1] => 1.663
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
[1] => 1.663
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 02:10:00
[1] => 1.719
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.34904013961606
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0066145520144
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3674082982562
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 21:40:00 | 1.708 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 22:05:00 | 1.681 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 22:15:00 | 1.697 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 22:45:00 | 1.681 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 23:25:00 | 1.721 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 00:10:00 | 1.686 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 00:50:00 | 1.706 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 01:30:00 | 1.663 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 01:45:00 | 1.663 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 02:10:00 | 1.719 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 07:30:00 | 1.787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 09:00:00 | 1.868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 10:00:00 | 1.758 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 12:15:00 | 1.862 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 14:15:00 | 1.712 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 17:00:00 | 1.767 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 21:15:00 | 1.671 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 23:15:00 | 1.721 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 01:30:00 | 1.663 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 02:00:00 | 1.719 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 03:00:00 | 1.945 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-26 10:00:00 | 1.974 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-27 08:00:00 | 1.791 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-27 11:00:00 | 1.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 10:00:00 | 2.008 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 12:00:00 | 1.901 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-28 19:00:00 | 2.003 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 09:00:00 | 1.868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 14:00:00 | 1.712 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 01:00:00 | 1.663 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 02:14:05 |
30 Jan 2026 06:50:00 |
4 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.715 | 1.7289 | 1.6872 | 2 | 1.452 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7289 - 1.715 = 0.0139
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.715 - 1.6872 = 0.0278
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0278 / 0.0139 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 986.6123 | 100 | 575.2841 | 9.87 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0139 = 575.54
Taille de position USD = 575.54 x 1.715 = 987.05
Donc, tu peux acheter 575.54 avec un stoploss a 1.7289
Avec un position size USD de 987.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 575.54 x 0.0139 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 575.54 x 0.0278 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.62 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.81 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.81 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8746 % | 107.91 % | 4 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.026
[max_drawdown] => 0.0029999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 8.67
[high] => 1.71800000
[low] => 1.68900000
[mfe_pct] => 1.52
[mae_pct] => 0.17
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.67
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-30T02:14:05-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-30T04:14:05-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.044
[max_drawdown] => 0.015
[rr_ratio] => 2.93
[high] => 1.73000000
[low] => 1.67100000
[mfe_pct] => 2.57
[mae_pct] => 0.87
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.93
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-30T02:14:05-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-30T09:14:05-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.72100000
[high_after] => 1.73000000
[low_before] => 1.66300000
[low_after] => 1.68900000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)