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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 30 Jan 2026 at 06:44:50

Take profit at 139.9916 (0.66 %) and Stop Loss at 141.3842 (0.33 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 30 Jan 2026 at 06:44:50

With 17.2342 MSTR at 140.92$ per unit.

Position size of 2428.6481 $

Take profit at 139.9916 (0.66 %) and Stop Loss at 141.3842 (0.33 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.73
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.87
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.63
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.82
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.601694

15m : -0.005493

1H : -0.132443

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.3094615976
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 140.677
  4. ema21 : 143.398
  5. ema50 : 149.224
  6. ema100 : 153.729
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00172131
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0189757
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.039037
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0833266
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.266449
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.345648
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.286534
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.188098
  17. rsi : 0.352174
  18. adx : 0.566154
  19. kc_percentage : 0.196667
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0520319
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.850306
  22. volume_ema1 : 205323.39750904
  23. volume_ema2 : 1371621.0364272
  24. chop : 50.9477
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 140.094
  28. ema21 : 140.124
  29. ema50 : 141.321
  30. ema100 : 144.342
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00589294
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000213506
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00847339
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0237102
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.00969615
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0330989
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.056043
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0715045
  41. rsi : 0.527795
  42. adx : 0.21805
  43. kc_percentage : 0.817353
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0182411
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.826783
  46. volume_ema1 : 29690.380056341
  47. volume_ema2 : 171406.17356007
  48. chop : 42.6924
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 140.581
  52. ema21 : 140.236
  53. ema50 : 140.081
  54. ema100 : 140.255
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00240799
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00246355
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00109982
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0047345
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0662835
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0506565
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0196394
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00571636
  65. rsi : 0.640619
  66. adx : 0.168629
  67. kc_percentage : 1.04982
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00856219
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.664896
  70. volume_ema1 : 5300.9209642301
  71. volume_ema2 : 15818.763221692
  72. chop : 50.1935
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    82601.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00298238
  78. 5m_price: 
    82847.8
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.601694
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    84038.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0153025
  83. 15m_price: 
    82752.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.005493
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    86717.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0446286
  88. 1H_price: 
    82847.8
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.132443
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 14:00:00
                    [1] => 163.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
                    [1] => 162.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                    [1] => 161.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:00:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -14.954737477369
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2641509433962
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 45
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.21044992743105
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 18:30:00
                    [1] => 144.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:15:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:30:00
                    [1] => 142.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
                    [1] => 139.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                    [1] => 140.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:45:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:15:00
                    [1] => 140.94
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.014190435646382
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2641509433962
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2786647314949
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
                    [1] => 139.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:15:00
                    [1] => 141.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:40:00
                    [1] => 139.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 03:15:00
                    [1] => 140.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 03:35:00
                    [1] => 139.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:05:00
                    [1] => 140.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:50:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:15:00
                    [1] => 140.94
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:30:00
                    [1] => 140.28
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:40:00
                    [1] => 140.94
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.014190435646382
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.45623039635015
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.4704875962361
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.46%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.47%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3642
0.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1916
1.57%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-30 01:45:00 139.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 02:15:00 141.02 ↑ High
2026-01-30 02:40:00 139.34 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 03:15:00 140.51 ↑ High
2026-01-30 03:35:00 139.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:05:00 140.69 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:50:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:15:00 140.94 ↑ High
2026-01-30 06:30:00 140.28 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:40:00 140.94 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.26%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.28%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.3358
2.36%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1916
1.57%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:15:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:00:00 144.72 ↑ High
2026-01-29 18:30:00 144.67 ↑ High
2026-01-29 21:15:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:30:00 142.27 ↑ High
2026-01-30 01:45:00 139.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:00:00 140.69 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:45:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:15:00 140.94 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-14.95%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.26%
Bars Since Swing High
45 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.21%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
24.3158
17.20%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1916
1.57%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 14:00:00 163.97 ↑ High
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 16:00:00 162.48 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 161.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 09:00:00 165.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 14:00:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 21:00:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 21:00:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:00:00 137.8 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Jan 2026
06:44:50		 30 Jan 2026
06:50:00		 5 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
140.92 141.3842 139.9916 2 130.47
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 140.92
  • Stop Loss: 141.3842
  • Take Profit: 139.9916

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 141.3842 - 140.92 = 0.46420000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 140.92 - 139.9916 = 0.92839999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.92839999999998 / 0.46420000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2428.6481 100 17.2342 24.29
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.46420000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.46420000000001 = 17.23

Taille de position USD = 17.23 x 140.92 = 2428.05

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.23 avec un stoploss a 141.3842

Avec un position size USD de 2428.05$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.23 x 0.46420000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.23 x 0.92839999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.23
  • Taille de position USD 2428.05
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.66 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.33 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.33
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7806 % 236.98 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.9916
            [entry_price] => 140.92
            [stop_loss] => 141.43062
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.9916
            [entry_price] => 140.92
            [stop_loss] => 141.47704
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.9916
            [entry_price] => 140.92
            [stop_loss] => 141.52346
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.9916
            [entry_price] => 140.92
            [stop_loss] => 141.6163
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.98999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 1.32
            [rr_ratio] => 0.75
            [high] => 142.24000000
            [low] => 139.93000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.7
            [mae_pct] => 0.94
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.75
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T06:44:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T08:44:50-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.18
            [max_drawdown] => 5.29
            [rr_ratio] => 0.22
            [high] => 146.21000000
            [low] => 139.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.84
            [mae_pct] => 3.75
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.22
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T06:44:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T13:44:50-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 140.94000000
            [high_after] => 146.10000000
            [low_before] => 137.80000000
            [low_after] => 139.74000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)