Short Trade on AAVE 31 Jan 2026 at 16:38:47
Take profit at 123.9205 (2.12 %) and Stop Loss at 127.9548 (1.06 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 31 Jan 2026 at 16:38:47
Take profit at 123.9205 (2.12 %) and Stop Loss at 127.9548 (1.06 %)
Position size of 753.2098 $
Take profit at 123.9205 (2.12 %) and Stop Loss at 127.9548 (1.06 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.71 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.71 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high_exhausted rules_regime_5m : bear_medium |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.767913 15m : -0.066773 1H : 0.156068 |
3 |
Indicators:
79261.5
-0.014747
78092.7
0.767913
81456.7
-0.0432392
77934.6
-0.066773
84518.2
-0.0760258
78092.7
0.156068
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 10:45:00 | 133.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 11:15:00 | 130.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 11:20:00 | 132.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 12:10:00 | 123.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 13:40:00 | 115.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 14:15:00 | 125.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 14:40:00 | 122.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 15:10:00 | 122.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 15:20:00 | 124.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 16:35:00 | 126.66 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 19:30:00 | 138.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 20:30:00 | 137.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 21:30:00 | 138.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 23:15:00 | 138.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 03:30:00 | 132.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 05:45:00 | 135.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 09:15:00 | 127.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 13:30:00 | 115.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 14:15:00 | 125.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 16:30:00 | 126.66 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 13:00:00 | 153.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-27 18:00:00 | 159.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 00:00:00 | 156.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-28 07:00:00 | 163.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 18:00:00 | 161.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 14:00:00 | 142.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 01:00:00 | 139.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 06:00:00 | 143.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 13:00:00 | 135.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 13:00:00 | 115.62 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 16:38:47 |
31 Jan 2026 18:05:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126.61 | 127.9548 | 123.9205 | 2 | 114.78 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 127.9548 - 126.61 = 1.3448
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 126.61 - 123.9205 = 2.6895
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.6895 / 1.3448 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 753.2098 | 100 | 5.9491 | 7.53 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.3448 = 5.95
Taille de position USD = 5.95 x 126.61 = 753.33
Donc, tu peux acheter 5.95 avec un stoploss a 127.9548
Avec un position size USD de 753.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5.95 x 1.3448 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5.95 x 2.6895 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.12 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.06 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1847 % | 111.53 % | 5 |
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