Short Trade on AR 31 Jan 2026 at 16:49:21

Take profit at 2.4935 (2.18 %) and Stop Loss at 2.5767 (1.09 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 31 Jan 2026 at 16:49:21

With 288.315 AR at 2.549$ per unit.

Position size of 734.9148 $

Take profit at 2.4935 (2.18 %) and Stop Loss at 2.5767 (1.09 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.7
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.71
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.66
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.68
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high_exhausted

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.730312

15m : 0.050332

1H : -0.022112

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.0184982883
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 2.5719
  4. ema21 : 2.68213
  5. ema50 : 2.83007
  6. ema100 : 2.97457
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00890637
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.041099
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0522734
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.143069
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.830652
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.601845
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.391814
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.267558
  17. rsi : 0.262662
  18. adx : 0.724606
  19. kc_percentage : 0.0990328
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.12314
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.667811
  22. volume_ema1 : 296557.60452399
  23. volume_ema2 : 177812.38232485
  24. chop : 11.0368
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 2.51437
  29. ema21 : 2.52386
  30. ema50 : 2.60601
  31. ema100 : 2.69876
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0137697
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00376091
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0315222
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0554951
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0652131
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.140327
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.206786
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.165978
  42. rsi : 0.517383
  43. adx : 0.530888
  44. kc_percentage : 0.673533
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0621674
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.691638
  47. volume_ema1 : 23308.843554766
  48. volume_ema2 : 75589.372451731
  49. chop : 35.7443
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 2.53154
  54. ema21 : 2.50981
  55. ema50 : 2.51007
  56. ema100 : 2.54933
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00689528
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00865809
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000102229
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.000129488
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.21647
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.130279
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0278813
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0240912
  67. rsi : 0.656879
  68. adx : 0.311373
  69. kc_percentage : 1.05852
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.026765
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.826548
  72. volume_ema1 : 4274.9858170681
  73. volume_ema2 : 24646.575957263
  74. chop : 37.7941
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    79177.1
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0134238
  81. 5m_price:
    78114.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.730312
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    81413
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0405191
  86. 15m_price:
    78114.3
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.050332
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    84518.7
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0757749
  91. 1H_price:
    78114.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.022112
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 03:00:00
                        [1] => 3.282
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 06:00:00
                        [1] => 3.358
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 18:00:00
                        [1] => 3.334
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 22:00:00
                        [1] => 3.139
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
                        [1] => 2.931
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 20:00:00
                        [1] => 2.852
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 06:00:00
                        [1] => 2.969
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 13:00:00
                        [1] => 2.847
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 14:00:00
                        [1] => 2.984
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:00:00
                        [1] => 2.297
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -14.577747989276
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.970831519373
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 26
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 29.908576404005
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 22:45:00
                        [1] => 2.87
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 23:00:00
                        [1] => 2.898
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 03:30:00
                        [1] => 2.778
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 09:45:00
                        [1] => 2.553
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 11:15:00
                        [1] => 2.677
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 12:00:00
                        [1] => 2.399
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:30:00
                        [1] => 2.297
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 14:00:00
                        [1] => 2.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:30:00
                        [1] => 2.441
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 16:30:00
                        [1] => 2.562
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.50741608118657
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.4244162228595
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.9569848422778
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 10:40:00
                        [1] => 2.653
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 11:15:00
                        [1] => 2.606
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 11:20:00
                        [1] => 2.677
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 12:10:00
                        [1] => 2.399
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:40:00
                        [1] => 2.297
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 14:10:00
                        [1] => 2.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 14:40:00
                        [1] => 2.447
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:20:00
                        [1] => 2.505
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:35:00
                        [1] => 2.441
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 16:35:00
                        [1] => 2.562
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.50741608118657
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.4244162228595
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.9569848422778
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.51%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.42%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.96%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1003
3.89%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1965
7.88%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-31 10:40:00 2.653 ↑ High
2026-01-31 11:15:00 2.606 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 11:20:00 2.677 ↑ High
2026-01-31 12:10:00 2.399 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 13:40:00 2.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 14:10:00 2.51 ↑ High
2026-01-31 14:40:00 2.447 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 15:20:00 2.505 ↑ High
2026-01-31 15:35:00 2.441 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 16:35:00 2.562 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.51%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.42%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.96%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3213
12.47%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1965
7.88%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-30 22:45:00 2.87 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 23:00:00 2.898 ↑ High
2026-01-31 03:30:00 2.778 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 09:45:00 2.553 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 11:15:00 2.677 ↑ High
2026-01-31 12:00:00 2.399 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 13:30:00 2.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 14:00:00 2.51 ↑ High
2026-01-31 15:30:00 2.441 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 16:30:00 2.562 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-14.58%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.97%
Bars Since Swing High
26 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
29.91%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.7813
30.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1965
7.88%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-28 03:00:00 3.282 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 06:00:00 3.358 ↑ High
2026-01-28 18:00:00 3.334 ↑ High
2026-01-28 22:00:00 3.139 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 10:00:00 2.931 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 20:00:00 2.852 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:00:00 2.969 ↑ High
2026-01-30 13:00:00 2.847 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 14:00:00 2.984 ↑ High
2026-01-31 13:00:00 2.297 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Jan 2026
16:49:21
31 Jan 2026
18:20:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.549 2.5767 2.4935 2 1.666
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.549
  • Stop Loss: 2.5767
  • Take Profit: 2.4935

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.5767 - 2.549 = 0.0277

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.549 - 2.4935 = 0.0555

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0555 / 0.0277 = 2.0036

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
734.9148 100 288.315 7.35
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0277

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0277 = 288.81

Taille de position USD = 288.81 x 2.549 = 736.18

Donc, tu peux acheter 288.81 avec un stoploss a 2.5767

Avec un position size USD de 736.18$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 288.81 x 0.0277 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 288.81 x 0.0555 = 16.03

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.03$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 288.81
  • Taille de position USD 736.18
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.03
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0036

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.18 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.09 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -1.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.8439 % 169.68 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.4935
            [entry_price] => 2.549
            [stop_loss] => 2.57947
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 18:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.4935
            [entry_price] => 2.549
            [stop_loss] => 2.58224
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 18:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.4935
            [entry_price] => 2.549
            [stop_loss] => 2.58501
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 18:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.4935
            [entry_price] => 2.549
            [stop_loss] => 2.59055
            [rr_ratio] => 1.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 18:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.028
            [max_drawdown] => 0.047
            [rr_ratio] => 0.6
            [high] => 2.59600000
            [low] => 2.52100000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.1
            [mae_pct] => 1.84
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-31T16:49:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-31T18:49:21-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.028
            [max_drawdown] => 0.077
            [rr_ratio] => 0.36
            [high] => 2.62600000
            [low] => 2.52100000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.1
            [mae_pct] => 3.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.36
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-31T16:49:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-31T23:49:21-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 2.56200000
            [high_after] => 2.62600000
            [low_before] => 2.29700000
            [low_after] => 2.52100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)