Short Trade on XAU 02 Feb 2026 at 04:50:42

Take profit at 4638.8096 (1.75 %) and Stop Loss at 4762.5152 (0.87 %)

Short Trade on XAU

The 02 Feb 2026 at 04:50:42

With 0.194 XAU at 4721.28$ per unit.

Position size of 915.9704 $

Take profit at 4638.8096 (1.75 %) and Stop Loss at 4762.5152 (0.87 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.49
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.99
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.65
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.96
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low_confirmed

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.44796

15m : -0.074344

1H : 0.062987

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 27.49014473
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4667.37
  4. ema21 : 4731.17
  5. ema50 : 4832.05
  6. ema100 : 4982.52
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0115489
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.013485
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0208775
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0524325
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.317474
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.232602
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.16095
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.134266
  17. rsi : 0.466085
  18. adx : 0.62331
  19. kc_percentage : 0.48542
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0797327
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.304725
  22. volume_ema1 : 10297515.834966
  23. volume_ema2 : 7892474.7478106
  24. chop : 20.0589
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4662.94
  29. ema21 : 4646.28
  30. ema50 : 4688.45
  31. ema100 : 4747.61
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0125103
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00358536
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00899377
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00554616
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.171092
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0199591
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0501588
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0513944
  42. rsi : 0.63387
  43. adx : 0.327134
  44. kc_percentage : 0.86666
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0435949
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.221036
  47. volume_ema1 : 1954720.2835389
  48. volume_ema2 : 2509387.8314456
  49. chop : 39.2935
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4692.42
  54. ema21 : 4662.39
  55. ema50 : 4637.52
  56. ema100 : 4646.87
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00614873
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00644064
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00536304
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0160127
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.100177
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0869869
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0463848
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0147195
  67. rsi : 0.698341
  68. adx : 0.196637
  69. kc_percentage : 1.04209
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.022238
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0877371
  72. volume_ema1 : 793975.66253038
  73. volume_ema2 : 870336.53444772
  74. chop : 47.1443
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    76663.2
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0140966
  81. 5m_price:
    77743.9
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.44796
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    77158.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00758426
  86. 15m_price:
    77743.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.074344
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    80885.5
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.038841
  91. 1H_price:
    77743.9
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.062987
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 10:00:00
                        [1] => 5124.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-29 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5458.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 04:00:00
                        [1] => 4951
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-30 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4736.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 07:00:00
                        [1] => 4906.55
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4842.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4894.99
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4884.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 01:00:00
                        [1] => 4441.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
                        [1] => 4725.53
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.088878919401629
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.3013063271987
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.3958698265885
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 11:15:00
                        [1] => 4838.35
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4877.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 18:15:00
                        [1] => 4651.08
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 19:15:00
                        [1] => 4884.94
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 20:00:00
                        [1] => 4617.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 21:30:00
                        [1] => 4774.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 23:00:00
                        [1] => 4608.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 23:45:00
                        [1] => 4722.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 01:30:00
                        [1] => 4441.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 04:45:00
                        [1] => 4725.53
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.088878919401629
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.3013063271987
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.3958698265885
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 21:00:00
                        [1] => 4758.46
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 21:10:00
                        [1] => 4706.15
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 21:30:00
                        [1] => 4774.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 23:05:00
                        [1] => 4608.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 23:40:00
                        [1] => 4665.84
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 23:45:00
                        [1] => 4722.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 00:50:00
                        [1] => 4518.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 01:35:00
                        [1] => 4441.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
                        [1] => 4608
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 04:50:00
                        [1] => 4725.53
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.088878919401629
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4594184027778
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5505642361111
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.46%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.55%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.3848
0.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
197.3496
4.25%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 21:00:00 4758.46 ↑ High
2026-02-01 21:10:00 4706.15 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 21:30:00 4774.9 ↑ High
2026-02-01 23:05:00 4608.75 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 23:40:00 4665.84 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 23:45:00 4722.76 ↑ High
2026-02-02 00:50:00 4518.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 01:35:00 4441.46 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 04:00:00 4608 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 04:50:00 4725.53 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.30%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.40%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
122.4248
2.57%
TP to Pivot Distance
197.3496
4.25%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 11:15:00 4838.35 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 13:00:00 4877.69 ↑ High
2026-02-01 18:15:00 4651.08 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 19:15:00 4884.94 ↑ High
2026-02-01 20:00:00 4617.54 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 21:30:00 4774.9 ↑ High
2026-02-01 23:00:00 4608.75 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 23:45:00 4722.76 ↑ High
2026-02-02 01:30:00 4441.46 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 04:45:00 4725.53 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.30%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.40%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
695.9848
14.61%
TP to Pivot Distance
197.3496
4.25%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-29 10:00:00 5124.18 ↓ Low
2026-01-29 19:00:00 5458.5 ↑ High
2026-01-30 04:00:00 4951 ↓ Low
2026-01-30 13:00:00 4736.59 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 07:00:00 4906.55 ↑ High
2026-01-31 13:00:00 4842.01 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 19:00:00 4894.99 ↑ High
2026-02-01 19:00:00 4884.94 ↑ High
2026-02-02 01:00:00 4441.46 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 04:00:00 4725.53 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Feb 2026
04:50:42
02 Feb 2026
06:20:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4721.28 4762.5152 4638.8096 2 5183.58
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4721.28
  • Stop Loss: 4762.5152
  • Take Profit: 4638.8096

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4762.5152 - 4721.28 = 41.2352

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4721.28 - 4638.8096 = 82.4704

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 82.4704 / 41.2352 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
915.9704 100 0.194 9.16
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 41.2352

Taille de position = 8 / 41.2352 = 0.19

Taille de position USD = 0.19 x 4721.28 = 897.04

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.19 avec un stoploss a 4762.5152

Avec un position size USD de 897.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.19 x 41.2352 = 7.83

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.83$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.19 x 82.4704 = 15.67

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.67$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.19
  • Taille de position USD 897.04
  • Perte potentielle 7.83
  • Gain potentiel 15.67
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.75 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.87 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.87
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9214 % 105.5 % 8

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4638.8096
            [entry_price] => 4721.28
            [stop_loss] => 4766.63872
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 06:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4638.8096
            [entry_price] => 4721.28
            [stop_loss] => 4770.76224
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 06:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4638.8096
            [entry_price] => 4721.28
            [stop_loss] => 4774.88576
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 06:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4638.8096
            [entry_price] => 4721.28
            [stop_loss] => 4783.1328
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 06:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 58.92
            [max_drawdown] => 62.990000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 0.94
            [high] => 4784.27000000
            [low] => 4662.36000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.25
            [mae_pct] => 1.33
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.94
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-02T04:50:42-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-02T06:50:42-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 120.64
            [max_drawdown] => 98.190000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.23
            [high] => 4819.47000000
            [low] => 4600.64000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.56
            [mae_pct] => 2.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-02T04:50:42-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-02T11:50:42-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4725.53000000
            [high_after] => 4819.47000000
            [low_before] => 4441.46000000
            [low_after] => 4630.97000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)