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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 30 Jan 2026 at 07:18:36

Take profit at 140.691 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 142.3695 (0.39 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 30 Jan 2026 at 07:18:36

With 14.2982 MSTR at 141.81$ per unit.

Position size of 2027.6279 $

Take profit at 140.691 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 142.3695 (0.39 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 4.14
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.81
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.7
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.675861

15m : -0.008962

1H : 0.147564

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.3730073001
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 141.057
  4. ema21 : 143.333
  5. ema50 : 148.95
  6. ema100 : 153.371
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.005332
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0158782
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0377093
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0753831
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.226086
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.320323
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.277447
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.183829
  17. rsi : 0.390673
  18. adx : 0.548371
  19. kc_percentage : 0.323783
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0516122
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.884717
  22. volume_ema1 : 152206.23608381
  23. volume_ema2 : 1320285.0753531
  24. chop : 51.0043
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 140.97
  28. ema21 : 140.568
  29. ema50 : 141.391
  30. ema100 : 144.218
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00595668
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00285742
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00582272
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.016702
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.060298
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00799035
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0351274
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0603328
  41. rsi : 0.599111
  42. adx : 0.218362
  43. kc_percentage : 0.949177
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0194265
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.872389
  46. volume_ema1 : 19718.486058669
  47. volume_ema2 : 154521.43637861
  48. chop : 30.1032
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 141.502
  52. ema21 : 140.951
  53. ema50 : 140.483
  54. ema100 : 140.52
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00217557
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00390414
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00333069
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00917307
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0642907
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0571998
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0301021
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.012033
  65. rsi : 0.655816
  66. adx : 0.230179
  67. kc_percentage : 1.04453
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.010648
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.663759
  70. volume_ema1 : 4859.65760696
  71. volume_ema2 : 14452.920681087
  72. chop : 35.0783
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    82707.1
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00229509
  78. 5m_price: 
    82897
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.675861
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    83953
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0125792
  83. 15m_price: 
    82897
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.008962
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    86603.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0428002
  88. 1H_price: 
    82897
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.147564
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 162.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 12:00:00
                    [1] => 157.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-27 16:00:00
                    [1] => 162.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                    [1] => 161.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 157.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                    [1] => 157.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:00:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:00:00
                    [1] => 142.24
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.47806524184477
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7285921625544
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.22206095791
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 13:30:00
                    [1] => 140.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 15:15:00
                    [1] => 140.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 16:00:00
                    [1] => 144.72
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 18:30:00
                    [1] => 144.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 21:15:00
                    [1] => 138.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 00:30:00
                    [1] => 142.27
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
                    [1] => 139.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                    [1] => 140.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:45:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:45:00
                    [1] => 142.24
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.47806524184477
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7285921625544
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.22206095791
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 01:45:00
                    [1] => 139.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:15:00
                    [1] => 141.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 02:40:00
                    [1] => 139.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 03:15:00
                    [1] => 140.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 03:35:00
                    [1] => 139.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:05:00
                    [1] => 140.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 04:50:00
                    [1] => 137.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:15:00
                    [1] => 140.94
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:30:00
                    [1] => 140.28
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:55:00
                    [1] => 142.24
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.47806524184477
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91246079270031
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3972055888224
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.48%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.91%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.40%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1295
0.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.8910
2.05%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-30 01:45:00 139.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 02:15:00 141.02 ↑ High
2026-01-30 02:40:00 139.34 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 03:15:00 140.51 ↑ High
2026-01-30 03:35:00 139.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:05:00 140.69 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:50:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:15:00 140.94 ↑ High
2026-01-30 06:30:00 140.28 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:55:00 142.24 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.48%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.73%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.22%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.3505
1.65%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.8910
2.05%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 13:30:00 140.76 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 15:15:00 140.06 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 16:00:00 144.72 ↑ High
2026-01-29 18:30:00 144.67 ↑ High
2026-01-29 21:15:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:30:00 142.27 ↑ High
2026-01-30 01:45:00 139.14 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:00:00 140.69 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:45:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:45:00 142.24 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.48%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.73%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.22%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
23.3305
16.39%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.8910
2.05%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-26 23:00:00 162.93 ↑ High
2026-01-27 12:00:00 157.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 16:00:00 162.48 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 161.08 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 09:00:00 165.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 14:00:00 157.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 21:00:00 157.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 21:00:00 138.09 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 04:00:00 137.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:00:00 142.24 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Jan 2026
07:18:36		 30 Jan 2026
07:50:00		 31 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
141.81 142.3695 140.691 2 147.03
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 141.81
  • Stop Loss: 142.3695
  • Take Profit: 140.691

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 142.3695 - 141.81 = 0.55949999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 141.81 - 140.691 = 1.119

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.119 / 0.55949999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2027.6279 100 14.2982 20.28
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.55949999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.55949999999999 = 14.3

Taille de position USD = 14.3 x 141.81 = 2027.88

Donc, tu peux acheter 14.3 avec un stoploss a 142.3695

Avec un position size USD de 2027.88$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 14.3 x 0.55949999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 14.3 x 1.119 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 14.3
  • Taille de position USD 2027.88
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.79 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.39 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.79
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.691
            [stop_loss] => 142.3695
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 07:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.41125
            [stop_loss] => 142.3695
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 08:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.1315
            [stop_loss] => 142.3695
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 08:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.85175
            [stop_loss] => 142.3695
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 08:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.572
            [stop_loss] => 142.3695
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.29225
            [stop_loss] => 142.3695
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.0125
            [stop_loss] => 142.3695
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.73275
            [stop_loss] => 142.3695
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.453
            [stop_loss] => 142.3695
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.17325
            [stop_loss] => 142.3695
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 137.8935
            [stop_loss] => 142.3695
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-30 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.07
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 141.56000000
            [low] => 139.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.46
            [mae_pct] => -0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T07:18:36-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T09:18:36-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.07
            [max_drawdown] => 8.49
            [rr_ratio] => 0.24
            [high] => 150.30000000
            [low] => 139.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.46
            [mae_pct] => 5.99
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.24
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-30T07:18:36-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-30T14:18:36-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 142.24000000
            [high_after] => 146.21000000
            [low_before] => 137.80000000
            [low_after] => 139.74000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)