Short Trade on RIVER 31 Jan 2026 at 15:17:17

Take profit at 26.0304 (5.72 %) and Stop Loss at 28.3998 (2.86 %)

Short Trade on RIVER

The 31 Jan 2026 at 15:17:17

With 10.1294 RIVER at 27.61$ per unit.

Position size of 279.6739 $

Take profit at 26.0304 (5.72 %) and Stop Loss at 28.3998 (2.86 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 90
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.74
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.83
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.6
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high_exhausted

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.066353

15m : 0.086279

1H : -0.117997

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.1
  4. atr: 0.5265179577
Details
  1. score: 1.1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 28.2999
  4. ema21 : 30.7247
  5. ema50 : 35.7659
  6. ema100 : 42.5755
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.02438
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0789211
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.140948
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.351505
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.30023
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.09216
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.883573
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.663344
  17. rsi : 0.296791
  18. adx : 0.44115
  19. kc_percentage : 0.11099
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.272582
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.199295
  22. volume_ema1 : 3301360.3680504
  23. volume_ema2 : 4123069.8875321
  24. chop : 42.1506
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 26.6127
  29. ema21 : 27.3533
  30. ema50 : 29.2134
  31. ema100 : 31.2464
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0374734
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0270777
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0636717
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.116379
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.461397
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.573141
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.468238
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.33724
  42. rsi : 0.483947
  43. adx : 0.38658
  44. kc_percentage : 0.588713
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.134677
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.294339
  47. volume_ema1 : 693004.56720132
  48. volume_ema2 : 982065.24999979
  49. chop : 61.3601
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 26.4171
  54. ema21 : 26.3359
  55. ema50 : 26.9923
  56. ema100 : 28.0265
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0451552
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00308372
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0243176
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.014863
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0515754
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0551932
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.150821
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.147734
  67. rsi : 0.665641
  68. adx : 0.327576
  69. kc_percentage : 1.10052
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.077414
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.0376243
  72. volume_ema1 : 360097.92633443
  73. volume_ema2 : 347040.73435653
  74. chop : 41.5391
  75. regime : range_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    79899.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0305506
  81. 5m_price:
    77458.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.066353
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    81892
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0541355
  86. 15m_price:
    77458.8
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.086279
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    84537
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0837292
  91. 1H_price:
    77458.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.117997
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 22:00:00
                        [1] => 75.627
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 11:00:00
                        [1] => 46.542
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 20:00:00
                        [1] => 43.89
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 06:00:00
                        [1] => 54.592
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 09:00:00
                        [1] => 41.734
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 18:00:00
                        [1] => 40.798
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 00:00:00
                        [1] => 47.713
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 10:00:00
                        [1] => 34.235
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 16:00:00
                        [1] => 33.728
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 12:00:00
                        [1] => 25.037
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -41.999035902165
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.532412030195
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 39
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 34.712625314534
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 18:30:00
                        [1] => 37.035
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 23:45:00
                        [1] => 31.593
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 01:15:00
                        [1] => 33.953
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 03:00:00
                        [1] => 33.826
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 05:30:00
                        [1] => 32.477
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 06:00:00
                        [1] => 29.822
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 07:15:00
                        [1] => 32.274
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 12:00:00
                        [1] => 25.037
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:30:00
                        [1] => 25.062
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:15:00
                        [1] => 27.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.59626436781609
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.42215306041
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.084510414173
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 09:35:00
                        [1] => 29.53
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 09:50:00
                        [1] => 31.056
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 11:00:00
                        [1] => 30.387
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 11:40:00
                        [1] => 26.847
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 12:10:00
                        [1] => 25.037
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 12:35:00
                        [1] => 27.694
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:40:00
                        [1] => 25.062
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:45:00
                        [1] => 26.885
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 14:45:00
                        [1] => 25.573
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:15:00
                        [1] => 27.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.59626436781609
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.2156962421304
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.8648183631173
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.60%
Dist From Last Low Pct
8.22%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.86%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.6562
9.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.9934
3.82%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-31 09:35:00 29.53 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 09:50:00 31.056 ↑ High
2026-01-31 11:00:00 30.387 ↑ High
2026-01-31 11:40:00 26.847 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 12:10:00 25.037 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 12:35:00 27.694 ↑ High
2026-01-31 13:40:00 25.062 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 13:45:00 26.885 ↑ High
2026-01-31 14:45:00 25.573 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 15:15:00 27.84 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.60%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.42%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
11.08%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.6352
30.41%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.9934
3.82%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-30 18:30:00 37.035 ↑ High
2026-01-30 23:45:00 31.593 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 01:15:00 33.953 ↑ High
2026-01-31 03:00:00 33.826 ↑ High
2026-01-31 05:30:00 32.477 ↑ High
2026-01-31 06:00:00 29.822 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 07:15:00 32.274 ↑ High
2026-01-31 12:00:00 25.037 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 13:30:00 25.062 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 15:15:00 27.84 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-42.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.53%
Bars Since Swing High
39 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
34.71%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
47.2272
166.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.9934
3.82%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-27 22:00:00 75.627 ↑ High
2026-01-28 11:00:00 46.542 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 20:00:00 43.89 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 06:00:00 54.592 ↑ High
2026-01-29 09:00:00 41.734 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 18:00:00 40.798 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:00:00 47.713 ↑ High
2026-01-30 10:00:00 34.235 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 16:00:00 33.728 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 12:00:00 25.037 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Jan 2026
15:17:17
31 Jan 2026
18:40:00
3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
27.61 28.3998 26.0304 2 11.063
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 27.61
  • Stop Loss: 28.3998
  • Take Profit: 26.0304

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 28.3998 - 27.61 = 0.7898

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 27.61 - 26.0304 = 1.5796

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5796 / 0.7898 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
279.6739 100 10.1294 2.80
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.7898

Taille de position = 8 / 0.7898 = 10.13

Taille de position USD = 10.13 x 27.61 = 279.69

Donc, tu peux acheter 10.13 avec un stoploss a 28.3998

Avec un position size USD de 279.69$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10.13 x 0.7898 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10.13 x 1.5796 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10.13
  • Taille de position USD 279.69
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.72 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.86 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 5.72
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7208 % 25.2 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 26.0304
            [stop_loss] => 28.3998
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 18:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 25.6355
            [stop_loss] => 28.3998
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 18:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 25.2406
            [stop_loss] => 28.3998
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 20:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 24.8457
            [stop_loss] => 28.3998
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 20:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 24.4508
            [stop_loss] => 28.3998
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 20:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 24.0559
            [stop_loss] => 28.3998
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 21:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.359
            [max_drawdown] => 0.199
            [rr_ratio] => 6.83
            [high] => 27.80900000
            [low] => 26.25100000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.92
            [mae_pct] => 0.72
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.83
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-31T15:17:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-31T17:17:17-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.18
            [max_drawdown] => 0.199
            [rr_ratio] => 26.03
            [high] => 27.80900000
            [low] => 22.43000000
            [mfe_pct] => 18.76
            [mae_pct] => 0.72
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 26.03
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-31T15:17:17-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-31T22:17:17-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 30.02200000
            [high_after] => 27.80900000
            [low_before] => 25.03700000
            [low_after] => 23.91400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)