Short Trade on TAO 31 Jan 2026 at 18:52:46
Take profit at 195.2896 (1.78 %) and Stop Loss at 200.6002 (0.89 %)
Short Trade on TAO 31 Jan 2026 at 18:52:46
Take profit at 195.2896 (1.78 %) and Stop Loss at 200.6002 (0.89 %)
Position size of 898.5562 $
Take profit at 195.2896 (1.78 %) and Stop Loss at 200.6002 (0.89 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.73 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.72 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.52 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.78669 15m : -0.068531 1H : -0.145429 |
3 |
Indicators:
78755.4
0.0008322
78821
0.78669
80964.2
-0.02799
78698.1
-0.068531
84433.2
-0.0664695
78821
-0.145429
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-28 23:00:00
[1] => 225.44
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
[1] => 214.2
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-29 20:00:00
[1] => 222.69
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 05:00:00
[1] => 210.74
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 06:00:00
[1] => 217.46
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 13:00:00
[1] => 207.06
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 14:00:00
[1] => 218.24
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 23:00:00
[1] => 218.56
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 13:00:00
[1] => 178.39
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 18:00:00
[1] => 199.37
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23574258915584
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.497281237738
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.760748920904
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 03:30:00
[1] => 207.03
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 04:30:00
[1] => 211.7
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 09:30:00
[1] => 192.61
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 11:15:00
[1] => 202.16
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 12:00:00
[1] => 184.5
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 13:30:00
[1] => 178.39
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 14:15:00
[1] => 194.75
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 15:30:00
[1] => 187.51
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 16:45:00
[1] => 196.2
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 18:30:00
[1] => 199.37
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23574258915584
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.0743427017226
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6156982670744
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 12:10:00
[1] => 184.5
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 13:10:00
[1] => 191.12
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 13:40:00
[1] => 178.39
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 14:15:00
[1] => 194.75
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 14:40:00
[1] => 187.85
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 15:00:00
[1] => 192.24
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 15:30:00
[1] => 187.51
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 16:50:00
[1] => 196.2
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 17:15:00
[1] => 193.8
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 18:35:00
[1] => 199.37
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23574258915584
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6315789473684
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 19
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8740970072239
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 12:10:00 | 184.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 13:10:00 | 191.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 13:40:00 | 178.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 14:15:00 | 194.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 14:40:00 | 187.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 15:00:00 | 192.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 15:30:00 | 187.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 16:50:00 | 196.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 17:15:00 | 193.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 18:35:00 | 199.37 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 03:30:00 | 207.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 04:30:00 | 211.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 09:30:00 | 192.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 11:15:00 | 202.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 12:00:00 | 184.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 13:30:00 | 178.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 14:15:00 | 194.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 15:30:00 | 187.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 16:45:00 | 196.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 18:30:00 | 199.37 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 23:00:00 | 225.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 10:00:00 | 214.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 20:00:00 | 222.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 05:00:00 | 210.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 06:00:00 | 217.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 13:00:00 | 207.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 14:00:00 | 218.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 23:00:00 | 218.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 13:00:00 | 178.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 18:00:00 | 199.37 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 18:52:46 |
31 Jan 2026 22:40:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 198.83 | 200.6002 | 195.2896 | 2 | 180.58 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 200.6002 - 198.83 = 1.7702
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 198.83 - 195.2896 = 3.5404
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.5404 / 1.7702 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 898.5562 | 100 | 4.5192 | 8.99 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.7702 = 4.52
Taille de position USD = 4.52 x 198.83 = 898.71
Donc, tu peux acheter 4.52 avec un stoploss a 200.6002
Avec un position size USD de 898.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4.52 x 1.7702 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4.52 x 3.5404 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.78 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.89 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.89 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9757 % | 109.59 % | 15 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 195.2896
[entry_price] => 198.83
[stop_loss] => 200.77722
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-01-31 22:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 195.2896
[entry_price] => 198.83
[stop_loss] => 200.95424
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-01-31 22:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 195.2896
[entry_price] => 198.83
[stop_loss] => 201.13126
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-01-31 23:10:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.53
[max_drawdown] => 1.55
[rr_ratio] => 1.63
[high] => 200.38000000
[low] => 196.30000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.27
[mae_pct] => 0.78
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.63
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-01-31T18:52:46-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-01-31T20:52:46-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.34
[max_drawdown] => 2.48
[rr_ratio] => 1.35
[high] => 201.31000000
[low] => 195.49000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.68
[mae_pct] => 1.25
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.35
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-01-31T18:52:46-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-01T01:52:46-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 199.37000000
[high_after] => 201.31000000
[low_before] => 187.51000000
[low_after] => 196.30000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)