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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 31 Jan 2026 at 16:59:00

Take profit at 2.4981 (1.96 %) and Stop Loss at 2.5729 (0.98 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 31 Jan 2026 at 16:59:00

With 320.6937 AR at 2.548$ per unit.

Position size of 817.1276 $

Take profit at 2.4981 (1.96 %) and Stop Loss at 2.5729 (0.98 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.66
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.66
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.61
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.59
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high_exhausted

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.730014

15m : 0.03281

1H : -0.089466

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.0166306144
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 2.5717
  4. ema21 : 2.68204
  5. ema50 : 2.83003
  6. ema100 : 2.97455
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00921814
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0411411
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0522924
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.143399
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.831235
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.602107
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.391924
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.267612
  17. rsi : 0.260768
  18. adx : 0.724606
  19. kc_percentage : 0.0961503
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.123189
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.67245
  22. volume_ema1 : 297584.33889065
  23. volume_ema2 : 177933.17460328
  24. chop : 11.0368
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 2.51437
  28. ema21 : 2.52386
  29. ema50 : 2.60601
  30. ema100 : 2.69876
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.013372
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00376091
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0315222
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0558657
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0652131
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.140327
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.206786
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.165978
  41. rsi : 0.517383
  42. adx : 0.530888
  43. kc_percentage : 0.667223
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0621918
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.691638
  46. volume_ema1 : 23308.843554766
  47. volume_ema2 : 75589.372451731
  48. chop : 35.7443
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 2.53762
  52. ema21 : 2.51652
  53. ema50 : 2.51314
  54. ema100 : 2.55023
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00408714
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0083861
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00134296
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.000874919
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.208912
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.142211
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0407913
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0163312
  65. rsi : 0.651808
  66. adx : 0.327549
  67. kc_percentage : 1.0135
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0231481
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.886226
  70. volume_ema1 : 2609.3964409191
  71. volume_ema2 : 22935.028088787
  72. chop : 42.5964
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    79154.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0123889
  78. 5m_price: 
    78173.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.730014
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    81413.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0404456
  83. 15m_price: 
    78120.4
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.03281
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    84519.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0750862
  88. 1H_price: 
    78173.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.089466
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 03:00:00
                    [1] => 3.282
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 06:00:00
                    [1] => 3.358
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 18:00:00
                    [1] => 3.334
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-28 22:00:00
                    [1] => 3.139
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
                    [1] => 2.931
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-29 20:00:00
                    [1] => 2.852
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 06:00:00
                    [1] => 2.969
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 13:00:00
                    [1] => 2.847
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 14:00:00
                    [1] => 2.984
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 13:00:00
                    [1] => 2.297
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -14.778820375335
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.709621245102
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 26
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 29.908576404005
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 22:45:00
                    [1] => 2.87
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-30 23:00:00
                    [1] => 2.898
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 03:30:00
                    [1] => 2.778
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 09:45:00
                    [1] => 2.553
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 11:15:00
                    [1] => 2.677
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 12:00:00
                    [1] => 2.399
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 13:30:00
                    [1] => 2.297
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 14:00:00
                    [1] => 2.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 15:30:00
                    [1] => 2.441
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 16:30:00
                    [1] => 2.562
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.74160811865729
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.1786153215895
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.9569848422778
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 10:40:00
                    [1] => 2.653
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 11:15:00
                    [1] => 2.606
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 11:20:00
                    [1] => 2.677
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 12:10:00
                    [1] => 2.399
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 13:40:00
                    [1] => 2.297
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 14:10:00
                    [1] => 2.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 14:40:00
                    [1] => 2.447
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 15:20:00
                    [1] => 2.505
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 15:35:00
                    [1] => 2.441
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-01-31 16:35:00
                    [1] => 2.562
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.74160811865729
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.1786153215895
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.9569848422778
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.74%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.18%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.96%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1041
4.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2011
8.05%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-31 10:40:00 2.653 ↑ High
2026-01-31 11:15:00 2.606 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 11:20:00 2.677 ↑ High
2026-01-31 12:10:00 2.399 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 13:40:00 2.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 14:10:00 2.51 ↑ High
2026-01-31 14:40:00 2.447 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 15:20:00 2.505 ↑ High
2026-01-31 15:35:00 2.441 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 16:35:00 2.562 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.74%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.18%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.96%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3251
12.64%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2011
8.05%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-30 22:45:00 2.87 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 23:00:00 2.898 ↑ High
2026-01-31 03:30:00 2.778 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 09:45:00 2.553 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 11:15:00 2.677 ↑ High
2026-01-31 12:00:00 2.399 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 13:30:00 2.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 14:00:00 2.51 ↑ High
2026-01-31 15:30:00 2.441 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 16:30:00 2.562 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-14.78%
Dist From Last Low Pct
10.71%
Bars Since Swing High
26 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
29.91%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.7851
30.51%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2011
8.05%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-28 03:00:00 3.282 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 06:00:00 3.358 ↑ High
2026-01-28 18:00:00 3.334 ↑ High
2026-01-28 22:00:00 3.139 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 10:00:00 2.931 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 20:00:00 2.852 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:00:00 2.969 ↑ High
2026-01-30 13:00:00 2.847 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 14:00:00 2.984 ↑ High
2026-01-31 13:00:00 2.297 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Jan 2026
16:59:00		 31 Jan 2026
18:20:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.548 2.5729 2.4981 2 1.645
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.548
  • Stop Loss: 2.5729
  • Take Profit: 2.4981

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.5729 - 2.548 = 0.0249

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.548 - 2.4981 = 0.0499

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0499 / 0.0249 = 2.004

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
817.1276 100 320.6937 8.17
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0249

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0249 = 321.29

Taille de position USD = 321.29 x 2.548 = 818.65

Donc, tu peux acheter 321.29 avec un stoploss a 2.5729

Avec un position size USD de 818.65$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 321.29 x 0.0249 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 321.29 x 0.0499 = 16.03

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.03$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 321.29
  • Taille de position USD 818.65
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.03
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.004

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.96 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.98 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -0.98
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.8838 % 192.78 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.4981
            [entry_price] => 2.548
            [stop_loss] => 2.57539
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 18:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.4981
            [entry_price] => 2.548
            [stop_loss] => 2.57788
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 18:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.4981
            [entry_price] => 2.548
            [stop_loss] => 2.58037
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 18:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.4981
            [entry_price] => 2.548
            [stop_loss] => 2.58535
            [rr_ratio] => 1.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 18:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.027
            [max_drawdown] => 0.048
            [rr_ratio] => 0.56
            [high] => 2.59600000
            [low] => 2.52100000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.06
            [mae_pct] => 1.88
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.56
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-31T16:59:00-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-31T18:59:00-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.027
            [max_drawdown] => 0.078
            [rr_ratio] => 0.35
            [high] => 2.62600000
            [low] => 2.52100000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.06
            [mae_pct] => 3.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-31T16:59:00-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-31T23:59:00-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 2.56200000
            [high_after] => 2.62600000
            [low_before] => 2.29700000
            [low_after] => 2.52100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)