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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 30 Jan 2026 at 06:06:45

Take profit at 139.6077 (0.69 %) and Stop Loss at 141.0661 (0.35 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 30 Jan 2026 at 06:06:45

With 16.456 MSTR at 140.58$ per unit.

Position size of 2313.3914 $

Take profit at 139.6077 (0.69 %) and Stop Loss at 141.0661 (0.35 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.27
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.95
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.84
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.584319

15m : -0.027453

1H : -0.107427

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.11
  4. atr: 0.3240956063
Details
  1. score: 1.11
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 140.609
  4. ema21 : 143.368
  5. ema50 : 149.21
  6. ema100 : 153.723
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.000212278
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0192385
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0391582
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0854982
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.270349
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.34737
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.287253
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.188455
  17. rsi : 0.336548
  18. adx : 0.569259
  19. kc_percentage : 0.147797
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0511335
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.862142
  22. volume_ema1 : 188821.03387571
  23. volume_ema2 : 1369679.5818821
  24. chop : 50.9107
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 139.828
  28. ema21 : 140.029
  29. ema50 : 141.385
  30. ema100 : 144.507
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00537319
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0014344
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00958807
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0271761
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0301059
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0455124
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0628389
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0755042
  41. rsi : 0.528376
  42. adx : 0.252656
  43. kc_percentage : 0.724247
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0184047
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.735278
  46. volume_ema1 : 48879.465251767
  47. volume_ema2 : 184644.82146401
  48. chop : 46.3522
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 140.143
  52. ema21 : 139.795
  53. ema50 : 139.856
  54. ema100 : 140.021
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00311157
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00249518
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000438594
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00398628
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0888668
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0362958
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00472184
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00117349
  65. rsi : 0.653461
  66. adx : 0.210565
  67. kc_percentage : 1.1116
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00899963
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.139296
  70. volume_ema1 : 16246.345026859
  71. volume_ema2 : 18875.647314048
  72. chop : 27.5704
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    82526.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00287217
  78. 5m_price: 
    82763.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.584319
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    84090.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0157752
  83. 15m_price: 
    82763.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.027453
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    86716.2
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0455778
  88. 1H_price: 
    82763.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.107427
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
                    [1] => 163.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
                    [1] => 162.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                    [1] => 161.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:00:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -15.045262522631
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.155297532656
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 45
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.21044992743105
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 18:30:00
                    [1] => 144.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:15:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:30:00
                    [1] => 142.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
                    [1] => 139.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                    [1] => 140.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:45:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:00:00
                    [1] => 140.83
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.042604558687781
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.155297532656
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1988388969521
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 23:55:00
                    [1] => 141.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:30:00
                    [1] => 142.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
                    [1] => 139.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:15:00
                    [1] => 141.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:40:00
                    [1] => 139.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 03:15:00
                    [1] => 140.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 03:35:00
                    [1] => 139.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:05:00
                    [1] => 140.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:50:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:05:00
                    [1] => 140.83
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.042604558687781
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.155297532656
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1988388969521
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.16%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.20%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.2039
0.85%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.8077
1.29%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 23:55:00 141.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:30:00 142.27 ↑ High
2026-01-30 01:45:00 139.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 02:15:00 141.02 ↑ High
2026-01-30 02:40:00 139.34 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 03:15:00 140.51 ↑ High
2026-01-30 03:35:00 139.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:05:00 140.69 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:50:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:05:00 140.83 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.16%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.20%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.6539
2.59%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.8077
1.29%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:15:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:00:00 144.72 ↑ High
2026-01-29 18:30:00 144.67 ↑ High
2026-01-29 21:15:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:30:00 142.27 ↑ High
2026-01-30 01:45:00 139.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:00:00 140.69 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:45:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:00:00 140.83 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-15.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.16%
Bars Since Swing High
45 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.21%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
24.6339
17.46%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.8077
1.29%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 14:00:00 163.97 ↑ High
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 16:00:00 162.48 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 161.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 09:00:00 165.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 14:00:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 21:00:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 21:00:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:00:00 137.8 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Jan 2026
06:06:45		 30 Jan 2026
06:50:00		 43 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
140.58 141.0661 139.6077 2 129.46
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 140.58
  • Stop Loss: 141.0661
  • Take Profit: 139.6077

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 141.0661 - 140.58 = 0.48609999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 140.58 - 139.6077 = 0.97230000000002

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.97230000000002 / 0.48609999999999 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2313.3914 100 16.456 23.13
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.48609999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.48609999999999 = 16.46

Taille de position USD = 16.46 x 140.58 = 2313.95

Donc, tu peux acheter 16.46 avec un stoploss a 141.0661

Avec un position size USD de 2313.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 16.46 x 0.48609999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 16.46 x 0.97230000000002 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 16.46
  • Taille de position USD 2313.95
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.69 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.35 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.35
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0243 % 296.21 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.6077
            [entry_price] => 140.58
            [stop_loss] => 141.11471
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.6077
            [entry_price] => 140.58
            [stop_loss] => 141.16332
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.6077
            [entry_price] => 140.58
            [stop_loss] => 141.21193
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.6077
            [entry_price] => 140.58
            [stop_loss] => 141.30915
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.38000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 1.66
            [rr_ratio] => 0.23
            [high] => 142.24000000
            [low] => 140.20000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.27
            [mae_pct] => 1.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T06:06:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T08:06:45-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.84
            [max_drawdown] => 5.63
            [rr_ratio] => 0.15
            [high] => 146.21000000
            [low] => 139.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.6
            [mae_pct] => 4
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.15
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T06:06:45-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T13:06:45-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 141.02000000
            [high_after] => 145.68000000
            [low_before] => 137.80000000
            [low_after] => 139.74000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)