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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 30 Jan 2026 at 07:05:54

Take profit at 140.8956 (0.85 %) and Stop Loss at 142.7172 (0.43 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 30 Jan 2026 at 07:05:54

With 13.1756 MSTR at 142.11$ per unit.

Position size of 1872.3825 $

Take profit at 140.8956 (0.85 %) and Stop Loss at 142.7172 (0.43 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 4.19
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.83
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.83
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.87
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.684071

15m : 0.056846

1H : -0.170281

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.24
  4. atr: 0.4047890768
Details
  1. score: 1.24
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 141.117
  4. ema21 : 143.361
  5. ema50 : 148.962
  6. ema100 : 153.377
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00703044
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0156469
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0376022
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.073463
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.222638
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.318798
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.276811
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.183513
  17. rsi : 0.402203
  18. adx : 0.548371
  19. kc_percentage : 0.360868
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0515033
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.886797
  22. volume_ema1 : 149422.72918381
  23. volume_ema2 : 1319957.6039531
  24. chop : 51.0043
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 140.82
  28. ema21 : 140.471
  29. ema50 : 141.381
  30. ema100 : 144.238
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00915808
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00248178
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00643723
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0147591
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0407867
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0047767
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0418003
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0636065
  41. rsi : 0.617752
  42. adx : 0.218085
  43. kc_percentage : 1.03549
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0215395
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.833468
  46. volume_ema1 : 26794.222188003
  47. volume_ema2 : 160895.65911316
  48. chop : 30.0312
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 141.412
  52. ema21 : 140.809
  53. ema50 : 140.377
  54. ema100 : 140.387
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00492891
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00428389
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00307936
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0122703
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.073182
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0594415
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0292561
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0121173
  65. rsi : 0.701998
  66. adx : 0.212894
  67. kc_percentage : 1.24083
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0120108
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.527663
  70. volume_ema1 : 7030.8991656599
  71. volume_ema2 : 14885.356071885
  72. chop : 34.032
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    82677.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0062956
  78. 5m_price: 
    83198.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.684071
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    83981.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00932451
  83. 15m_price: 
    83198.5
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.056846
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    86609.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.039385
  88. 1H_price: 
    83198.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.170281
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
                    [1] => 162.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                    [1] => 161.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:00:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:00:00
                    [1] => 142.24
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38667041619798
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8229317851959
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.22206095791
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 18:30:00
                    [1] => 144.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:15:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:30:00
                    [1] => 142.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
                    [1] => 139.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                    [1] => 140.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:45:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:45:00
                    [1] => 142.24
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38667041619798
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8229317851959
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.22206095791
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
                    [1] => 139.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:15:00
                    [1] => 141.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:40:00
                    [1] => 139.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 03:15:00
                    [1] => 140.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 03:35:00
                    [1] => 139.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:05:00
                    [1] => 140.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:50:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:15:00
                    [1] => 140.94
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:30:00
                    [1] => 140.28
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:55:00
                    [1] => 142.24
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38667041619798
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0051325919589
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3972055888224
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.39%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.01%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.40%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4772
0.33%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.0956
2.20%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-30 01:45:00 139.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 02:15:00 141.02 ↑ High
2026-01-30 02:40:00 139.34 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 03:15:00 140.51 ↑ High
2026-01-30 03:35:00 139.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:05:00 140.69 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:50:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:15:00 140.94 ↑ High
2026-01-30 06:30:00 140.28 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:55:00 142.24 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.39%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.82%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.22%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.0028
1.40%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.0956
2.20%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:15:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:00:00 144.72 ↑ High
2026-01-29 18:30:00 144.67 ↑ High
2026-01-29 21:15:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:30:00 142.27 ↑ High
2026-01-30 01:45:00 139.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:00:00 140.69 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:45:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:45:00 142.24 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.39%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.82%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.22%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
22.9828
16.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.0956
2.20%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 16:00:00 162.48 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 161.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 09:00:00 165.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 14:00:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 21:00:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 21:00:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:00:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:00:00 142.24 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Jan 2026
07:05:54		 30 Jan 2026
07:35:00		 29 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
142.11 142.7172 140.8956 2 131.64
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 142.11
  • Stop Loss: 142.7172
  • Take Profit: 140.8956

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 142.7172 - 142.11 = 0.60719999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 142.11 - 140.8956 = 1.2144

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.2144 / 0.60719999999998 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1872.3825 100 13.1756 18.72
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.60719999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.60719999999998 = 13.18

Taille de position USD = 13.18 x 142.11 = 1873.01

Donc, tu peux acheter 13.18 avec un stoploss a 142.7172

Avec un position size USD de 1873.01$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 13.18 x 0.60719999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 13.18 x 1.2144 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 13.18
  • Taille de position USD 1873.01
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.85 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.43 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.85
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.8956
            [stop_loss] => 142.7172
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 07:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.592
            [stop_loss] => 142.7172
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 07:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.2884
            [stop_loss] => 142.7172
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 08:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.9848
            [stop_loss] => 142.7172
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 08:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.6812
            [stop_loss] => 142.7172
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.3776
            [stop_loss] => 142.7172
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.074
            [stop_loss] => 142.7172
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.7704
            [stop_loss] => 142.7172
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.4668
            [stop_loss] => 142.7172
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.1632
            [stop_loss] => 142.7172
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 137.8596
            [stop_loss] => 142.7172
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.37
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 141.81000000
            [low] => 139.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.67
            [mae_pct] => -0.21
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T07:05:54-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T09:05:54-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.37
            [max_drawdown] => 7.63
            [rr_ratio] => 0.31
            [high] => 149.74000000
            [low] => 139.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.67
            [mae_pct] => 5.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.31
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T07:05:54-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T14:05:54-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 142.24000000
            [high_after] => 146.21000000
            [low_before] => 137.80000000
            [low_after] => 139.74000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)