Short Trade on MERL 31 Jan 2026 at 18:11:49

Take profit at 0.05079 (3 %) and Stop Loss at 0.05315 (1.51 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 31 Jan 2026 at 18:11:49

With 10166.2842 MERL at 0.05236$ per unit.

Position size of 532.3066 $

Take profit at 0.05079 (3 %) and Stop Loss at 0.05315 (1.51 %)

That's a 1.99 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.98
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.69
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.430495

15m : -0.095965

1H : -0.19503

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.44
  4. atr: 0.0005246099008
Details
  1. score: 1.44
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0524756
  4. ema21 : 0.0558096
  5. ema50 : 0.0609806
  6. ema100 : 0.0669162
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00220425
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0597387
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0847973
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.217528
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.17969
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.863336
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.595193
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.426917
  17. rsi : 0.323438
  18. adx : 0.402679
  19. kc_percentage : 0.105315
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.155782
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0685075
  22. volume_ema1 : 191789.76875783
  23. volume_ema2 : 179493.1370665
  24. chop : 22.9157
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.0503027
  29. ema21 : 0.0509363
  30. ema50 : 0.0537544
  31. ema100 : 0.0566032
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0408967
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0124392
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.052424
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0749655
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.142652
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.354359
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.366841
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.267235
  42. rsi : 0.555477
  43. adx : 0.593464
  44. kc_percentage : 0.869317
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0785513
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.405345
  47. volume_ema1 : 41412.408122002
  48. volume_ema2 : 69641.105637043
  49. chop : 43.6655
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0511201
  54. ema21 : 0.0502713
  55. ema50 : 0.0504206
  56. ema100 : 0.0517852
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0242545
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0168837
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0029623
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0110994
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.378693
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.178408
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00910088
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0593173
  67. rsi : 0.752547
  68. adx : 0.348453
  69. kc_percentage : 1.43777
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0418597
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.202577
  72. volume_ema1 : 16195.718476237
  73. volume_ema2 : 20310.076351152
  74. chop : 13.7647
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    78768.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00636361
  81. 5m_price:
    78267
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.430495
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    81089.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.034811
  86. 15m_price:
    78267
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.095965
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    84422.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0729104
  91. 1H_price:
    78267
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.19503
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-27 21:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0869
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 09:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0767
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 10:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0894
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0747
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0676
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0665
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 10:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0649
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.06142
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 21:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0654
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04828
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -20.382262996942
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.8500414250207
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 35.459817729909
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 03:15:00
                        [1] => 0.06018
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 04:45:00
                        [1] => 0.06016
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 05:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0613
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 06:45:00
                        [1] => 0.06019
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 07:30:00
                        [1] => 0.06134
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 09:30:00
                        [1] => 0.056
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.04854
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:30:00
                        [1] => 0.04854
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04828
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 18:00:00
                        [1] => 0.05271
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2141908556251
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.8500414250207
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.175642087821
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 11:05:00
                        [1] => 0.05596
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 11:15:00
                        [1] => 0.0571
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 11:50:00
                        [1] => 0.05655
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 12:10:00
                        [1] => 0.05188
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:40:00
                        [1] => 0.04854
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 14:25:00
                        [1] => 0.0518
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:40:00
                        [1] => 0.04854
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 16:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04976
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 17:05:00
                        [1] => 0.04828
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 18:05:00
                        [1] => 0.05271
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2141908556251
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.8500414250207
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.175642087821
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.85%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.18%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0040
7.43%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0025
4.94%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-31 11:05:00 0.05596 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 11:15:00 0.0571 ↑ High
2026-01-31 11:50:00 0.05655 ↑ High
2026-01-31 12:10:00 0.05188 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 13:40:00 0.04854 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 14:25:00 0.0518 ↑ High
2026-01-31 15:40:00 0.04854 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 16:00:00 0.04976 ↑ High
2026-01-31 17:05:00 0.04828 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 18:05:00 0.05271 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.85%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.18%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0082
15.41%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0025
4.94%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-31 03:15:00 0.06018 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 04:45:00 0.06016 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 05:45:00 0.0613 ↑ High
2026-01-31 06:45:00 0.06019 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 07:30:00 0.06134 ↑ High
2026-01-31 09:30:00 0.056 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 13:30:00 0.04854 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 15:30:00 0.04854 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 17:00:00 0.04828 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 18:00:00 0.05271 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-20.38%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.85%
Bars Since Swing High
21 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
35.46%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0363
68.20%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0025
4.94%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-27 21:00:00 0.0869 ↑ High
2026-01-28 09:00:00 0.0767 ↓ Low
2026-01-28 10:00:00 0.0894 ↑ High
2026-01-29 10:00:00 0.0747 ↑ High
2026-01-29 11:00:00 0.0676 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 18:00:00 0.0665 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 10:00:00 0.0649 ↑ High
2026-01-30 11:00:00 0.06142 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 21:00:00 0.0654 ↑ High
2026-01-31 17:00:00 0.04828 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Jan 2026
18:11:49
31 Jan 2026
19:00:00
48 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05236 0.05315 0.05079 1.99 0.04477
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05236
  • Stop Loss: 0.05315
  • Take Profit: 0.05079

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05315 - 0.05236 = 0.00079000000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05236 - 0.05079 = 0.00157

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00157 / 0.00079000000000001 = 1.9873

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
532.3066 100 10166.2842 5.32
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00079000000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00079000000000001 = 10126.58

Taille de position USD = 10126.58 x 0.05236 = 530.23

Donc, tu peux acheter 10126.58 avec un stoploss a 0.05315

Avec un position size USD de 530.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10126.58 x 0.00079000000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10126.58 x 0.00157 = 15.9

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.9$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10126.58
  • Taille de position USD 530.23
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.9
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9873

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3 % 15.96 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.51 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
15.96 $ 3.00
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.05078
            [stop_loss] => 0.05315
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 19:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.050385
            [stop_loss] => 0.05315
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04999
            [stop_loss] => 0.05315
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 19:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.049595
            [stop_loss] => 0.05315
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 20:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0492
            [stop_loss] => 0.05315
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 23:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.048805
            [stop_loss] => 0.05315
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 23:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04841
            [stop_loss] => 0.05315
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 23:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.048015
            [stop_loss] => 0.05315
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 23:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04762
            [stop_loss] => 0.05315
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 23:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.047225
            [stop_loss] => 0.05315
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 23:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04683
            [stop_loss] => 0.05315
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 23:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00264
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.05207000
            [low] => 0.04972000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.04
            [mae_pct] => -0.55
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-31T18:11:49-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-31T20:11:49-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00589
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.05207000
            [low] => 0.04647000
            [mfe_pct] => 11.25
            [mae_pct] => -0.55
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-31T18:11:49-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-01T01:11:49-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.05271000
            [high_after] => 0.05207000
            [low_before] => 0.04828000
            [low_after] => 0.04647000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)