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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 30 Jan 2026 at 05:54:57

Take profit at 139.4733 (0.73 %) and Stop Loss at 141.0134 (0.37 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 30 Jan 2026 at 05:54:57

With 15.5836 MSTR at 140.5$ per unit.

Position size of 2189.494 $

Take profit at 139.4733 (0.73 %) and Stop Loss at 141.0134 (0.37 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.98
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.87
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.92
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.590686

15m : -0.005984

1H : 0.173372

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.18
  4. atr: 0.3422404075
Details
  1. score: 1.18
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 140.653
  4. ema21 : 143.663
  5. ema50 : 149.568
  6. ema100 : 153.982
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00108998
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.020951
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0394847
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0875584
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.282737
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.359465
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.289692
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.187707
  17. rsi : 0.332151
  18. adx : 0.565357
  19. kc_percentage : 0.131124
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0558665
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.818169
  22. volume_ema1 : 258761.6239969
  23. volume_ema2 : 1423091.7863744
  24. chop : 50.9026
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 139.654
  28. ema21 : 139.98
  29. ema50 : 141.418
  30. ema100 : 144.569
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00605176
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00232887
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0101644
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0281519
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0394777
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0507367
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0655469
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0768342
  41. rsi : 0.513959
  42. adx : 0.269486
  43. kc_percentage : 0.705945
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0191674
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.74419
  46. volume_ema1 : 48262.932094318
  47. volume_ema2 : 188667.51878103
  48. chop : 46.6013
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 139.824
  52. ema21 : 139.572
  53. ema50 : 139.778
  54. ema100 : 139.989
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00483066
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00180718
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00147508
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00364912
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0531665
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00701726
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0104209
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.008779
  65. rsi : 0.659651
  66. adx : 0.232825
  67. kc_percentage : 1.17743
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00972643
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.212129
  70. volume_ema1 : 17591.44735315
  71. volume_ema2 : 22327.847290667
  72. chop : 22.8656
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    82491.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0043993
  78. 5m_price: 
    82854.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.590686
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    84111.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0167625
  83. 15m_price: 
    82701.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.005984
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    86799.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0454503
  88. 1H_price: 
    82854.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.173372
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
                    [1] => 163.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
                    [1] => 162.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                    [1] => 161.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:00:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -15.208207604104
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9593613933236
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 44
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.21044992743105
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 18:30:00
                    [1] => 144.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:15:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:30:00
                    [1] => 142.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
                    [1] => 139.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                    [1] => 140.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:45:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 05:45:00
                    [1] => 140.5
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9593613933236
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9593613933236
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 23:55:00
                    [1] => 141.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:30:00
                    [1] => 142.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
                    [1] => 139.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:15:00
                    [1] => 141.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:40:00
                    [1] => 139.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 03:15:00
                    [1] => 140.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 03:35:00
                    [1] => 139.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:05:00
                    [1] => 140.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:50:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 05:50:00
                    [1] => 140.5
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9593613933236
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9593613933236
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.96%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.96%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.2566
0.89%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6733
1.20%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 23:55:00 141.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:30:00 142.27 ↑ High
2026-01-30 01:45:00 139.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 02:15:00 141.02 ↑ High
2026-01-30 02:40:00 139.34 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 03:15:00 140.51 ↑ High
2026-01-30 03:35:00 139.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:05:00 140.69 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:50:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 05:50:00 140.5 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.96%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.96%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.7066
2.63%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6733
1.20%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:15:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:00:00 144.72 ↑ High
2026-01-29 18:30:00 144.67 ↑ High
2026-01-29 21:15:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:30:00 142.27 ↑ High
2026-01-30 01:45:00 139.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:00:00 140.69 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:45:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 05:45:00 140.5 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-15.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.96%
Bars Since Swing High
44 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.21%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
24.6866
17.51%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6733
1.20%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 14:00:00 163.97 ↑ High
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 16:00:00 162.48 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 161.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 09:00:00 165.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 14:00:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 21:00:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 21:00:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:00:00 137.8 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Jan 2026
05:54:57		 30 Jan 2026
06:50:00		 55 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
140.5 141.0134 139.4733 2 127.19
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 140.5
  • Stop Loss: 141.0134
  • Take Profit: 139.4733

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 141.0134 - 140.5 = 0.51339999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 140.5 - 139.4733 = 1.0267

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0267 / 0.51339999999999 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2189.494 100 15.5836 21.89
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.51339999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.51339999999999 = 15.58

Taille de position USD = 15.58 x 140.5 = 2188.99

Donc, tu peux acheter 15.58 avec un stoploss a 141.0134

Avec un position size USD de 2188.99$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 15.58 x 0.51339999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 15.58 x 1.0267 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 15.58
  • Taille de position USD 2188.99
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.73 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.37 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.37
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0819 % 296.09 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.4733
            [entry_price] => 140.5
            [stop_loss] => 141.06474
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.4733
            [entry_price] => 140.5
            [stop_loss] => 141.11608
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.4733
            [entry_price] => 140.5
            [stop_loss] => 141.16742
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.4733
            [entry_price] => 140.5
            [stop_loss] => 141.2701
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.44
            [max_drawdown] => 1.74
            [rr_ratio] => 0.25
            [high] => 142.24000000
            [low] => 140.06000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.31
            [mae_pct] => 1.24
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T05:54:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T07:54:57-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.75999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 5.71
            [rr_ratio] => 0.13
            [high] => 146.21000000
            [low] => 139.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.54
            [mae_pct] => 4.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T05:54:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T12:54:57-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 141.02000000
            [high_after] => 145.68000000
            [low_before] => 137.80000000
            [low_after] => 139.74000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)