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Short Trade on ARPA

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Short Trade on ARPA 30 Jan 2026 at 02:19:11

Take profit at 0.01246 (2.27 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01289 (1.1 %)

Short Trade on ARPA

The 30 Jan 2026 at 02:19:11

With 55227.3791 ARPA at 0.01275$ per unit.

Position size of 704.1491 $

Take profit at 0.01246 (2.27 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01289 (1.1 %)

That's a 2.07 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.19
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.67
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.72
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.9
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.523043

15m : -0.004461

1H : -0.114108

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 9.657045878E-5
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0125615
  4. ema21 : 0.0127564
  5. ema50 : 0.0127673
  6. ema100 : 0.0127003
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0150001
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0152783
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000850704
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.00391222
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.647253
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.333863
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0939161
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0281291
  17. rsi : 0.493201
  18. adx : 0.260126
  19. kc_percentage : 0.500829
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.119613
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.509849
  22. volume_ema1 : 111463.97774513
  23. volume_ema2 : 227407.48144992
  24. chop : 47.6334
  25. regime : range_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.0124901
  28. ema21 : 0.0124414
  29. ema50 : 0.012627
  30. ema100 : 0.0127635
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0208062
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00391149
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0147001
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00106156
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.129956
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0110501
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0800648
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0601533
  41. rsi : 0.608851
  42. adx : 0.474352
  43. kc_percentage : 0.987637
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0500141
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.00242523
  46. volume_ema1 : 47298.668446065
  47. volume_ema2 : 47184.235683338
  48. chop : 34.1154
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.0125716
  52. ema21 : 0.0124529
  53. ema50 : 0.0123935
  54. ema100 : 0.0124024
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0141871
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00953291
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00479534
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0280241
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.155072
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0694214
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0280007
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00804725
  65. rsi : 0.688207
  66. adx : 0.293855
  67. kc_percentage : 1.14232
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0356392
  69. volume_ema_diff : 2.37483
  70. volume_ema1 : 38893.39126612
  71. volume_ema2 : 11524.542399227
  72. chop : 0.038375
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    83073.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00298991
  78. 5m_price: 
    82824.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.523043
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    84685.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0219705
  83. 15m_price: 
    82824.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.004461
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    87023.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0482451
  88. 1H_price: 
    82824.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.114108
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01266
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 18:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01292
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 03:00:00
                    [1] => 0.0123
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01257
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01215
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 18:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01245
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01198
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01505
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01202
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01296
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6203703703704
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.0732113144759
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.8202995008319
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 05:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01439
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 07:30:00
                    [1] => 0.01505
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01353
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 10:45:00
                    [1] => 0.01441
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 14:15:00
                    [1] => 0.0132
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01278
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 20:30:00
                    [1] => 0.01202
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:15:00
                    [1] => 0.01243
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:15:00
                    [1] => 0.0122
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01296
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6203703703704
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.5081967213115
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.2295081967213
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.01278
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 20:40:00
                    [1] => 0.01202
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:25:00
                    [1] => 0.01207
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 22:10:00
                    [1] => 0.01229
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 23:30:00
                    [1] => 0.0124
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:15:00
                    [1] => 0.01232
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:25:00
                    [1] => 0.01243
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:55:00
                    [1] => 0.01241
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:25:00
                    [1] => 0.0122
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:10:00
                    [1] => 0.01296
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.6203703703704
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.5081967213115
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.2295081967213
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.62%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.51%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.23%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0001
0.54%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0004
3.53%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 20:00:00 0.01278 ↑ High
2026-01-29 20:40:00 0.01202 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 21:25:00 0.01207 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 22:10:00 0.01229 ↑ High
2026-01-29 23:30:00 0.0124 ↑ High
2026-01-30 00:15:00 0.01232 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:25:00 0.01243 ↑ High
2026-01-30 00:55:00 0.01241 ↑ High
2026-01-30 01:25:00 0.0122 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 02:10:00 0.01296 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.62%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.51%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.23%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0022
16.76%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0004
3.53%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 05:00:00 0.01439 ↑ High
2026-01-29 07:30:00 0.01505 ↑ High
2026-01-29 10:00:00 0.01353 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 10:45:00 0.01441 ↑ High
2026-01-29 14:15:00 0.0132 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 20:00:00 0.01278 ↑ High
2026-01-29 20:30:00 0.01202 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:15:00 0.01243 ↑ High
2026-01-30 01:15:00 0.0122 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 02:00:00 0.01296 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.62%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.07%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.82%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0022
16.76%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0005
3.85%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-27 11:00:00 0.01266 ↑ High
2026-01-27 18:00:00 0.01292 ↑ High
2026-01-28 03:00:00 0.0123 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 07:00:00 0.01257 ↑ High
2026-01-28 11:00:00 0.01215 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 18:00:00 0.01245 ↑ High
2026-01-28 21:00:00 0.01198 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 07:00:00 0.01505 ↑ High
2026-01-29 20:00:00 0.01202 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 02:00:00 0.01296 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Jan 2026
02:19:11		 30 Jan 2026
02:20:00		 49 seconds

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01275 0.01289 0.01246 2.07 0.00968
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01275
  • Stop Loss: 0.01289
  • Take Profit: 0.01246

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01289 - 0.01275 = 0.00014

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01275 - 0.01246 = 0.00029

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00029 / 0.00014 = 2.0714

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
704.1491 100 55227.3791 7.04
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00014

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00014 = 57142.86

Taille de position USD = 57142.86 x 0.01275 = 728.57

Donc, tu peux acheter 57142.86 avec un stoploss a 0.01289

Avec un position size USD de 728.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 57142.86 x 0.00014 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 57142.86 x 0.00029 = 16.57

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.57$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 57142.86
  • Taille de position USD 728.57
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.57
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0714

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.27 % 16.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.1 % 7.73 $
PNL PNL %
-7.73 $ -1.10
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.7647 % 342.87 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01246
            [entry_price] => 0.01275
            [stop_loss] => 0.012904
            [rr_ratio] => 1.88
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 02:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01246
            [entry_price] => 0.01275
            [stop_loss] => 0.012918
            [rr_ratio] => 1.73
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 02:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01246
            [entry_price] => 0.01275
            [stop_loss] => 0.012932
            [rr_ratio] => 1.59
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 02:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.01246
            [entry_price] => 0.01275
            [stop_loss] => 0.01296
            [rr_ratio] => 1.38
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 02:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.9999999999999E-5
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00115
            [rr_ratio] => 0.03
            [high] => 0.01390000
            [low] => 0.01272000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.24
            [mae_pct] => 9.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.03
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T02:19:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T04:19:11-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00032
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00115
            [rr_ratio] => 0.28
            [high] => 0.01390000
            [low] => 0.01243000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.51
            [mae_pct] => 9.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.28
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T02:19:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T09:19:11-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.01296000
            [high_after] => 0.01390000
            [low_before] => 0.01220000
            [low_after] => 0.01253000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)