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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 02 Feb 2026 at 20:59:59

Take profit at 141.5843 (0.48 %) and Stop Loss at 142.6128 (0.24 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 02 Feb 2026 at 20:59:59

With 23.3349 MSTR at 142.27$ per unit.

Position size of 3319.852 $

Take profit at 141.5843 (0.48 %) and Stop Loss at 142.6128 (0.24 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 9.68
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.77
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.72
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.83
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.395047

15m : 0.128676

1H : 0.013529

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.17
  4. atr: 0.2285563747
Details
  1. score: 1.17
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 141.77
  4. ema21 : 142.661
  5. ema50 : 144.663
  6. ema100 : 145.5
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00352134
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00624269
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0138382
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0222048
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.0460615
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.06642
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0827356
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0481889
  17. rsi : 0.46639
  18. adx : 0.360787
  19. kc_percentage : 0.466936
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0637072
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.595079
  22. volume_ema1 : 295807.52773085
  23. volume_ema2 : 730531.68747421
  24. chop : 40.9486
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 141.523
  28. ema21 : 141.45
  29. ema50 : 141.794
  30. ema100 : 142.37
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0052761
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00051442
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00242564
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00070256
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0435157
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00273002
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0160346
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.016616
  41. rsi : 0.52834
  42. adx : 0.139795
  43. kc_percentage : 0.894114
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0147934
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.80712
  46. volume_ema1 : 38797.53226944
  47. volume_ema2 : 201149.09754552
  48. chop : 73.3994
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 141.921
  52. ema21 : 141.67
  53. ema50 : 141.468
  54. ema100 : 141.863
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00245575
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00177411
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00142542
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00286626
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.034053
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0319066
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0160424
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.000675737
  65. rsi : 0.679667
  66. adx : 0.243426
  67. kc_percentage : 1.17498
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0060568
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.500289
  70. volume_ema1 : 9154.645604379
  71. volume_ema2 : 18319.897756649
  72. chop : 41.3934
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    78691.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00363624
  78. 5m_price: 
    78978
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.395047
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    77980.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0114076
  83. 15m_price: 
    78869.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.128676
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    79778.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.010033
  88. 1H_price: 
    78978
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.013529
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 05:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 07:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 09:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 11:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 15:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 19:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 11:00:00
                    [1] => 147.9
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.8066260987153
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.2370737480583
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.4015829573193
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 01:45:00
                    [1] => 145.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 02:15:00
                    [1] => 145.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
                    [1] => 138.01
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 05:45:00
                    [1] => 136
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 07:15:00
                    [1] => 140.54
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 11:15:00
                    [1] => 147.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 15:45:00
                    [1] => 139.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 18:30:00
                    [1] => 140.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 20:00:00
                    [1] => 142.3
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.021082220660577
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2669940921062
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2883479251192
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 16:25:00
                    [1] => 139.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 17:05:00
                    [1] => 141.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 17:45:00
                    [1] => 141
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 18:15:00
                    [1] => 141.06
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 18:25:00
                    [1] => 140.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 18:45:00
                    [1] => 141.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 19:10:00
                    [1] => 140.53
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 20:00:00
                    [1] => 142.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 20:40:00
                    [1] => 141.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 20:55:00
                    [1] => 142.27
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.42351944660127
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.42351944660127
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.42%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.42%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3128
0.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0843
1.47%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 16:25:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 17:05:00 141.02 ↑ High
2026-02-02 17:45:00 141 ↑ High
2026-02-02 18:15:00 141.06 ↑ High
2026-02-02 18:25:00 140.49 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 18:45:00 141.42 ↑ High
2026-02-02 19:10:00 140.53 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 20:00:00 142.3 ↑ High
2026-02-02 20:40:00 141.67 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 20:55:00 142.27 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.27%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.29%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.2872
3.71%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.3943
4.52%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 01:45:00 145.75 ↑ High
2026-02-02 02:15:00 145.75 ↑ High
2026-02-02 04:00:00 138.01 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 05:45:00 136 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 07:15:00 140.54 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 11:15:00 147.9 ↑ High
2026-02-02 15:45:00 139.48 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 18:30:00 140.49 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 20:00:00 142.3 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.81%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.24%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.40%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.2272
5.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.3943
4.52%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 05:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 07:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 09:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 11:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 13:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 15:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 17:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 19:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 11:00:00 147.9 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Feb 2026
20:59:59		 02 Feb 2026
21:40:00		 40 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
142.27 142.6128 141.5843 2 133.63
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 142.27
  • Stop Loss: 142.6128
  • Take Profit: 141.5843

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 142.6128 - 142.27 = 0.34279999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 142.27 - 141.5843 = 0.6857

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6857 / 0.34279999999998 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3319.852 100 23.3349 33.20
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.34279999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.34279999999998 = 23.34

Taille de position USD = 23.34 x 142.27 = 3320.58

Donc, tu peux acheter 23.34 avec un stoploss a 142.6128

Avec un position size USD de 3320.58$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 23.34 x 0.34279999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 23.34 x 0.6857 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 23.34
  • Taille de position USD 3320.58
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.48 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.24 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.48
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.007 % 2.9 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.5844
            [stop_loss] => 142.6128
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.413
            [stop_loss] => 142.6128
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.2416
            [stop_loss] => 142.6128
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.0702
            [stop_loss] => 142.6128
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.8988
            [stop_loss] => 142.6128
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.7274
            [stop_loss] => 142.6128
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.556
            [stop_loss] => 142.6128
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.3846
            [stop_loss] => 142.6128
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.2132
            [stop_loss] => 142.6128
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.0418
            [stop_loss] => 142.6128
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 139.8704
            [stop_loss] => 142.6128
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-02 21:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.77
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0099999999999909
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 142.28000000
            [low] => 139.50000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.95
            [mae_pct] => 0.01
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 277
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-02T20:59:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-02T22:59:59-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.77
            [max_drawdown] => 0.32999999999998
            [rr_ratio] => 8.39
            [high] => 142.60000000
            [low] => 139.50000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.95
            [mae_pct] => 0.23
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.39
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-02T20:59:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-03T03:59:59-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 142.30000000
            [high_after] => 142.42000000
            [low_before] => 140.47000000
            [low_after] => 139.50000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)