Short Trade on COIN 02 Feb 2026 at 07:45:32
Take profit at 188.6295 (0.3 %) and Stop Loss at 189.4703 (0.15 %)
Short Trade on COIN 02 Feb 2026 at 07:45:32
Take profit at 188.6295 (0.3 %) and Stop Loss at 189.4703 (0.15 %)
Position size of 5400.3465 $
Take profit at 188.6295 (0.3 %) and Stop Loss at 189.4703 (0.15 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.98 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.58 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.85 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.052897 15m : -0.016732 1H : -0.021362 |
2 |
Indicators:
77127.5
0.00876997
77804
0.052897
77258.4
0.00706166
77804
-0.016732
80638.9
-0.0351563
77804
-0.021362
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 07:00:00
[1] => 194.85
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 09:00:00
[1] => 194.85
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 11:00:00
[1] => 194.85
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
[1] => 194.85
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 15:00:00
[1] => 194.85
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
[1] => 194.85
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 19:00:00
[1] => 194.85
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 22:00:00
[1] => 186.05
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 03:00:00
[1] => 192
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
[1] => 186.2
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4635416666667
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6058002148228
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1149301825994
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 18:15:00
[1] => 194.85
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 18:45:00
[1] => 194.85
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 19:15:00
[1] => 194.85
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 19:45:00
[1] => 194.85
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 22:45:00
[1] => 186.05
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 01:15:00
[1] => 189.89
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 01:45:00
[1] => 186.82
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 03:30:00
[1] => 192
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
[1] => 186.2
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 07:15:00
[1] => 189.52
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17412410299705
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6058002148228
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7830290010741
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 01:50:00
[1] => 189.88
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 02:00:00
[1] => 186.82
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 03:30:00
[1] => 192
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 03:45:00
[1] => 192
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
[1] => 186.2
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 04:50:00
[1] => 189.01
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 05:20:00
[1] => 187.52
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 05:30:00
[1] => 187.52
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 06:20:00
[1] => 188.26
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 07:25:00
[1] => 189.52
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17412410299705
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.49399766280676
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.66928715606078
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 01:50:00 | 189.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 02:00:00 | 186.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 03:30:00 | 192 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 03:45:00 | 192 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 04:00:00 | 186.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 04:50:00 | 189.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 05:20:00 | 187.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 05:30:00 | 187.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 06:20:00 | 188.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 07:25:00 | 189.52 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 18:15:00 | 194.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 18:45:00 | 194.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 19:15:00 | 194.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 19:45:00 | 194.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 22:45:00 | 186.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 01:15:00 | 189.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 01:45:00 | 186.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 03:30:00 | 192 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 04:00:00 | 186.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 07:15:00 | 189.52 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 07:00:00 | 194.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 09:00:00 | 194.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 11:00:00 | 194.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 13:00:00 | 194.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 15:00:00 | 194.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 17:00:00 | 194.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 19:00:00 | 194.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 22:00:00 | 186.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 03:00:00 | 192 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 04:00:00 | 186.2 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb 2026 07:45:32 |
02 Feb 2026 08:40:00 |
54 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 189.19 | 189.4703 | 188.6295 | 2 | 182.42 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 189.4703 - 189.19 = 0.28030000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 189.19 - 188.6295 = 0.56049999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.56049999999999 / 0.28030000000001 = 1.9996
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5400.3465 | 100 | 28.5446 | 54.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.28030000000001 = 28.54
Taille de position USD = 28.54 x 189.19 = 5399.48
Donc, tu peux acheter 28.54 avec un stoploss a 189.4703
Avec un position size USD de 5399.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 28.54 x 0.28030000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 28.54 x 0.56049999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.15 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 188.6294
[stop_loss] => 189.4703
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-02 08:40:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 188.48925
[stop_loss] => 189.4703
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-02 08:40:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 188.3491
[stop_loss] => 189.4703
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-02 08:40:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 188.20895
[stop_loss] => 189.4703
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-02 08:40:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 188.0688
[stop_loss] => 189.4703
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-02-02 08:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 187.92865
[stop_loss] => 189.4703
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-02 08:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 187.7885
[stop_loss] => 189.4703
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-02 08:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 187.64835
[stop_loss] => 189.4703
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-02 08:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 187.5082
[stop_loss] => 189.4703
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-02-02 08:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 187.36805
[stop_loss] => 189.4703
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-02 08:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 187.2279
[stop_loss] => 189.4703
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-02-02 08:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 5.19
[max_drawdown] => 1.46
[rr_ratio] => 3.55
[high] => 190.65000000
[low] => 184.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 2.74
[mae_pct] => 0.77
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.55
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-02T07:45:32-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-02T09:45:32-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 5.19
[max_drawdown] => 1.84
[rr_ratio] => 2.82
[high] => 191.03000000
[low] => 184.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 2.74
[mae_pct] => 0.97
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.82
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-02T07:45:32-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-02T14:45:32-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 190.77000000
[high_after] => 191.03000000
[low_before] => 186.20000000
[low_after] => 184.00000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)