Short Trade on XAU 02 Feb 2026 at 04:30:51

Take profit at 4611.4367 (1.82 %) and Stop Loss at 4739.4366 (0.91 %)

Short Trade on XAU

The 02 Feb 2026 at 04:30:51

With 0.1875 XAU at 4696.77$ per unit.

Position size of 880.645 $

Take profit at 4611.4367 (1.82 %) and Stop Loss at 4739.4366 (0.91 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.85
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.99
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.95
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.99
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.426926

15m : -0.100687

1H : 0.11775

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 28.44442403
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4662.47
  4. ema21 : 4728.94
  5. ema50 : 4831.09
  6. ema100 : 4982.04
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00735559
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0140568
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0211439
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0572599
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.325893
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.236417
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.162575
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.135065
  17. rsi : 0.440462
  18. adx : 0.627085
  19. kc_percentage : 0.424947
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0784787
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.148717
  22. volume_ema1 : 8873823.0440992
  23. volume_ema2 : 7724981.4782969
  24. chop : 19.9884
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4648.13
  29. ema21 : 4638.69
  30. ema50 : 4687.07
  31. ema100 : 4748.12
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0104628
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0020353
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0103218
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0108148
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.120917
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0145297
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0667402
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.059525
  42. rsi : 0.597661
  43. adx : 0.350778
  44. kc_percentage : 0.790463
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0432455
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.40194
  47. volume_ema1 : 1468849.291875
  48. volume_ema2 : 2456023.7991781
  49. chop : 41.6384
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4661.95
  54. ema21 : 4639.22
  55. ema50 : 4624.05
  56. ema100 : 4637.4
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00746721
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00490058
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00328007
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0128017
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0704065
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0714469
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0341741
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00794682
  67. rsi : 0.683358
  68. adx : 0.162263
  69. kc_percentage : 1.01367
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0232304
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.148555
  72. volume_ema1 : 728594.77361004
  73. volume_ema2 : 855716.30054223
  74. chop : 55.421
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    76519.1
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0102298
  81. 5m_price:
    77301.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.426926
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    77123.6
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00231139
  86. 15m_price:
    77301.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.100687
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    80876.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0442021
  91. 1H_price:
    77301.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.11775
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 09:00:00
                        [1] => 5554.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
                        [1] => 5124.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5458.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                        [1] => 4951
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4736.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 07:00:00
                        [1] => 4906.55
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4842.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4894.99
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4884.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 01:00:00
                        [1] => 4441.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.9351558053937
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.6569236242137
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.985004930811
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 11:15:00
                        [1] => 4838.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4877.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 18:15:00
                        [1] => 4651.08
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 19:15:00
                        [1] => 4884.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 20:00:00
                        [1] => 4617.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 21:30:00
                        [1] => 4774.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 23:00:00
                        [1] => 4608.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 23:45:00
                        [1] => 4722.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 01:30:00
                        [1] => 4441.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 04:30:00
                        [1] => 4708
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.32476635514019
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.6569236242137
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.0011797922305
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 21:00:00
                        [1] => 4758.46
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 21:10:00
                        [1] => 4706.15
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 21:30:00
                        [1] => 4774.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 23:05:00
                        [1] => 4608.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 23:40:00
                        [1] => 4665.84
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 23:45:00
                        [1] => 4722.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 00:50:00
                        [1] => 4518.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 01:35:00
                        [1] => 4441.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
                        [1] => 4608
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 04:30:00
                        [1] => 4708
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.32476635514019
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8383246527778
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1701388888889
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.84%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.17%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
35.4634
0.75%
TP to Pivot Distance
169.9767
3.69%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 21:00:00 4758.46 ↑ High
2026-02-01 21:10:00 4706.15 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 21:30:00 4774.9 ↑ High
2026-02-01 23:05:00 4608.75 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 23:40:00 4665.84 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 23:45:00 4722.76 ↑ High
2026-02-02 00:50:00 4518.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 01:35:00 4441.46 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 04:00:00 4608 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 04:30:00 4708 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.66%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
145.5034
3.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
169.9767
3.69%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 11:15:00 4838.35 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 13:00:00 4877.69 ↑ High
2026-02-01 18:15:00 4651.08 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 19:15:00 4884.94 ↑ High
2026-02-01 20:00:00 4617.54 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 21:30:00 4774.9 ↑ High
2026-02-01 23:00:00 4608.75 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 23:45:00 4722.76 ↑ High
2026-02-02 01:30:00 4441.46 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 04:30:00 4708 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.94%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.66%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.99%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
815.3034
17.20%
TP to Pivot Distance
169.9767
3.69%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 09:00:00 5554.74 ↑ High
2026-01-29 10:00:00 5124.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 19:00:00 5458.5 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:00:00 4951 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 13:00:00 4736.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 07:00:00 4906.55 ↑ High
2026-01-31 13:00:00 4842.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 19:00:00 4894.99 ↑ High
2026-02-01 19:00:00 4884.94 ↑ High
2026-02-02 01:00:00 4441.46 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Feb 2026
04:30:51
02 Feb 2026
06:10:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4696.77 4739.4366 4611.4367 2 5196.63
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4696.77
  • Stop Loss: 4739.4366
  • Take Profit: 4611.4367

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4739.4366 - 4696.77 = 42.6666

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4696.77 - 4611.4367 = 85.3333

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 85.3333 / 42.6666 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
880.645 100 0.1875 8.81
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 42.6666

Taille de position = 8 / 42.6666 = 0.19

Taille de position USD = 0.19 x 4696.77 = 892.39

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.19 avec un stoploss a 4739.4366

Avec un position size USD de 892.39$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.19 x 42.6666 = 8.11

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.11$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.19 x 85.3333 = 16.21

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.21$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.19
  • Taille de position USD 892.39
  • Perte potentielle 8.11
  • Gain potentiel 16.21
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.82 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.91 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.91
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.1981 % 131.89 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4611.4367
            [entry_price] => 4696.77
            [stop_loss] => 4743.70326
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 06:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4611.4367
            [entry_price] => 4696.77
            [stop_loss] => 4747.96992
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 06:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4611.4367
            [entry_price] => 4696.77
            [stop_loss] => 4752.23658
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 06:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4611.4367
            [entry_price] => 4696.77
            [stop_loss] => 4760.7699
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 06:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 34.410000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 72.419999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 0.48
            [high] => 4769.19000000
            [low] => 4662.36000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.73
            [mae_pct] => 1.54
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.48
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-02T04:30:51-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-02T06:30:51-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 96.13
            [max_drawdown] => 122.7
            [rr_ratio] => 0.78
            [high] => 4819.47000000
            [low] => 4600.64000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.05
            [mae_pct] => 2.61
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.78
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-02T04:30:51-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-02T11:30:51-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4708.00000000
            [high_after] => 4819.47000000
            [low_before] => 4441.46000000
            [low_after] => 4652.32000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)