Short Trade on XAU 01 Feb 2026 at 17:54:19

Take profit at 4844.5996 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 4873.8802 (0.2 %)

Short Trade on XAU

The 01 Feb 2026 at 17:54:19

With 0.8197 XAU at 4864.12$ per unit.

Position size of 3986.9098 $

Take profit at 4844.5996 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 4873.8802 (0.2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.98
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.81
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.89
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_medium

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.406846

15m : -0.033962

1H : 0.056408

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 6.50678717
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4854.6
  4. ema21 : 4866.73
  5. ema50 : 4919.5
  6. ema100 : 5024.36
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00195906
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00249175
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0107268
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0318933
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0470982
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0372573
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0629976
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0735086
  17. rsi : 0.467075
  18. adx : 0.494073
  19. kc_percentage : 0.481192
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0172055
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.589064
  22. volume_ema1 : 2195716.5834566
  23. volume_ema2 : 5343211.150759
  24. chop : 53.944
  25. regime : bear_medium
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4846.44
  29. ema21 : 4847.75
  30. ema50 : 4857.07
  31. ema100 : 4865.95
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00364634
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000270555
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00191724
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.000377247
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0164234
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0210404
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.01761
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.012131
  42. rsi : 0.540519
  43. adx : 0.274125
  44. kc_percentage : 0.859576
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00953566
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.477442
  47. volume_ema1 : 407065.12223236
  48. volume_ema2 : 778986.8614094
  49. chop : 41.7412
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4854.82
  54. ema21 : 4847.97
  55. ema50 : 4846.61
  56. ema100 : 4851.03
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00191412
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00141284
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000280484
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00269656
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0402041
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0225198
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00644616
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.000519372
  67. rsi : 0.653581
  68. adx : 0.2823
  69. kc_percentage : 1.08575
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00555296
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.21196
  72. volume_ema1 : 137732.32008318
  73. volume_ema2 : 174778.44222927
  74. chop : 21.5176
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    77295.3
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00119752
  81. 5m_price:
    77202.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.406846
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    77921.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00909023
  86. 15m_price:
    77213
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.033962
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    82077.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0593964
  91. 1H_price:
    77202.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.056408
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 01:00:00
                        [1] => 5601.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 09:00:00
                        [1] => 5554.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
                        [1] => 5124.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5458.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                        [1] => 4951
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4736.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 07:00:00
                        [1] => 4906.55
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4842.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4894.99
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 16:00:00
                        [1] => 4818.51
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.66578276972987
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91086248653628
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 22
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5872126445727
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 02:00:00
                        [1] => 4872.95
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 02:45:00
                        [1] => 4886.4
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 04:15:00
                        [1] => 4877.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 04:30:00
                        [1] => 4885.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 07:30:00
                        [1] => 4871.33
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 08:00:00
                        [1] => 4884.53
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 11:15:00
                        [1] => 4838.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4877.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 16:45:00
                        [1] => 4818.51
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 17:15:00
                        [1] => 4865.29
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.059400364623698
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91086248653628
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.97083953338272
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 10:55:00
                        [1] => 4872.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 11:20:00
                        [1] => 4838.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 12:10:00
                        [1] => 4861.53
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 13:05:00
                        [1] => 4877.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 15:25:00
                        [1] => 4824.53
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 16:10:00
                        [1] => 4822.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 16:25:00
                        [1] => 4837.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 16:55:00
                        [1] => 4818.51
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 17:20:00
                        [1] => 4865.29
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 17:50:00
                        [1] => 4865.08
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.055086452843536
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91086248653628
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.0043164757825161
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.91%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.8098
0.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
26.0896
0.54%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 10:55:00 4872.96 ↑ High
2026-02-01 11:20:00 4838.35 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 12:10:00 4861.53 ↑ High
2026-02-01 13:05:00 4877.69 ↑ High
2026-02-01 15:25:00 4824.53 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 16:10:00 4822.54 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 16:25:00 4837.87 ↑ High
2026-02-01 16:55:00 4818.51 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 17:20:00 4865.29 ↑ High
2026-02-01 17:50:00 4865.08 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.91%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.97%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.5198
0.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
26.0896
0.54%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 02:00:00 4872.95 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 02:45:00 4886.4 ↑ High
2026-02-01 04:15:00 4877.21 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 04:30:00 4885.9 ↑ High
2026-02-01 07:30:00 4871.33 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 08:00:00 4884.53 ↑ High
2026-02-01 11:15:00 4838.35 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 13:00:00 4877.69 ↑ High
2026-02-01 16:45:00 4818.51 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 17:15:00 4865.29 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.67%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.91%
Bars Since Swing High
22 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.59%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
727.5398
14.93%
TP to Pivot Distance
108.0096
2.23%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 01:00:00 5601.42 ↑ High
2026-01-29 09:00:00 5554.74 ↑ High
2026-01-29 10:00:00 5124.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 19:00:00 5458.5 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:00:00 4951 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 13:00:00 4736.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 07:00:00 4906.55 ↑ High
2026-01-31 13:00:00 4842.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 19:00:00 4894.99 ↑ High
2026-02-01 16:00:00 4818.51 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
01 Feb 2026
17:54:19
01 Feb 2026
18:00:00
5 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4864.12 4873.8802 4844.5996 2 5166.74
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4864.12
  • Stop Loss: 4873.8802
  • Take Profit: 4844.5996

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4873.8802 - 4864.12 = 9.7601999999997

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4864.12 - 4844.5996 = 19.5204

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 19.5204 / 9.7601999999997 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3986.9098 100 0.8197 39.87
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 9.7601999999997

Taille de position = 8 / 9.7601999999997 = 0.82

Taille de position USD = 0.82 x 4864.12 = 3988.58

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.82 avec un stoploss a 4873.8802

Avec un position size USD de 3988.58$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.82 x 9.7601999999997 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.82 x 19.5204 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.82
  • Taille de position USD 3988.58
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.4 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.2 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.40
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2237 % 111.46 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4844.5996
            [stop_loss] => 4873.8802
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 18:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4839.7195
            [stop_loss] => 4873.8802
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 18:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4834.8394
            [stop_loss] => 4873.8802
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 18:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4829.9593
            [stop_loss] => 4873.8802
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 18:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4825.0792
            [stop_loss] => 4873.8802
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 18:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4820.1991
            [stop_loss] => 4873.8802
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 18:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4815.319
            [stop_loss] => 4873.8802
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 18:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4810.4389
            [stop_loss] => 4873.8802
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 18:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4805.5588
            [stop_loss] => 4873.8802
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 18:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4800.6787
            [stop_loss] => 4873.8802
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 18:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4795.7986
            [stop_loss] => 4873.8802
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 18:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 213.04
            [max_drawdown] => 20.82
            [rr_ratio] => 10.23
            [high] => 4884.94000000
            [low] => 4651.08000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.38
            [mae_pct] => 0.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 10.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-01T17:54:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-01T19:54:19-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 345.82
            [max_drawdown] => 20.82
            [rr_ratio] => 16.61
            [high] => 4884.94000000
            [low] => 4518.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 7.11
            [mae_pct] => 0.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 16.61
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-01T17:54:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-02T00:54:19-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4865.29000000
            [high_after] => 4884.94000000
            [low_before] => 4818.51000000
            [low_after] => 4608.75000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)