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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 02 Feb 2026 at 07:29:24

Take profit at 138.6635 (1.26 %) and Stop Loss at 141.3133 (0.63 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 02 Feb 2026 at 07:29:24

With 9.0574 MSTR at 140.43$ per unit.

Position size of 1271.9238 $

Take profit at 138.6635 (1.26 %) and Stop Loss at 141.3133 (0.63 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 110
ML Pullback Score: 6.42
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.94
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.62
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.52
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.101653

15m : 0.280865

1H : 0.102877

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.5888403266
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 141.575
  4. ema21 : 144.333
  5. ema50 : 146.727
  6. ema100 : 148.541
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00808987
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0191123
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.016314
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0546107
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.459636
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.304257
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.156525
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0937362
  17. rsi : 0.335814
  18. adx : 0.569389
  19. kc_percentage : 0.13982
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0739539
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.205148
  22. volume_ema1 : 671674.05746644
  23. volume_ema2 : 557336.95884123
  24. chop : 14.4698
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 139.072
  28. ema21 : 140.169
  29. ema50 : 142.568
  30. ema100 : 144.954
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00975782
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00782011
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.016829
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0312099
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.133525
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.150988
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.126481
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0915072
  41. rsi : 0.403142
  42. adx : 0.295044
  43. kc_percentage : 0.568694
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0370303
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.72658
  46. volume_ema1 : 56650.12137586
  47. volume_ema2 : 207190.98843044
  48. chop : 60.1551
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 139.421
  52. ema21 : 139.195
  53. ema50 : 139.806
  54. ema100 : 140.859
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00723276
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00162269
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00436993
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00305085
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0529175
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.014028
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0212032
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0265337
  65. rsi : 0.635938
  66. adx : 0.345824
  67. kc_percentage : 1.06407
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0156089
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.63239
  70. volume_ema1 : 22526.528737135
  71. volume_ema2 : 61278.432465885
  72. chop : 48.3942
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    76945
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0158246
  78. 5m_price: 
    78162.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.101653
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    77270.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00850004
  83. 15m_price: 
    77927.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.280865
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    80646
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0307935
  88. 1H_price: 
    78162.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.102877
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 03:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 05:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 07:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 09:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 11:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 15:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 19:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 05:00:00
                    [1] => 136
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.2066203950881
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3382352941176
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.176470588235
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 19:45:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 20:30:00
                    [1] => 141.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 22:45:00
                    [1] => 147.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 23:30:00
                    [1] => 140.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 01:15:00
                    [1] => 141.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 01:45:00
                    [1] => 145.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 02:15:00
                    [1] => 145.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
                    [1] => 138.01
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 05:45:00
                    [1] => 136
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 07:15:00
                    [1] => 140.54
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3382352941176
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3382352941176
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 00:10:00
                    [1] => 145.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 00:55:00
                    [1] => 142.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 01:25:00
                    [1] => 141.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 01:55:00
                    [1] => 145.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 02:25:00
                    [1] => 145.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
                    [1] => 138.01
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 05:00:00
                    [1] => 140.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 05:55:00
                    [1] => 136
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 07:00:00
                    [1] => 138.33
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 07:25:00
                    [1] => 140.54
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5976288585267
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5976288585267
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.60%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.60%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.4367
3.14%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6635
1.92%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 00:10:00 145.25 ↑ High
2026-02-02 00:55:00 142.23 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 01:25:00 141.8 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 01:55:00 145.75 ↑ High
2026-02-02 02:25:00 145.75 ↑ High
2026-02-02 04:00:00 138.01 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 05:00:00 140.36 ↑ High
2026-02-02 05:55:00 136 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 07:00:00 138.33 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 07:25:00 140.54 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.34%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.34%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.5267
6.03%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6635
1.92%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 19:45:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 20:30:00 141.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 22:45:00 147.32 ↑ High
2026-02-01 23:30:00 140.66 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 01:15:00 141.8 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 01:45:00 145.75 ↑ High
2026-02-02 02:15:00 145.75 ↑ High
2026-02-02 04:00:00 138.01 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 05:45:00 136 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 07:15:00 140.54 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-6.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.34%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.18%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.5267
6.03%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6635
1.92%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 03:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 05:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 07:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 09:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 11:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 13:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 15:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 17:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 19:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-02 05:00:00 136 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Feb 2026
07:29:24		 02 Feb 2026
08:15:00		 45 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
140.43 141.3133 138.6635 2 133.63
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 140.43
  • Stop Loss: 141.3133
  • Take Profit: 138.6635

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 141.3133 - 140.43 = 0.88329999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 140.43 - 138.6635 = 1.7665

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.7665 / 0.88329999999999 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1271.9238 100 9.0574 12.72
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.88329999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.88329999999999 = 9.06

Taille de position USD = 9.06 x 140.43 = 1272.3

Donc, tu peux acheter 9.06 avec un stoploss a 141.3133

Avec un position size USD de 1272.3$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 9.06 x 0.88329999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 9.06 x 1.7665 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 9.06
  • Taille de position USD 1272.3
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.26 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.63 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.26
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0783 % 12.45 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.6634
            [stop_loss] => 141.3133
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 08:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 138.22175
            [stop_loss] => 141.3133
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 08:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 137.7801
            [stop_loss] => 141.3133
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 137.33845
            [stop_loss] => 141.3133
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 136.8968
            [stop_loss] => 141.3133
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 136.45515
            [stop_loss] => 141.3133
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 136.0135
            [stop_loss] => 141.3133
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 135.57185
            [stop_loss] => 141.3133
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 09:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 135.1302
            [stop_loss] => 141.3133
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 134.68855
            [stop_loss] => 141.3133
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 134.2469
            [stop_loss] => 141.3133
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 09:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.24
            [max_drawdown] => 0.10999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 47.64
            [high] => 140.54000000
            [low] => 135.19000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.73
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 47.64
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-02T07:29:24-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-02T09:29:24-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.24
            [max_drawdown] => 7.47
            [rr_ratio] => 0.7
            [high] => 147.90000000
            [low] => 135.19000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.73
            [mae_pct] => 5.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.7
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-02T07:29:24-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-02T14:29:24-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 143.05000000
            [high_after] => 147.90000000
            [low_before] => 136.00000000
            [low_after] => 135.19000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)