Short Trade on XAU 02 Feb 2026 at 04:50:42
Take profit at 4638.8096 (1.75 %) and Stop Loss at 4762.5152 (0.87 %)
Short Trade on XAU 02 Feb 2026 at 04:50:42
Take profit at 4638.8096 (1.75 %) and Stop Loss at 4762.5152 (0.87 %)
Position size of 915.9704 $
Take profit at 4638.8096 (1.75 %) and Stop Loss at 4762.5152 (0.87 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.99 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.65 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.96 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low_confirmed |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.44796 15m : -0.074344 1H : 0.062987 |
1 |
Indicators:
76663.2
0.0140966
77743.9
0.44796
77158.7
0.00758426
77743.9
-0.074344
80885.5
-0.038841
77743.9
0.062987
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 21:00:00 | 4758.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 21:10:00 | 4706.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 21:30:00 | 4774.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 23:05:00 | 4608.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 23:40:00 | 4665.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 23:45:00 | 4722.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 00:50:00 | 4518.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 01:35:00 | 4441.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 04:00:00 | 4608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 04:50:00 | 4725.53 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 11:15:00 | 4838.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 13:00:00 | 4877.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 18:15:00 | 4651.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 19:15:00 | 4884.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 20:00:00 | 4617.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 21:30:00 | 4774.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 23:00:00 | 4608.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 23:45:00 | 4722.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 01:30:00 | 4441.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 04:45:00 | 4725.53 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 10:00:00 | 5124.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-29 19:00:00 | 5458.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-30 04:00:00 | 4951 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-30 13:00:00 | 4736.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 07:00:00 | 4906.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 13:00:00 | 4842.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 19:00:00 | 4894.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 19:00:00 | 4884.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 01:00:00 | 4441.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 04:00:00 | 4725.53 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb 2026 04:50:42 |
02 Feb 2026 06:20:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4721.28 | 4762.5152 | 4638.8096 | 2 | 5183.58 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4762.5152 - 4721.28 = 41.2352
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4721.28 - 4638.8096 = 82.4704
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 82.4704 / 41.2352 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 915.9704 | 100 | 0.194 | 9.16 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 41.2352 = 0.19
Taille de position USD = 0.19 x 4721.28 = 897.04
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.19 avec un stoploss a 4762.5152
Avec un position size USD de 897.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.19 x 41.2352 = 7.83
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.83$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.19 x 82.4704 = 15.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.67$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.75 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.87 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.87 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9214 % | 105.5 % | 8 |
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