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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 30 Jan 2026 at 06:27:27

Take profit at 139.8135 (0.62 %) and Stop Loss at 141.1282 (0.31 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 30 Jan 2026 at 06:27:27

With 18.2548 MSTR at 140.69$ per unit.

Position size of 2568.2744 $

Take profit at 139.8135 (0.62 %) and Stop Loss at 141.1282 (0.31 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.36
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.78
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.64
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.78
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.586396

15m : -0.049737

1H : 0.053361

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.2921598504
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 140.631
  4. ema21 : 143.378
  5. ema50 : 149.215
  6. ema100 : 153.725
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000413501
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0191535
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.039119
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0847956
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.269087
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.346813
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.28702
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.18834
  17. rsi : 0.341685
  18. adx : 0.566154
  19. kc_percentage : 0.168287
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.052117
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.853434
  22. volume_ema1 : 200956.99700904
  23. volume_ema2 : 1371107.3422507
  24. chop : 50.9477
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 140.072
  28. ema21 : 140.124
  29. ema50 : 141.373
  30. ema100 : 144.442
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00440815
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000372251
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00883633
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0259777
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0161503
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0376384
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.058793
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0732946
  41. rsi : 0.546325
  42. adx : 0.233487
  43. kc_percentage : 0.737332
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0176032
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.771463
  46. volume_ema1 : 40661.929901178
  47. volume_ema2 : 177922.86832037
  48. chop : 42.904
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 140.516
  52. ema21 : 140.112
  53. ema50 : 140.012
  54. ema100 : 140.2
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00123504
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00288557
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000714465
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00348991
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0864619
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0529772
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0168499
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00400497
  65. rsi : 0.644214
  66. adx : 0.204921
  67. kc_percentage : 1.00726
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00781564
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.562441
  70. volume_ema1 : 7588.0639209434
  71. volume_ema2 : 17341.819202856
  72. chop : 41.3941
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    82593.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00154478
  78. 5m_price: 
    82721.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.586396
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    84060.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0155177
  83. 15m_price: 
    82756
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.049737
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    86715.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0460576
  88. 1H_price: 
    82721.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.053361
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
                    [1] => 163.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
                    [1] => 162.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                    [1] => 161.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:00:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -15.340977670489
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.799709724238
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 45
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.21044992743105
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 18:30:00
                    [1] => 144.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:15:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:30:00
                    [1] => 142.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
                    [1] => 139.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                    [1] => 140.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:45:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:15:00
                    [1] => 140.94
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.46828437633035
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.799709724238
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2786647314949
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 23:55:00
                    [1] => 141.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:30:00
                    [1] => 142.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
                    [1] => 139.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:15:00
                    [1] => 141.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:40:00
                    [1] => 139.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 03:15:00
                    [1] => 140.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 03:35:00
                    [1] => 139.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:05:00
                    [1] => 140.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:50:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:15:00
                    [1] => 140.94
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.46828437633035
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.799709724238
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 19
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2786647314949
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.47%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.80%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
19 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.28%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.1418
0.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0135
1.44%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 23:55:00 141.48 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:30:00 142.27 ↑ High
2026-01-30 01:45:00 139.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 02:15:00 141.02 ↑ High
2026-01-30 02:40:00 139.34 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 03:15:00 140.51 ↑ High
2026-01-30 03:35:00 139.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:05:00 140.69 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:50:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:15:00 140.94 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.47%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.80%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.28%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.5918
2.55%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0135
1.44%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:15:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:00:00 144.72 ↑ High
2026-01-29 18:30:00 144.67 ↑ High
2026-01-29 21:15:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:30:00 142.27 ↑ High
2026-01-30 01:45:00 139.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:00:00 140.69 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:45:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:15:00 140.94 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-15.34%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.80%
Bars Since Swing High
45 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.21%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
24.5718
17.41%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0135
1.44%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 14:00:00 163.97 ↑ High
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 16:00:00 162.48 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 161.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 09:00:00 165.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 14:00:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 21:00:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 21:00:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:00:00 137.8 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Jan 2026
06:27:27		 30 Jan 2026
06:50:00		 22 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
140.69 141.1282 139.8135 2 130.35
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 140.69
  • Stop Loss: 141.1282
  • Take Profit: 139.8135

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 141.1282 - 140.69 = 0.43819999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 140.69 - 139.8135 = 0.87649999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.87649999999999 / 0.43819999999999 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2568.2744 100 18.2548 25.68
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.43819999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.43819999999999 = 18.26

Taille de position USD = 18.26 x 140.69 = 2569

Donc, tu peux acheter 18.26 avec un stoploss a 141.1282

Avec un position size USD de 2569$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 18.26 x 0.43819999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 18.26 x 0.87649999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 18.26
  • Taille de position USD 2569
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.62 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.31 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.31
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9453 % 303.47 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.8135
            [entry_price] => 140.69
            [stop_loss] => 141.17202
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.8135
            [entry_price] => 140.69
            [stop_loss] => 141.21584
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.8135
            [entry_price] => 140.69
            [stop_loss] => 141.25966
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.8135
            [entry_price] => 140.69
            [stop_loss] => 141.3473
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.49000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 1.55
            [rr_ratio] => 0.32
            [high] => 142.24000000
            [low] => 140.20000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.35
            [mae_pct] => 1.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.32
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T06:27:27-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T08:27:27-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.94999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 5.52
            [rr_ratio] => 0.17
            [high] => 146.21000000
            [low] => 139.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.68
            [mae_pct] => 3.92
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.17
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T06:27:27-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T13:27:27-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 140.94000000
            [high_after] => 146.10000000
            [low_before] => 137.80000000
            [low_after] => 139.74000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)