Short Trade on AR 31 Jan 2026 at 19:19:28

Take profit at 2.5523 (1.46 %) and Stop Loss at 2.6089 (0.73 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 31 Jan 2026 at 19:19:28

With 424.2285 AR at 2.59$ per unit.

Position size of 1098.7517 $

Take profit at 2.5523 (1.46 %) and Stop Loss at 2.6089 (0.73 %)

That's a 1.99 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.45
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.63
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.52
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.94
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.767066

15m : 0.046623

1H : 0.015521

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.01257184239
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 2.56988
  4. ema21 : 2.65298
  5. ema50 : 2.80013
  6. ema100 : 2.95219
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0078285
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.031325
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0525506
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.122687
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.735817
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.612819
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.420017
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.289116
  17. rsi : 0.356923
  18. adx : 0.705396
  19. kc_percentage : 0.295215
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.106278
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.186871
  22. volume_ema1 : 133265.1550281
  23. volume_ema2 : 163891.91147538
  24. chop : 17.8639
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 2.56267
  29. ema21 : 2.54636
  30. ema50 : 2.58985
  31. ema100 : 2.67373
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0106618
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00640664
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0167935
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0313159
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.229809
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0932218
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0668506
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0995315
  42. rsi : 0.597802
  43. adx : 0.320314
  44. kc_percentage : 0.881936
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0441199
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.63462
  47. volume_ema1 : 20929.525655813
  48. volume_ema2 : 57281.650043509
  49. chop : 62.9343
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 2.57754
  54. ema21 : 2.56313
  55. ema50 : 2.54282
  56. ema100 : 2.5433
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00483183
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0056234
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00798572
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0183607
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.138486
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.111137
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0724512
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0311906
  67. rsi : 0.69389
  68. adx : 0.364426
  69. kc_percentage : 1.03018
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0187759
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0755389
  72. volume_ema1 : 11415.941453998
  73. volume_ema2 : 12348.753925847
  74. chop : 35.7878
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    78789.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00543637
  81. 5m_price:
    79218.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.767066
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    80927
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0211161
  86. 15m_price:
    79218.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.046623
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    84285.6
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0601218
  91. 1H_price:
    79218.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.015521
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 06:00:00
                        [1] => 3.358
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 18:00:00
                        [1] => 3.334
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 22:00:00
                        [1] => 3.139
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
                        [1] => 2.931
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 20:00:00
                        [1] => 2.852
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 06:00:00
                        [1] => 2.969
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 13:00:00
                        [1] => 2.847
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 14:00:00
                        [1] => 2.984
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:00:00
                        [1] => 2.297
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 18:00:00
                        [1] => 2.596
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.231124807396
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 12.755768393557
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 13.016978667828
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 03:30:00
                        [1] => 2.778
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 09:45:00
                        [1] => 2.553
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 11:15:00
                        [1] => 2.677
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 12:00:00
                        [1] => 2.399
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:30:00
                        [1] => 2.297
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 14:00:00
                        [1] => 2.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:30:00
                        [1] => 2.441
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 16:30:00
                        [1] => 2.562
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 17:45:00
                        [1] => 2.521
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 18:15:00
                        [1] => 2.596
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.231124807396
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7370091233637
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9750099166997
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 12:10:00
                        [1] => 2.399
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:40:00
                        [1] => 2.297
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 14:10:00
                        [1] => 2.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 14:40:00
                        [1] => 2.447
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:20:00
                        [1] => 2.505
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:35:00
                        [1] => 2.441
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 16:35:00
                        [1] => 2.562
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 17:45:00
                        [1] => 2.521
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 18:20:00
                        [1] => 2.596
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 19:15:00
                        [1] => 2.594
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15420200462606
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7370091233637
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.077101002313039
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.74%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.08%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0129
0.49%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2553
10.00%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-31 12:10:00 2.399 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 13:40:00 2.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 14:10:00 2.51 ↑ High
2026-01-31 14:40:00 2.447 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 15:20:00 2.505 ↑ High
2026-01-31 15:35:00 2.441 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 16:35:00 2.562 ↑ High
2026-01-31 17:45:00 2.521 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 18:20:00 2.596 ↑ High
2026-01-31 19:15:00 2.594 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.74%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.98%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0681
2.61%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2553
10.00%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-31 03:30:00 2.778 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 09:45:00 2.553 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 11:15:00 2.677 ↑ High
2026-01-31 12:00:00 2.399 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 13:30:00 2.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 14:00:00 2.51 ↑ High
2026-01-31 15:30:00 2.441 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 16:30:00 2.562 ↑ High
2026-01-31 17:45:00 2.521 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 18:15:00 2.596 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
12.76%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
13.02%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.7491
28.71%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2553
10.00%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-28 06:00:00 3.358 ↑ High
2026-01-28 18:00:00 3.334 ↑ High
2026-01-28 22:00:00 3.139 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 10:00:00 2.931 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 20:00:00 2.852 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:00:00 2.969 ↑ High
2026-01-30 13:00:00 2.847 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 14:00:00 2.984 ↑ High
2026-01-31 13:00:00 2.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 18:00:00 2.596 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Jan 2026
19:19:28
31 Jan 2026
21:35:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.59 2.6089 2.5523 1.99 1.666
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.59
  • Stop Loss: 2.6089
  • Take Profit: 2.5523

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.6089 - 2.59 = 0.0189

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.59 - 2.5523 = 0.0377

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0377 / 0.0189 = 1.9947

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1098.7517 100 424.2285 10.99
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0189

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0189 = 423.28

Taille de position USD = 423.28 x 2.59 = 1096.3

Donc, tu peux acheter 423.28 avec un stoploss a 2.6089

Avec un position size USD de 1096.3$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 423.28 x 0.0189 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 423.28 x 0.0377 = 15.96

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 423.28
  • Taille de position USD 1096.3
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.96
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9947

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.46 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.73 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
-8.02 $ -0.73
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9653 % 132.29 % 9

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.5523
            [entry_price] => 2.59
            [stop_loss] => 2.61079
            [rr_ratio] => 1.81
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 21:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.5523
            [entry_price] => 2.59
            [stop_loss] => 2.61268
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 21:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.5523
            [entry_price] => 2.59
            [stop_loss] => 2.61457
            [rr_ratio] => 1.53
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 21:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.5523
            [entry_price] => 2.59
            [stop_loss] => 2.61835
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-01-31 21:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.037
            [max_drawdown] => 0.016
            [rr_ratio] => 2.31
            [high] => 2.60600000
            [low] => 2.55300000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.43
            [mae_pct] => 0.62
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.31
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-31T19:19:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-01-31T21:19:28-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.037
            [max_drawdown] => 0.037
            [rr_ratio] => 1
            [high] => 2.62700000
            [low] => 2.55300000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.43
            [mae_pct] => 1.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-31T19:19:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-01T02:19:28-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 2.59600000
            [high_after] => 2.62700000
            [low_before] => 2.44100000
            [low_after] => 2.55300000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)