Short Trade on RIVER 01 Feb 2026 at 18:56:09

Take profit at 12.5345 (16.12 %) and Stop Loss at 16.1472 (8.06 %)

Short Trade on RIVER

The 01 Feb 2026 at 18:56:09

With 6.6432 RIVER at 14.943$ per unit.

Position size of 99.27 $

Take profit at 12.5345 (16.12 %) and Stop Loss at 16.1472 (8.06 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.2
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.56
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.58
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.89
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : range_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.134048

15m : 0.05275

1H : -0.001777

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 0.8028202742
Details
  1. score: 1.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 13.7705
  4. ema21 : 16.7578
  5. ema50 : 23.2242
  6. ema100 : 30.5496
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0851384
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.178259
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.278434
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.510862
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -2.27681
  14. ema_slope_21 : -2.07821
  15. ema_slope_50 : -1.55351
  16. ema_slope_100 : -1.02499
  17. rsi : 0.409748
  18. adx : 0.304262
  19. kc_percentage : 0.357793
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.736459
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.419617
  22. volume_ema1 : 10317711.551969
  23. volume_ema2 : 7267952.8335751
  24. chop : 38.215
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.4762
  29. ema21 : 12.7862
  30. ema50 : 14.7152
  31. ema100 : 17.3629
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.197718
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0242482
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.131085
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.139375
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.121367
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.888079
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.876781
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.660858
  42. rsi : 0.543165
  43. adx : 0.294692
  44. kc_percentage : 0.909536
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.362501
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.113303
  47. volume_ema1 : 2620974.2529679
  48. volume_ema2 : 2354231.7742532
  49. chop : 49.7323
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 13.6326
  54. ema21 : 12.7234
  55. ema50 : 12.5827
  56. ema100 : 13.6323
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0961152
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0714593
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0111874
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0961427
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 1.78949
  64. ema_slope_21 : 1.03459
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.24693
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0885002
  67. rsi : 0.762992
  68. adx : 0.395546
  69. kc_percentage : 1.1469
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.225064
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.15848
  72. volume_ema1 : 996690.75246569
  73. volume_ema2 : 860342.80176977
  74. chop : 31.8104
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    77157.1
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00262172
  81. 5m_price:
    76954.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.134048
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    77848.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0117334
  86. 15m_price:
    76935.4
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.05275
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    81942
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0608621
  91. 1H_price:
    76954.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.001777
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 06:00:00
                        [1] => 54.592
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 09:00:00
                        [1] => 41.734
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 18:00:00
                        [1] => 40.798
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 00:00:00
                        [1] => 47.713
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 10:00:00
                        [1] => 34.235
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 16:00:00
                        [1] => 33.728
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 12:00:00
                        [1] => 25.037
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 04:00:00
                        [1] => 14.359
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 07:00:00
                        [1] => 23.703
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
                        [1] => 10.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -34.113825254187
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 52.360975609756
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 131.2487804878
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 00:15:00
                        [1] => 23.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 02:00:00
                        [1] => 15.232
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 02:30:00
                        [1] => 19.729
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 04:15:00
                        [1] => 14.359
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 07:00:00
                        [1] => 23.703
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 07:30:00
                        [1] => 16.68
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 09:30:00
                        [1] => 19.67
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 09:45:00
                        [1] => 17.042
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
                        [1] => 10.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 18:45:00
                        [1] => 16.118
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.108326095049
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 52.360975609756
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 57.248780487805
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 12:45:00
                        [1] => 15.136
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 13:15:00
                        [1] => 16.256
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 14:10:00
                        [1] => 14.339
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 14:40:00
                        [1] => 11.987
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 15:15:00
                        [1] => 11.7
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 16:00:00
                        [1] => 10.53
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 17:05:00
                        [1] => 10.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 17:10:00
                        [1] => 12.727
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 18:00:00
                        [1] => 10.666
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 18:55:00
                        [1] => 16.118
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.108326095049
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 46.418526157885
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 51.115694730921
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
46.42%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
51.12%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1088
0.67%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2845
18.23%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 12:45:00 15.136 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 13:15:00 16.256 ↑ High
2026-02-01 14:10:00 14.339 ↑ High
2026-02-01 14:40:00 11.987 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 15:15:00 11.7 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 16:00:00 10.53 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 17:05:00 10.25 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 17:10:00 12.727 ↑ High
2026-02-01 18:00:00 10.666 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 18:55:00 16.118 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
52.36%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
57.25%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.5558
46.79%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2845
18.23%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 00:15:00 23.43 ↑ High
2026-02-01 02:00:00 15.232 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 02:30:00 19.729 ↑ High
2026-02-01 04:15:00 14.359 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 07:00:00 23.703 ↑ High
2026-02-01 07:30:00 16.68 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 09:30:00 19.67 ↑ High
2026-02-01 09:45:00 17.042 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 17:00:00 10.25 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 18:45:00 16.118 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-34.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
52.36%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
131.25%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
38.4448
238.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2845
18.23%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 06:00:00 54.592 ↑ High
2026-01-29 09:00:00 41.734 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 18:00:00 40.798 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 00:00:00 47.713 ↑ High
2026-01-30 10:00:00 34.235 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 16:00:00 33.728 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 12:00:00 25.037 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 04:00:00 14.359 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 07:00:00 23.703 ↑ High
2026-02-01 17:00:00 10.25 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
01 Feb 2026
18:56:09
01 Feb 2026
19:15:00
18 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
14.943 16.1472 12.5345 2 10.849
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 14.943
  • Stop Loss: 16.1472
  • Take Profit: 12.5345

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 16.1472 - 14.943 = 1.2042

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 14.943 - 12.5345 = 2.4085

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.4085 / 1.2042 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
99.27 99.27 6.6432 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.2042

Taille de position = 8 / 1.2042 = 6.64

Taille de position USD = 6.64 x 14.943 = 99.22

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.64 avec un stoploss a 16.1472

Avec un position size USD de 99.22$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.64 x 1.2042 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.64 x 2.4085 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.64
  • Taille de position USD 99.22
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
16.12 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.06 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -8.06
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-18.5639 % 230.36 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.5345
            [entry_price] => 14.943
            [stop_loss] => 16.26762
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 19:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.5345
            [entry_price] => 14.943
            [stop_loss] => 16.38804
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 19:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.5345
            [entry_price] => 14.943
            [stop_loss] => 16.50846
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 19:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.5345
            [entry_price] => 14.943
            [stop_loss] => 16.7493
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-01 19:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.731
            [max_drawdown] => 5.382
            [rr_ratio] => 0.14
            [high] => 20.32500000
            [low] => 14.21200000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.89
            [mae_pct] => 36.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-01T18:56:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-01T20:56:09-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.731
            [max_drawdown] => 5.382
            [rr_ratio] => 0.14
            [high] => 20.32500000
            [low] => 14.21200000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.89
            [mae_pct] => 36.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-01T18:56:09-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-02T01:56:09-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 16.11800000
            [high_after] => 20.32500000
            [low_before] => 10.25000000
            [low_after] => 14.21200000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)