Short Trade on ETH 30 Jan 2026 at 07:00:35
Take profit at 2734.2338 (0.9 %) and Stop Loss at 2771.3831 (0.45 %)
Short Trade on ETH 30 Jan 2026 at 07:00:35
Take profit at 2734.2338 (0.9 %) and Stop Loss at 2771.3831 (0.45 %)
Position size of 1782.427 $
Take profit at 2734.2338 (0.9 %) and Stop Loss at 2771.3831 (0.45 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.97 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.81 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.79 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.88166 15m : 0.175514 1H : 0.120171 |
2 |
Indicators:
82651.3
0.00551227
83106.9
0.88166
83979.7
-0.0103938
83106.9
0.175514
86607.8
-0.0404226
83106.9
0.120171
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-27 18:00:00
[1] => 3033.75
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 04:00:00
[1] => 2984.65
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 06:00:00
[1] => 3044.25
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 10:00:00
[1] => 2981.36
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 15:00:00
[1] => 3036.92
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 23:00:00
[1] => 2936.3
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 13:00:00
[1] => 2752.4
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 19:00:00
[1] => 2827.46
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 20:00:00
[1] => 2682.47
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 06:00:00
[1] => 2767.82
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0358332550527
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1129779643388
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1817690412195
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 10:30:00
[1] => 2795.24
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 12:15:00
[1] => 2859.54
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 13:45:00
[1] => 2752.4
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 16:45:00
[1] => 2824.31
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 19:00:00
[1] => 2827.46
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 20:30:00
[1] => 2682.47
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 23:15:00
[1] => 2773.72
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
[1] => 2695
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 04:45:00
[1] => 2708.71
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 06:45:00
[1] => 2767.82
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.62612453121953
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5424316372
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1822195805383
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 00:25:00
[1] => 2759.37
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
[1] => 2695
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 02:10:00
[1] => 2750
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 02:40:00
[1] => 2723.4
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 03:15:00
[1] => 2747.24
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 03:35:00
[1] => 2721.18
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 04:05:00
[1] => 2742.88
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 04:50:00
[1] => 2708.71
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 06:45:00
[1] => 2733.79
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 06:50:00
[1] => 2767.82
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.35117890614275
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.88924167547617
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2447920286489
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 00:25:00 | 2759.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 01:45:00 | 2695 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 02:10:00 | 2750 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 02:40:00 | 2723.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 03:15:00 | 2747.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 03:35:00 | 2721.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 04:05:00 | 2742.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 04:50:00 | 2708.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 06:45:00 | 2733.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 06:50:00 | 2767.82 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 10:30:00 | 2795.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 12:15:00 | 2859.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 13:45:00 | 2752.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 16:45:00 | 2824.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 19:00:00 | 2827.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 20:30:00 | 2682.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 23:15:00 | 2773.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 01:45:00 | 2695 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 04:45:00 | 2708.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 06:45:00 | 2767.82 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 18:00:00 | 3033.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 04:00:00 | 2984.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-28 06:00:00 | 3044.25 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 10:00:00 | 2981.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-28 15:00:00 | 3036.92 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 23:00:00 | 2936.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 13:00:00 | 2752.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 19:00:00 | 2827.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 20:00:00 | 2682.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 06:00:00 | 2767.82 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 07:00:35 |
30 Jan 2026 08:00:00 |
59 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2759 | 2771.3831 | 2734.2338 | 2 | 1993.36 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2771.3831 - 2759 = 12.3831
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2759 - 2734.2338 = 24.7662
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 24.7662 / 12.3831 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1782.427 | 100 | 0.646 | 17.82 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 12.3831 = 0.65
Taille de position USD = 0.65 x 2759 = 1793.35
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.65 avec un stoploss a 2771.3831
Avec un position size USD de 1793.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.65 x 12.3831 = 8.05
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.05$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.65 x 24.7662 = 16.1
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.1$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.9 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.90 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2734.2338
[stop_loss] => 2771.3831
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-30 08:00:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2728.04225
[stop_loss] => 2771.3831
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-30 08:05:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2721.8507
[stop_loss] => 2771.3831
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-30 08:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2715.65915
[stop_loss] => 2771.3831
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-30 10:20:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2709.4676
[stop_loss] => 2771.3831
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-01-30 10:25:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2703.27605
[stop_loss] => 2771.3831
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-30 10:30:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2697.0845
[stop_loss] => 2771.3831
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-01-30 10:30:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 41.73
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 2758.10000000
[low] => 2717.27000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.51
[mae_pct] => -0.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-30T07:00:35-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-30T09:00:35-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 124.77
[max_drawdown] => 4.4000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 28.36
[high] => 2763.40000000
[low] => 2634.23000000
[mfe_pct] => 4.52
[mae_pct] => 0.16
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 28.36
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-30T07:00:35-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-30T14:00:35-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 2767.82000000
[high_after] => 2763.40000000
[low_before] => 2708.71000000
[low_after] => 2691.57000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)