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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 02 Feb 2026 at 20:08:23

Take profit at 141.2955 (0.6 %) and Stop Loss at 142.5772 (0.3 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 02 Feb 2026 at 20:08:23

With 18.725 MSTR at 142.15$ per unit.

Position size of 2661.7532 $

Take profit at 141.2955 (0.6 %) and Stop Loss at 142.5772 (0.3 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 120
ML Pullback Score: 7.32
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.58
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.63
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.74
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.370681

15m : -0.146109

1H : 0.203445

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.23
  4. atr: 0.2848247999
Details
  1. score: 1.23
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 141.746
  4. ema21 : 142.65
  5. ema50 : 144.658
  6. ema100 : 145.498
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00284467
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00633494
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0138815
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0230136
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.044643
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0670522
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.083004
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0483242
  17. rsi : 0.462077
  18. adx : 0.360787
  19. kc_percentage : 0.454737
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0634515
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.606391
  22. volume_ema1 : 287142.56583085
  23. volume_ema2 : 729512.28019186
  24. chop : 40.9407
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 141.335
  28. ema21 : 141.367
  29. ema50 : 141.9
  30. ema100 : 143.062
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0057616
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000225181
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00375839
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00638177
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0307707
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0221467
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0284417
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0311455
  41. rsi : 0.55916
  42. adx : 0.143936
  43. kc_percentage : 0.797087
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0189736
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.290898
  46. volume_ema1 : 129560.16473436
  47. volume_ema2 : 182710.35253732
  48. chop : 67.3877
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 141.634
  52. ema21 : 141.307
  53. ema50 : 141.317
  54. ema100 : 142.148
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00364254
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0023136
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -7.13425E-5
  58. price_ema100_diff : 7.77054E-6
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0413762
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0256807
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00393443
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0119811
  65. rsi : 0.686101
  66. adx : 0.195124
  67. kc_percentage : 1.22748
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00798835
  69. volume_ema_diff : 2.10061
  70. volume_ema1 : 80450.124904926
  71. volume_ema2 : 25946.544569422
  72. chop : 29.5642
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    78639
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00270857
  78. 5m_price: 
    78852
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.370681
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    78081.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00986403
  83. 15m_price: 
    78852
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.146109
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    79775.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0115815
  88. 1H_price: 
    78852
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.203445
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 05:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 07:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 09:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 11:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 15:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 19:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 11:00:00
                    [1] => 147.9
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.1446923597025
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.8672239070937
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.4015829573193
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 01:45:00
                    [1] => 145.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 02:15:00
                    [1] => 145.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
                    [1] => 138.01
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 05:45:00
                    [1] => 136
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 07:15:00
                    [1] => 140.54
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 11:15:00
                    [1] => 147.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 15:45:00
                    [1] => 139.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 18:30:00
                    [1] => 140.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 20:00:00
                    [1] => 142.3
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37245256500351
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91109687522244
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2883479251192
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 14:55:00
                    [1] => 143.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 15:55:00
                    [1] => 139.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 16:25:00
                    [1] => 139.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 17:05:00
                    [1] => 141.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 17:45:00
                    [1] => 141
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 18:15:00
                    [1] => 141.06
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 18:25:00
                    [1] => 140.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 18:45:00
                    [1] => 141.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 19:10:00
                    [1] => 140.53
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 20:00:00
                    [1] => 142.3
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.37245256500351
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.88237387034797
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2595175407386
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.37%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.88%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.26%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.1128
0.78%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.8155
1.28%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 14:55:00 143.69 ↑ High
2026-02-02 15:55:00 139.48 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 16:25:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 17:05:00 141.02 ↑ High
2026-02-02 17:45:00 141 ↑ High
2026-02-02 18:15:00 141.06 ↑ High
2026-02-02 18:25:00 140.49 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 18:45:00 141.42 ↑ High
2026-02-02 19:10:00 140.53 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 20:00:00 142.3 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.37%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.91%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.29%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.3228
3.73%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.1055
4.32%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 01:45:00 145.75 ↑ High
2026-02-02 02:15:00 145.75 ↑ High
2026-02-02 04:00:00 138.01 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 05:45:00 136 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 07:15:00 140.54 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 11:15:00 147.9 ↑ High
2026-02-02 15:45:00 139.48 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 18:30:00 140.49 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 20:00:00 142.3 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.87%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.40%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.2628
5.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.1055
4.32%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 05:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 07:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 09:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 11:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 13:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 15:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 17:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 19:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 11:00:00 147.9 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Feb 2026
20:08:23		 02 Feb 2026
21:45:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
142.15 142.5772 141.2955 2 134.84
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 142.15
  • Stop Loss: 142.5772
  • Take Profit: 141.2955

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 142.5772 - 142.15 = 0.4272

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 142.15 - 141.2955 = 0.8545

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.8545 / 0.4272 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2661.7532 100 18.725 26.62
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4272

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4272 = 18.73

Taille de position USD = 18.73 x 142.15 = 2662.47

Donc, tu peux acheter 18.73 avec un stoploss a 142.5772

Avec un position size USD de 2662.47$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 18.73 x 0.4272 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 18.73 x 0.8545 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 18.73
  • Taille de position USD 2662.47
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.6 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.3 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.60
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0915 % 30.45 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.2956
            [stop_loss] => 142.5772
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.082
            [stop_loss] => 142.5772
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.8684
            [stop_loss] => 142.5772
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.6548
            [stop_loss] => 142.5772
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.4412
            [stop_loss] => 142.5772
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.2276
            [stop_loss] => 142.5772
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.014
            [stop_loss] => 142.5772
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.8004
            [stop_loss] => 142.5772
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.5868
            [stop_loss] => 142.5772
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.65
            [max_drawdown] => 0.13
            [rr_ratio] => 20.38
            [high] => 142.28000000
            [low] => 139.50000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.86
            [mae_pct] => 0.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 20.38
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-02T20:08:23-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-02T22:08:23-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.65
            [max_drawdown] => 0.40000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 6.62
            [high] => 142.55000000
            [low] => 139.50000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.86
            [mae_pct] => 0.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.62
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-02T20:08:23-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-03T03:08:23-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 142.30000000
            [high_after] => 142.42000000
            [low_before] => 139.50000000
            [low_after] => 139.50000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)