Short Trade on MERL 31 Jan 2026 at 18:11:49
Take profit at 0.05079 (3 %) and Stop Loss at 0.05315 (1.51 %)
Short Trade on MERL 31 Jan 2026 at 18:11:49
Take profit at 0.05079 (3 %) and Stop Loss at 0.05315 (1.51 %)
Position size of 532.3066 $
Take profit at 0.05079 (3 %) and Stop Loss at 0.05315 (1.51 %)
That's a 1.99 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.98 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.69 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.61 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.430495 15m : -0.095965 1H : -0.19503 |
3 |
Indicators:
78768.2
-0.00636361
78267
0.430495
81089.8
-0.034811
78267
-0.095965
84422.2
-0.0729104
78267
-0.19503
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 11:05:00 | 0.05596 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 11:15:00 | 0.0571 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 11:50:00 | 0.05655 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 12:10:00 | 0.05188 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 13:40:00 | 0.04854 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 14:25:00 | 0.0518 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 15:40:00 | 0.04854 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 16:00:00 | 0.04976 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 17:05:00 | 0.04828 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 18:05:00 | 0.05271 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 03:15:00 | 0.06018 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 04:45:00 | 0.06016 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 05:45:00 | 0.0613 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 06:45:00 | 0.06019 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 07:30:00 | 0.06134 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 09:30:00 | 0.056 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 13:30:00 | 0.04854 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 15:30:00 | 0.04854 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 17:00:00 | 0.04828 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 18:00:00 | 0.05271 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 21:00:00 | 0.0869 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-28 09:00:00 | 0.0767 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-28 10:00:00 | 0.0894 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 10:00:00 | 0.0747 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 11:00:00 | 0.0676 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 18:00:00 | 0.0665 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 10:00:00 | 0.0649 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 11:00:00 | 0.06142 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 21:00:00 | 0.0654 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 17:00:00 | 0.04828 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 18:11:49 |
31 Jan 2026 19:00:00 |
48 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05236 | 0.05315 | 0.05079 | 1.99 | 0.04477 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.05315 - 0.05236 = 0.00079000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.05236 - 0.05079 = 0.00157
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00157 / 0.00079000000000001 = 1.9873
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 532.3066 | 100 | 10166.2842 | 5.32 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00079000000000001 = 10126.58
Taille de position USD = 10126.58 x 0.05236 = 530.23
Donc, tu peux acheter 10126.58 avec un stoploss a 0.05315
Avec un position size USD de 530.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10126.58 x 0.00079000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10126.58 x 0.00157 = 15.9
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.9$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3 % | 15.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.51 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.96 $ | 3.00 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
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