Short Trade on BTC 31 Jan 2026 at 18:27:26

Take profit at 78100.194 (1.06 %) and Stop Loss at 79353.753 (0.53 %)

Short Trade on BTC

The 31 Jan 2026 at 18:27:26

With 0.01915 BTC at 78935.9$ per unit.

Position size of 1511.2665 $

Take profit at 78100.194 (1.06 %) and Stop Loss at 79353.753 (0.53 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.98
Prediction Score: 6
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.67
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.47
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.6
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 1

15m : 0.119107

1H : -0.011825

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 278.5686575
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 79107.3
  4. ema21 : 80606.8
  5. ema50 : 82509
  6. ema100 : 84435.5
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00216723
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0186025
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0230548
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0651338
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.425755
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.29486
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.184045
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.127775
  17. rsi : 0.29912
  18. adx : 0.658697
  19. kc_percentage : 0.152667
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0574494
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0409446
  22. volume_ema1 : 284717272.17178
  23. volume_ema2 : 273518175.5076
  24. chop : 16.9434
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 78179.6
  29. ema21 : 78385.8
  30. ema50 : 79640
  31. ema100 : 81045.7
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00967306
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00262997
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0157484
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0260332
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0291703
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0598107
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.09937
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0823229
  42. rsi : 0.48555
  43. adx : 0.498152
  44. kc_percentage : 0.779753
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0265718
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.669602
  47. volume_ema1 : 29967408.227451
  48. volume_ema2 : 90701009.973213
  49. chop : 70.2647
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 78527.6
  54. ema21 : 78296.5
  55. ema50 : 78258
  56. ema100 : 78743.7
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00519835
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00295188
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000491485
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0024408
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0390055
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0288115
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00713278
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0113596
  67. rsi : 0.655294
  68. adx : 0.225384
  69. kc_percentage : 1.0603
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.014174
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.516938
  72. volume_ema1 : 40067032.691801
  73. volume_ema2 : 26413095.515861
  74. chop : 39.481
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    78743.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0024408
  81. 5m_price:
    78935.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    1
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    81045.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0308465
  86. 15m_price:
    78545.8
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.119107
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    84435.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0651338
  91. 1H_price:
    78935.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.011825
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 12:00:00
                        [1] => 90566.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 21:00:00
                        [1] => 87659.7
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 03:00:00
                        [1] => 88468
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 14:00:00
                        [1] => 83321.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 19:00:00
                        [1] => 84704
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 20:00:00
                        [1] => 81058.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 13:00:00
                        [1] => 81840.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 14:00:00
                        [1] => 84590
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:00:00
                        [1] => 75669
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 18:00:00
                        [1] => 79202.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.3473357667459
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3066513367429
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6702084076702
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 17:15:00
                        [1] => 83873.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 18:45:00
                        [1] => 84263.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 21:30:00
                        [1] => 83771.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 22:15:00
                        [1] => 84183.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 03:30:00
                        [1] => 82519.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 09:30:00
                        [1] => 80774.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 11:15:00
                        [1] => 82160
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:30:00
                        [1] => 75669
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:30:00
                        [1] => 77040
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 18:15:00
                        [1] => 79202.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.3473357667459
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4504153686397
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.807502596054
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:40:00
                        [1] => 75669
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 14:10:00
                        [1] => 78526.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 14:35:00
                        [1] => 77141.4
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:20:00
                        [1] => 78095.8
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:30:00
                        [1] => 77040
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 16:00:00
                        [1] => 78129.3
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 16:20:00
                        [1] => 77325
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 17:05:00
                        [1] => 78449.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 17:45:00
                        [1] => 77943.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 18:20:00
                        [1] => 79202.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.3473357667459
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2623181544675
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6152643118961
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.35%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.26%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.62%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
150.8530
0.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
2,431.1940
3.11%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-31 13:40:00 75669 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 14:10:00 78526.8 ↑ High
2026-01-31 14:35:00 77141.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 15:20:00 78095.8 ↑ High
2026-01-31 15:30:00 77040 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 16:00:00 78129.3 ↑ High
2026-01-31 16:20:00 77325 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 17:05:00 78449.9 ↑ High
2026-01-31 17:45:00 77943.9 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 18:20:00 79202.9 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.35%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.45%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.81%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4,909.8470
6.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
2,431.1940
3.11%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-30 17:15:00 83873.3 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 18:45:00 84263.6 ↑ High
2026-01-30 21:30:00 83771.5 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 22:15:00 84183.9 ↑ High
2026-01-31 03:30:00 82519.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 09:30:00 80774.4 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 11:15:00 82160 ↑ High
2026-01-31 13:30:00 75669 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 15:30:00 77040 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 18:15:00 79202.9 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.35%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.31%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.67%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11,212.9470
14.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
2,431.1940
3.11%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-28 12:00:00 90566.7 ↑ High
2026-01-28 21:00:00 87659.7 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 03:00:00 88468 ↑ High
2026-01-29 14:00:00 83321.3 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 19:00:00 84704 ↑ High
2026-01-29 20:00:00 81058.8 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 13:00:00 81840.1 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 14:00:00 84590 ↑ High
2026-01-31 13:00:00 75669 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 18:00:00 79202.9 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Jan 2026
18:27:26
31 Jan 2026
19:15:00
47 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
78935.9 79353.753 78100.194 2 66811.5
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 78935.9
  • Stop Loss: 79353.753
  • Take Profit: 78100.194

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 79353.753 - 78935.9 = 417.853

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 78935.9 - 78100.194 = 835.70599999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 835.70599999999 / 417.853 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1511.2665 100 0.01915 15.11
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 417.853

Taille de position = 8 / 417.853 = 0.02

Taille de position USD = 0.02 x 78935.9 = 1578.72

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.02 avec un stoploss a 79353.753

Avec un position size USD de 1578.72$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.02 x 417.853 = 8.36

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.36$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.02 x 835.70599999999 = 16.71

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.71$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.02
  • Taille de position USD 1578.72
  • Perte potentielle 8.36
  • Gain potentiel 16.71
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.06 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.53 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.53
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5693 % 107.54 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 591.09999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 449.40000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.32
            [high] => 79385.30000000
            [low] => 78344.80000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.75
            [mae_pct] => 0.57
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.32
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-31T18:27:26-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-31T20:27:26-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 691.79999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 449.40000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [high] => 79385.30000000
            [low] => 78244.10000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.88
            [mae_pct] => 0.57
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.54
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-31T18:27:26-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-01T01:27:26-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 79202.90000000
            [high_after] => 79385.30000000
            [low_before] => 77040.00000000
            [low_after] => 78244.10000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)