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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 30 Jan 2026 at 06:55:07

Take profit at 140.8965 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 142.5818 (0.4 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 30 Jan 2026 at 06:55:07

With 14.2409 MSTR at 142.02$ per unit.

Position size of 2022.4958 $

Take profit at 140.8965 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 142.5818 (0.4 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 4.2
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.95
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.72
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.98
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.683524

15m : 0.087944

1H : -0.070503

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.41
  4. atr: 0.3745075783
Details
  1. score: 1.41
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 140.897
  4. ema21 : 143.498
  5. ema50 : 149.267
  6. ema100 : 153.751
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00796429
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0181262
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0386447
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.076302
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.253834
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.340078
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.284208
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.186944
  17. rsi : 0.398041
  18. adx : 0.557761
  19. kc_percentage : 0.341725
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0546708
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.841278
  22. volume_ema1 : 217941.41477571
  23. volume_ema2 : 1373105.5090468
  24. chop : 51.0585
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 140.221
  28. ema21 : 140.182
  29. ema50 : 141.306
  30. ema100 : 144.313
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0128229
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000281467
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00795229
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0158951
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.000960037
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0268512
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0526565
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0700585
  41. rsi : 0.514213
  42. adx : 0.203604
  43. kc_percentage : 1.21461
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0182586
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.860025
  46. volume_ema1 : 23113.920182005
  47. volume_ema2 : 165129.97286454
  48. chop : 42.5883
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 141.088
  52. ema21 : 140.565
  53. ema50 : 140.242
  54. ema100 : 140.303
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00659925
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00372407
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00230246
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0122322
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0693994
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0552049
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0251644
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00968423
  65. rsi : 0.706948
  66. adx : 0.191938
  67. kc_percentage : 1.41148
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0110047
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.378206
  70. volume_ema1 : 9606.9487227349
  71. volume_ema2 : 15450.372396368
  72. chop : 32.8294
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    82641
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00675367
  78. 5m_price: 
    83199.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.683524
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    84020.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0162649
  83. 15m_price: 
    82653.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.087944
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    86724.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0406534
  88. 1H_price: 
    83199.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.070503
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
                    [1] => 162.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                    [1] => 161.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:00:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:00:00
                    [1] => 142.24
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.25309336332959
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9608127721335
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.22206095791
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 18:30:00
                    [1] => 144.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:15:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:30:00
                    [1] => 142.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
                    [1] => 139.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                    [1] => 140.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:45:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:45:00
                    [1] => 142.24
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.25309336332959
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9608127721335
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.22206095791
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
                    [1] => 139.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:15:00
                    [1] => 141.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:40:00
                    [1] => 139.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 03:15:00
                    [1] => 140.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 03:35:00
                    [1] => 139.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:05:00
                    [1] => 140.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:50:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:15:00
                    [1] => 140.94
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:30:00
                    [1] => 140.28
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:55:00
                    [1] => 142.24
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.25309336332959
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1405759908754
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3972055888224
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.25%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.14%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.40%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3418
0.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.0965
2.20%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-30 01:45:00 139.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 02:15:00 141.02 ↑ High
2026-01-30 02:40:00 139.34 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 03:15:00 140.51 ↑ High
2026-01-30 03:35:00 139.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:05:00 140.69 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:50:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:15:00 140.94 ↑ High
2026-01-30 06:30:00 140.28 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:55:00 142.24 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.25%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.96%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.22%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.1382
1.50%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.0965
2.20%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:15:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:00:00 144.72 ↑ High
2026-01-29 18:30:00 144.67 ↑ High
2026-01-29 21:15:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:30:00 142.27 ↑ High
2026-01-30 01:45:00 139.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:00:00 140.69 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:45:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:45:00 142.24 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.25%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.96%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.22%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
23.1182
16.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.0965
2.20%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 16:00:00 162.48 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 161.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 09:00:00 165.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 14:00:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 21:00:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 21:00:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:00:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:00:00 142.24 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Jan 2026
06:55:07		 30 Jan 2026
07:35:00		 39 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
142.02 142.5818 140.8965 2 136.9
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 142.02
  • Stop Loss: 142.5818
  • Take Profit: 140.8965

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 142.5818 - 142.02 = 0.56179999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 142.02 - 140.8965 = 1.1235

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1235 / 0.56179999999998 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2022.4958 100 14.2409 20.22
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.56179999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.56179999999998 = 14.24

Taille de position USD = 14.24 x 142.02 = 2022.36

Donc, tu peux acheter 14.24 avec un stoploss a 142.5818

Avec un position size USD de 2022.36$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 14.24 x 0.56179999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 14.24 x 1.1235 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 14.24
  • Taille de position USD 2022.36
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.79 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.4 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.79
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0634 % 16.03 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.8964
            [stop_loss] => 142.5818
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 07:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.6155
            [stop_loss] => 142.5818
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 07:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.3346
            [stop_loss] => 142.5818
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 08:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.0537
            [stop_loss] => 142.5818
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 08:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.7728
            [stop_loss] => 142.5818
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 08:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.4919
            [stop_loss] => 142.5818
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.211
            [stop_loss] => 142.5818
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.9301
            [stop_loss] => 142.5818
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.6492
            [stop_loss] => 142.5818
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.3683
            [stop_loss] => 142.5818
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.0874
            [stop_loss] => 142.5818
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.28
            [max_drawdown] => 0.090000000000003
            [rr_ratio] => 25.33
            [high] => 142.11000000
            [low] => 139.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.61
            [mae_pct] => 0.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 25.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T06:55:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T08:55:07-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.28
            [max_drawdown] => 6.84
            [rr_ratio] => 0.33
            [high] => 148.86000000
            [low] => 139.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.61
            [mae_pct] => 4.82
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T06:55:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T13:55:07-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 142.24000000
            [high_after] => 146.21000000
            [low_before] => 137.80000000
            [low_after] => 139.74000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)