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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 30 Jan 2026 at 07:09:43

Take profit at 140.6385 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 142.4858 (0.43 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 30 Jan 2026 at 07:09:43

With 12.9922 MSTR at 141.87$ per unit.

Position size of 1843.2005 $

Take profit at 140.6385 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 142.4858 (0.43 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 4.16
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.91
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.81
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.64
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.681947

15m : 0.055301

1H : -0.171722

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.1
  4. atr: 0.4105033625
Details
  1. score: 1.1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 141.069
  4. ema21 : 143.339
  5. ema50 : 148.952
  6. ema100 : 153.372
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0056718
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0158319
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0376879
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0749991
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.225397
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.320018
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.27732
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.183766
  17. rsi : 0.392311
  18. adx : 0.548371
  19. kc_percentage : 0.3312
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0515904
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.886392
  22. volume_ema1 : 149964.69978381
  23. volume_ema2 : 1320021.3652002
  24. chop : 51.0043
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 140.772
  28. ema21 : 140.449
  29. ema50 : 141.372
  30. ema100 : 144.234
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0077973
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00229576
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00652541
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0163906
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0379323
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0060703
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0423522
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0638789
  41. rsi : 0.604271
  42. adx : 0.218085
  43. kc_percentage : 0.964552
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0215759
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.830167
  46. volume_ema1 : 27336.192788003
  47. volume_ema2 : 160959.42036022
  48. chop : 30.0312
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 141.364
  52. ema21 : 140.787
  53. ema50 : 140.368
  54. ema100 : 140.382
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0035724
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00409859
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00299118
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.010595
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0703286
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.058141
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0286955
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0118348
  65. rsi : 0.674991
  66. adx : 0.212894
  67. kc_percentage : 1.10232
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0122567
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.493423
  70. volume_ema1 : 7572.8697656599
  71. volume_ema2 : 14949.117318944
  72. chop : 34.0768
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    82674.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00447356
  78. 5m_price: 
    83044.8
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.681947
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    83978.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0111188
  83. 15m_price: 
    83044.8
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.055301
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    86606.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.041126
  88. 1H_price: 
    83044.8
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.171722
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
                    [1] => 162.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                    [1] => 161.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:00:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:00:00
                    [1] => 142.24
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38667041619798
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8229317851959
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.22206095791
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 18:30:00
                    [1] => 144.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:15:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:30:00
                    [1] => 142.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
                    [1] => 139.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                    [1] => 140.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:45:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:45:00
                    [1] => 142.24
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38667041619798
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8229317851959
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.22206095791
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
                    [1] => 139.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:15:00
                    [1] => 141.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:40:00
                    [1] => 139.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 03:15:00
                    [1] => 140.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 03:35:00
                    [1] => 139.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:05:00
                    [1] => 140.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:50:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:15:00
                    [1] => 140.94
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:30:00
                    [1] => 140.28
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:55:00
                    [1] => 142.24
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38667041619798
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0051325919589
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3972055888224
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.39%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.01%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.40%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2458
0.17%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.8385
2.02%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-30 01:45:00 139.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 02:15:00 141.02 ↑ High
2026-01-30 02:40:00 139.34 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 03:15:00 140.51 ↑ High
2026-01-30 03:35:00 139.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:05:00 140.69 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:50:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:15:00 140.94 ↑ High
2026-01-30 06:30:00 140.28 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:55:00 142.24 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.39%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.82%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.22%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.2342
1.57%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.8385
2.02%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:15:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:00:00 144.72 ↑ High
2026-01-29 18:30:00 144.67 ↑ High
2026-01-29 21:15:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:30:00 142.27 ↑ High
2026-01-30 01:45:00 139.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:00:00 140.69 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:45:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:45:00 142.24 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.39%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.82%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.22%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
23.2142
16.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.8385
2.02%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 16:00:00 162.48 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 161.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 09:00:00 165.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 14:00:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 21:00:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 21:00:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:00:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:00:00 142.24 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Jan 2026
07:09:43		 30 Jan 2026
07:55:00		 45 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
141.87 142.4858 140.6385 2 141.69
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 141.87
  • Stop Loss: 142.4858
  • Take Profit: 140.6385

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 142.4858 - 141.87 = 0.61580000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 141.87 - 140.6385 = 1.2315

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.2315 / 0.61580000000001 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1843.2005 100 12.9922 18.43
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.61580000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.61580000000001 = 12.99

Taille de position USD = 12.99 x 141.87 = 1842.89

Donc, tu peux acheter 12.99 avec un stoploss a 142.4858

Avec un position size USD de 1842.89$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 12.99 x 0.61580000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 12.99 x 1.2315 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 12.99
  • Taille de position USD 1842.89
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.87 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.43 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.87
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.6384
            [stop_loss] => 142.4858
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 07:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.3305
            [stop_loss] => 142.4858
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 08:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.0226
            [stop_loss] => 142.4858
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 08:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.7147
            [stop_loss] => 142.4858
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.4068
            [stop_loss] => 142.4858
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.0989
            [stop_loss] => 142.4858
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.791
            [stop_loss] => 142.4858
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.4831
            [stop_loss] => 142.4858
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.1752
            [stop_loss] => 142.4858
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 137.8673
            [stop_loss] => 142.4858
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 137.5594
            [stop_loss] => 142.4858
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.13
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 141.81000000
            [low] => 139.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.5
            [mae_pct] => -0.04
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T07:09:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T09:09:43-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.13
            [max_drawdown] => 7.87
            [rr_ratio] => 0.27
            [high] => 149.74000000
            [low] => 139.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.5
            [mae_pct] => 5.55
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.27
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T07:09:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T14:09:43-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 142.24000000
            [high_after] => 146.21000000
            [low_before] => 137.80000000
            [low_after] => 139.74000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)