Short Trade on XAU 01 Feb 2026 at 17:34:18
Take profit at 4842.3437 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 4870.1331 (0.19 %)
Short Trade on XAU 01 Feb 2026 at 17:34:18
Take profit at 4842.3437 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 4870.1331 (0.19 %)
Position size of 4198.0365 $
Take profit at 4842.3437 (0.38 %) and Stop Loss at 4870.1331 (0.19 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.98 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.84 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_medium |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.44344 15m : -0.050599 1H : -0.107438 |
2 |
Indicators:
77389.4
-0.0014521
77277.1
0.44344
77948.4
-0.00861286
77277.1
-0.050599
82079.4
-0.0585081
77277.1
-0.107438
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Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 10:05:00 | 4846.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 10:55:00 | 4872.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 11:20:00 | 4838.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 12:10:00 | 4861.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 13:05:00 | 4877.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 15:25:00 | 4824.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 16:10:00 | 4822.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 16:25:00 | 4837.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 16:55:00 | 4818.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 17:20:00 | 4865.29 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 02:00:00 | 4872.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 02:45:00 | 4886.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 04:15:00 | 4877.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 04:30:00 | 4885.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 07:30:00 | 4871.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 08:00:00 | 4884.53 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 11:15:00 | 4838.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 13:00:00 | 4877.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 16:45:00 | 4818.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 17:15:00 | 4865.29 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 01:00:00 | 5601.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 09:00:00 | 5554.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-29 10:00:00 | 5124.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 19:00:00 | 5458.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 04:00:00 | 4951 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 13:00:00 | 4736.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 07:00:00 | 4906.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 13:00:00 | 4842.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 19:00:00 | 4894.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 16:00:00 | 4818.51 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb 2026 17:34:18 |
01 Feb 2026 17:55:00 |
20 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4860.87 | 4870.1331 | 4842.3437 | 2 | 5166.74 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4870.1331 - 4860.87 = 9.2631000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4860.87 - 4842.3437 = 18.5263
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 18.5263 / 9.2631000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4198.0365 | 100 | 0.8636 | 41.98 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 9.2631000000001 = 0.86
Taille de position USD = 0.86 x 4860.87 = 4180.35
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.86 avec un stoploss a 4870.1331
Avec un position size USD de 4180.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.86 x 9.2631000000001 = 7.97
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.97$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.86 x 18.5263 = 15.93
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.93$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2065 % | 108.34 % | 4 |
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