Short Trade on AR 31 Jan 2026 at 22:14:05

Take profit at 2.5934 (1.05 %) and Stop Loss at 2.6348 (0.53 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 31 Jan 2026 at 22:14:05

With 580.2396 AR at 2.621$ per unit.

Position size of 1520.8081 $

Take profit at 2.5934 (1.05 %) and Stop Loss at 2.6348 (0.53 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 4.57
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.56
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.65
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.95
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.780275

15m : 0.009077

1H : 0.106854

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.009191604514
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 2.58915
  4. ema21 : 2.64164
  5. ema50 : 2.7784
  6. ema100 : 2.93345
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.012301
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.01987
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0492247
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.106513
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.458386
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.508147
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.395123
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.28439
  17. rsi : 0.415163
  18. adx : 0.662921
  19. kc_percentage : 0.436729
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0920942
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.457285
  22. volume_ema1 : 83887.555058942
  23. volume_ema2 : 154570.29146813
  24. chop : 26.3023
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 2.60059
  29. ema21 : 2.57974
  30. ema50 : 2.59112
  31. ema100 : 2.65484
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00784745
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00807942
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00438846
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0127496
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.145892
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.123765
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.00611025
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0523153
  42. rsi : 0.656553
  43. adx : 0.192135
  44. kc_percentage : 0.968117
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0327249
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.569347
  47. volume_ema1 : 19029.528623539
  48. volume_ema2 : 44187.615037608
  49. chop : 64.5274
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 2.61222
  54. ema21 : 2.60248
  55. ema50 : 2.58185
  56. ema100 : 2.554
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00336095
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00374084
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00798894
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0262315
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0617593
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0600085
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0561459
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0493308
  67. rsi : 0.664608
  68. adx : 0.257587
  69. kc_percentage : 1.00836
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0133236
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.199249
  72. volume_ema1 : 8776.6990450807
  73. volume_ema2 : 7318.4902530084
  74. chop : 47.1573
  75. regime : bull_low_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    78437.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00439715
  81. 5m_price:
    78782.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.780275
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    80437.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0205716
  86. 15m_price:
    78782.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.009077
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    84005.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.06217
  91. 1H_price:
    78782.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.106854
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 06:00:00
                        [1] => 3.358
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 18:00:00
                        [1] => 3.334
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-28 22:00:00
                        [1] => 3.139
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
                        [1] => 2.931
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 20:00:00
                        [1] => 2.852
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 06:00:00
                        [1] => 2.969
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 13:00:00
                        [1] => 2.847
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 14:00:00
                        [1] => 2.984
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:00:00
                        [1] => 2.297
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 22:00:00
                        [1] => 2.626
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22848438690022
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 14.061819764911
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.323030039182
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 11:15:00
                        [1] => 2.677
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 12:00:00
                        [1] => 2.399
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:30:00
                        [1] => 2.297
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 14:00:00
                        [1] => 2.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:30:00
                        [1] => 2.441
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 16:30:00
                        [1] => 2.562
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 17:45:00
                        [1] => 2.521
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 18:15:00
                        [1] => 2.596
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 20:00:00
                        [1] => 2.553
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 22:00:00
                        [1] => 2.626
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22848438690022
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6243634939287
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.8593811202507
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 15:35:00
                        [1] => 2.441
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 16:35:00
                        [1] => 2.562
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 17:45:00
                        [1] => 2.521
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 18:20:00
                        [1] => 2.596
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 19:15:00
                        [1] => 2.594
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 19:35:00
                        [1] => 2.561
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 20:10:00
                        [1] => 2.553
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 21:00:00
                        [1] => 2.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 22:05:00
                        [1] => 2.605
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 22:10:00
                        [1] => 2.626
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.22848438690022
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.57581573896354
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.80614203454894
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.58%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.81%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0088
0.33%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1524
5.88%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-31 15:35:00 2.441 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 16:35:00 2.562 ↑ High
2026-01-31 17:45:00 2.521 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 18:20:00 2.596 ↑ High
2026-01-31 19:15:00 2.594 ↑ High
2026-01-31 19:35:00 2.561 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 20:10:00 2.553 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 21:00:00 2.58 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 22:05:00 2.605 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 22:10:00 2.626 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.62%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.86%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0422
1.60%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2964
11.43%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-31 11:15:00 2.677 ↑ High
2026-01-31 12:00:00 2.399 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 13:30:00 2.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 14:00:00 2.51 ↑ High
2026-01-31 15:30:00 2.441 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 16:30:00 2.562 ↑ High
2026-01-31 17:45:00 2.521 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 18:15:00 2.596 ↑ High
2026-01-31 20:00:00 2.553 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 22:00:00 2.626 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
14.06%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
14.32%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.7232
27.45%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2964
11.43%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-28 06:00:00 3.358 ↑ High
2026-01-28 18:00:00 3.334 ↑ High
2026-01-28 22:00:00 3.139 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 10:00:00 2.931 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 20:00:00 2.852 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 06:00:00 2.969 ↑ High
2026-01-30 13:00:00 2.847 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 14:00:00 2.984 ↑ High
2026-01-31 13:00:00 2.297 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 22:00:00 2.626 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
31 Jan 2026
22:14:05
01 Feb 2026
00:55:00
2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.621 2.6348 2.5934 2 1.685
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.621
  • Stop Loss: 2.6348
  • Take Profit: 2.5934

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.6348 - 2.621 = 0.0138

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.621 - 2.5934 = 0.0276

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0276 / 0.0138 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1520.8081 100 580.2396 15.21
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0138

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0138 = 579.71

Taille de position USD = 579.71 x 2.621 = 1519.42

Donc, tu peux acheter 579.71 avec un stoploss a 2.6348

Avec un position size USD de 1519.42$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 579.71 x 0.0138 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 579.71 x 0.0276 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 579.71
  • Taille de position USD 1519.42
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.05 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.53 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 1.05
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2289 % 43.48 % 8

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.5934
            [stop_loss] => 2.6348
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 00:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.5865
            [stop_loss] => 2.6348
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 01:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.5796
            [stop_loss] => 2.6348
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 01:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.5727
            [stop_loss] => 2.6348
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 01:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.5658
            [stop_loss] => 2.6348
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 01:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.022
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0059999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 3.67
            [high] => 2.62700000
            [low] => 2.59900000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.84
            [mae_pct] => 0.23
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-01-31T22:14:05-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-01T00:14:05-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.06
            [max_drawdown] => 0.022
            [rr_ratio] => 2.73
            [high] => 2.64300000
            [low] => 2.56100000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.29
            [mae_pct] => 0.84
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.73
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-01-31T22:14:05-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-01T05:14:05-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 2.62600000
            [high_after] => 2.63200000
            [low_before] => 2.53100000
            [low_after] => 2.56100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)