Short Trade on AAVE 31 Jan 2026 at 16:38:47

Take profit at 123.9205 (2.12 %) and Stop Loss at 127.9548 (1.06 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 31 Jan 2026 at 16:38:47

With 5.9491 AAVE at 126.61$ per unit.

Position size of 753.2098 $

Take profit at 123.9205 (2.12 %) and Stop Loss at 127.9548 (1.06 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.44
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.71
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.71
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.5
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high_exhausted

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.767913

15m : -0.066773

1H : 0.156068

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.16
  4. atr: 0.89650101
Details
  1. score: 1.16
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 127.277
  4. ema21 : 131.236
  5. ema50 : 137.344
  6. ema100 : 143.426
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00524614
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0301621
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0444728
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.117247
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.553016
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.420009
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.310386
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.221286
  17. rsi : 0.311372
  18. adx : 0.706409
  19. kc_percentage : 0.150057
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0982959
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.469827
  22. volume_ema1 : 1235736.5664909
  23. volume_ema2 : 840736.01775118
  24. chop : 14.6034
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 124.475
  29. ema21 : 125.396
  30. ema50 : 128.635
  31. ema100 : 131.767
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0171459
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0073409
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0251818
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0391421
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.042575
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.180665
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.182535
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.13259
  42. rsi : 0.480013
  43. adx : 0.560363
  44. kc_percentage : 0.692408
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0547492
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.725718
  47. volume_ema1 : 93511.690411303
  48. volume_ema2 : 340933.80267656
  49. chop : 38.406
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 125.042
  54. ema21 : 124.334
  55. ema50 : 124.777
  56. ema100 : 126.652
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.012534
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00569409
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00354591
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.000336782
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.131666
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0669856
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00648142
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0372673
  67. rsi : 0.685635
  68. adx : 0.292536
  69. kc_percentage : 1.15767
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0270023
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.457838
  72. volume_ema1 : 59650.66094254
  73. volume_ema2 : 110023.88364419
  74. chop : 43.7645
  75. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    79261.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.014747
  81. 5m_price:
    78092.7
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.767913
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    81456.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0432392
  86. 15m_price:
    77934.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.066773
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    84518.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0760258
  91. 1H_price:
    78092.7
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.156068
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 13:00:00
                        [1] => 153.33
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 18:00:00
                        [1] => 159.72
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 00:00:00
                        [1] => 156.43
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 07:00:00
                        [1] => 163.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 18:00:00
                        [1] => 161.39
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 14:00:00
                        [1] => 142.96
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 01:00:00
                        [1] => 139.72
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 06:00:00
                        [1] => 143.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 13:00:00
                        [1] => 135.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:00:00
                        [1] => 115.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -11.795872838818
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.4274346998789
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 34
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 17.021276595745
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 19:30:00
                        [1] => 138.12
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 20:30:00
                        [1] => 137.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 21:30:00
                        [1] => 138.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 23:15:00
                        [1] => 138.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 03:30:00
                        [1] => 132.87
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 05:45:00
                        [1] => 135.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 09:15:00
                        [1] => 127.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:30:00
                        [1] => 115.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 14:15:00
                        [1] => 125.15
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 16:30:00
                        [1] => 126.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11053213327017
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.4274346998789
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2065521374351
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 10:45:00
                        [1] => 133.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 11:15:00
                        [1] => 130.36
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 11:20:00
                        [1] => 132.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 12:10:00
                        [1] => 123.38
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:40:00
                        [1] => 115.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 14:15:00
                        [1] => 125.15
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 14:40:00
                        [1] => 122.63
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:10:00
                        [1] => 122.41
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:20:00
                        [1] => 124.82
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 16:35:00
                        [1] => 126.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11053213327017
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3575688260763
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4741227367409
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.36%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
17 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.1352
4.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.3005
6.70%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-31 10:45:00 133.09 ↑ High
2026-01-31 11:15:00 130.36 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 11:20:00 132.75 ↑ High
2026-01-31 12:10:00 123.38 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 13:40:00 115.62 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 14:15:00 125.15 ↑ High
2026-01-31 14:40:00 122.63 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 15:10:00 122.41 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 15:20:00 124.82 ↑ High
2026-01-31 16:35:00 126.66 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.43%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.21%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.4852
8.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.3005
6.70%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-30 19:30:00 138.12 ↑ High
2026-01-30 20:30:00 137.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 21:30:00 138.44 ↑ High
2026-01-30 23:15:00 138.43 ↑ High
2026-01-31 03:30:00 132.87 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 05:45:00 135.43 ↑ High
2026-01-31 09:15:00 127.75 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 13:30:00 115.62 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 14:15:00 125.15 ↑ High
2026-01-31 16:30:00 126.66 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-11.80%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.43%
Bars Since Swing High
34 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
17.02%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
35.7952
27.97%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.3005
6.70%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-27 13:00:00 153.33 ↓ Low
2026-01-27 18:00:00 159.72 ↑ High
2026-01-28 00:00:00 156.43 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 07:00:00 163.75 ↑ High
2026-01-28 18:00:00 161.39 ↑ High
2026-01-29 14:00:00 142.96 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 01:00:00 139.72 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:00:00 143.44 ↑ High
2026-01-30 13:00:00 135.3 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 13:00:00 115.62 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Jan 2026
16:38:47
31 Jan 2026
18:05:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
126.61 127.9548 123.9205 2 114.78
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 126.61
  • Stop Loss: 127.9548
  • Take Profit: 123.9205

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 127.9548 - 126.61 = 1.3448

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 126.61 - 123.9205 = 2.6895

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.6895 / 1.3448 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
753.2098 100 5.9491 7.53
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.3448

Taille de position = 8 / 1.3448 = 5.95

Taille de position USD = 5.95 x 126.61 = 753.33

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.95 avec un stoploss a 127.9548

Avec un position size USD de 753.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.95 x 1.3448 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.95 x 2.6895 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.95
  • Taille de position USD 753.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.12 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.06 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.06
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.1847 % 111.53 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 123.9205
            [entry_price] => 126.61
            [stop_loss] => 128.08928
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 18:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 123.9205
            [entry_price] => 126.61
            [stop_loss] => 128.22376
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 18:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 123.9205
            [entry_price] => 126.61
            [stop_loss] => 128.35824
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 18:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 123.9205
            [entry_price] => 126.61
            [stop_loss] => 128.6272
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 18:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.03
            [max_drawdown] => 3.01
            [rr_ratio] => 0.34
            [high] => 129.62000000
            [low] => 125.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.81
            [mae_pct] => 2.38
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.34
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-31T16:38:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-31T18:38:47-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.03
            [max_drawdown] => 3.68
            [rr_ratio] => 0.28
            [high] => 130.29000000
            [low] => 125.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.81
            [mae_pct] => 2.91
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.28
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-31T16:38:47-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-31T23:38:47-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 126.66000000
            [high_after] => 130.29000000
            [low_before] => 115.62000000
            [low_after] => 125.58000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)