Short Trade on MSTR 02 Feb 2026 at 23:46:59

Take profit at 141.4685 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 142.8357 (0.32 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 02 Feb 2026 at 23:46:59

With 17.5539 MSTR at 142.38$ per unit.

Position size of 2499.3192 $

Take profit at 141.4685 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 142.8357 (0.32 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 6.99
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.87
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.69
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.72
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.480735

15m : 0.015007

1H : 0.030562

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.3038267342
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 141.797
  4. ema21 : 142.434
  5. ema50 : 144.264
  6. ema100 : 144.794
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00411124
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00447644
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0126848
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.016677
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0608669
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0902811
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0889774
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0471582
  17. rsi : 0.481207
  18. adx : 0.363601
  19. kc_percentage : 0.502569
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0605913
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.618686
  22. volume_ema1 : 272929.9680326
  23. volume_ema2 : 715762.5424317
  24. chop : 55.3749
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 141.858
  29. ema21 : 141.654
  30. ema50 : 141.729
  31. ema100 : 141.982
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00367596
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00144005
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00053057
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0027982
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.013841
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.00935424
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.00219405
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.00530343
  42. rsi : 0.56832
  43. adx : 0.124294
  44. kc_percentage : 0.769186
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0187827
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.678018
  47. volume_ema1 : 42928.756148116
  48. volume_ema2 : 133326.62467838
  49. chop : 49.1925
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 142.024
  54. ema21 : 141.783
  55. ema50 : 141.566
  56. ema100 : 141.426
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00250121
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00170397
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00152775
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00674039
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0471817
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0309759
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0160636
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00921403
  67. rsi : 0.611503
  68. adx : 0.168585
  69. kc_percentage : 1.006
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00810128
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.196108
  72. volume_ema1 : 27611.907656659
  73. volume_ema2 : 23084.778865443
  74. chop : 52.8992
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    78515.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00500447
  81. 5m_price:
    78908.5
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.480735
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    77922.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.012658
  86. 15m_price:
    78908.5
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.015007
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    79420.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00644504
  91. 1H_price:
    78908.5
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.030562
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 09:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 11:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 15:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 19:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                        [1] => 135.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 11:00:00
                        [1] => 147.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 21:00:00
                        [1] => 139.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 23:00:00
                        [1] => 142.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.28788091560174
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7992831541219
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0931899641577
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
                        [1] => 138.01
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 05:45:00
                        [1] => 136
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 07:15:00
                        [1] => 140.54
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                        [1] => 135.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 11:15:00
                        [1] => 147.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 15:45:00
                        [1] => 139.48
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 18:30:00
                        [1] => 140.49
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 20:00:00
                        [1] => 142.3
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 21:45:00
                        [1] => 139.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 23:45:00
                        [1] => 142.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.28788091560174
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7992831541219
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0931899641577
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 18:25:00
                        [1] => 140.49
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 18:45:00
                        [1] => 141.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 19:10:00
                        [1] => 140.53
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 20:00:00
                        [1] => 142.3
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 20:40:00
                        [1] => 141.67
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 21:00:00
                        [1] => 142.28
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 21:50:00
                        [1] => 139.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 22:55:00
                        [1] => 142.21
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 23:35:00
                        [1] => 141.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 23:45:00
                        [1] => 142.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.28788091560174
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.36042402826854
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.65017667844522
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.36%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.65%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4157
0.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9685
1.39%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 18:25:00 140.49 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 18:45:00 141.42 ↑ High
2026-02-02 19:10:00 140.53 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 20:00:00 142.3 ↑ High
2026-02-02 20:40:00 141.67 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 21:00:00 142.28 ↑ High
2026-02-02 21:50:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 22:55:00 142.21 ↑ High
2026-02-02 23:35:00 141.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 23:45:00 142.42 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.80%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.09%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.0643
3.55%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.2785
4.44%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 04:00:00 138.01 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 05:45:00 136 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 07:15:00 140.54 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 11:15:00 147.9 ↑ High
2026-02-02 15:45:00 139.48 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 18:30:00 140.49 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 20:00:00 142.3 ↑ High
2026-02-02 21:45:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 23:45:00 142.42 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.80%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.09%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.0043
4.90%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.2785
4.44%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 09:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 11:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 13:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 15:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 17:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 19:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 11:00:00 147.9 ↑ High
2026-02-02 21:00:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 23:00:00 142.42 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Feb 2026
23:46:59
03 Feb 2026
00:25:00
38 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
142.38 142.8357 141.4685 2 134.8
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 142.38
  • Stop Loss: 142.8357
  • Take Profit: 141.4685

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 142.8357 - 142.38 = 0.45570000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 142.38 - 141.4685 = 0.91149999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.91149999999999 / 0.45570000000001 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2499.3192 100 17.5539 24.99
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.45570000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.45570000000001 = 17.56

Taille de position USD = 17.56 x 142.38 = 2500.19

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.56 avec un stoploss a 142.8357

Avec un position size USD de 2500.19$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.56 x 0.45570000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.56 x 0.91149999999999 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.56
  • Taille de position USD 2500.19
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.64 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.32 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.64
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.4686
            [stop_loss] => 142.8357
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 00:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.24075
            [stop_loss] => 142.8357
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 00:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 141.0129
            [stop_loss] => 142.8357
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 04:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 140.78505
            [stop_loss] => 142.8357
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 04:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.35
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 142.27000000
            [low] => 141.03000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.95
            [mae_pct] => -0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-02T23:46:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-03T01:46:59-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.81
            [max_drawdown] => 0.22
            [rr_ratio] => 8.23
            [high] => 142.60000000
            [low] => 140.57000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.27
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-02T23:46:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-03T06:46:59-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 142.42000000
            [high_after] => 142.60000000
            [low_before] => 139.50000000
            [low_after] => 140.57000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)