Short Trade on XMR 03 Feb 2026 at 06:45:14
Take profit at 378.5138 (1.31 %) and Stop Loss at 386.0681 (0.66 %)
Short Trade on XMR 03 Feb 2026 at 06:45:14
Take profit at 378.5138 (1.31 %) and Stop Loss at 386.0681 (0.66 %)
Position size of 1218.535 $
Take profit at 378.5138 (1.31 %) and Stop Loss at 386.0681 (0.66 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.67 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.74 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.58 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.66867 15m : 0.080988 1H : -0.070643 |
1 |
Indicators:
78379.3
-0.00263528
78172.8
0.66867
78351.4
-0.00227978
78172.8
0.080988
79306.7
-0.0142985
78172.8
-0.070643
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-30 22:00:00
[1] => 455.69
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 03:00:00
[1] => 499.19
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 13:00:00
[1] => 424.83
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 19:00:00
[1] => 470.22
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 00:00:00
[1] => 426.66
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 01:00:00
[1] => 387.11
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
[1] => 415.49
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 20:00:00
[1] => 393.62
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 22:00:00
[1] => 367.35
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 06:00:00
[1] => 386.06
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12951354711703
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.9571253572887
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.09323533415
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 15:45:00
[1] => 381.31
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 17:45:00
[1] => 390.39
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 18:15:00
[1] => 380.77
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 20:45:00
[1] => 393.62
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 22:15:00
[1] => 367.35
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 23:30:00
[1] => 380
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 01:00:00
[1] => 367.37
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 03:15:00
[1] => 378.66
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 04:15:00
[1] => 368.28
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 06:45:00
[1] => 386.06
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12951354711703
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.692082111437
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8278483762355
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 23:25:00
[1] => 372.47
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 23:40:00
[1] => 380
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 00:20:00
[1] => 369.35
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 01:05:00
[1] => 367.37
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 02:35:00
[1] => 378.4
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 03:10:00
[1] => 373.54
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 03:25:00
[1] => 378.66
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 04:25:00
[1] => 368.28
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 05:05:00
[1] => 369.07
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 06:45:00
[1] => 386.06
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12951354711703
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.4679871027176
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6034627577424
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 23:25:00 | 372.47 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 23:40:00 | 380 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 00:20:00 | 369.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 01:05:00 | 367.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 02:35:00 | 378.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 03:10:00 | 373.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 03:25:00 | 378.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 04:25:00 | 368.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 05:05:00 | 369.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 06:45:00 | 386.06 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 15:45:00 | 381.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 17:45:00 | 390.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 18:15:00 | 380.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 20:45:00 | 393.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 22:15:00 | 367.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 23:30:00 | 380 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 01:00:00 | 367.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 03:15:00 | 378.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 04:15:00 | 368.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 06:45:00 | 386.06 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 22:00:00 | 455.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 03:00:00 | 499.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-01-31 13:00:00 | 424.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 19:00:00 | 470.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 00:00:00 | 426.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 01:00:00 | 387.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 09:00:00 | 415.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 20:00:00 | 393.62 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 22:00:00 | 367.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 06:00:00 | 386.06 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb 2026 06:45:14 |
03 Feb 2026 07:05:00 |
19 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 383.55 | 386.0681 | 378.5138 | 2 | 348.79 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 386.0681 - 383.55 = 2.5181
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 383.55 - 378.5138 = 5.0362
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.0362 / 2.5181 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1218.535 | 100 | 3.177 | 12.19 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 2.5181 = 3.18
Taille de position USD = 3.18 x 383.55 = 1219.69
Donc, tu peux acheter 3.18 avec un stoploss a 386.0681
Avec un position size USD de 1219.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3.18 x 2.5181 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3.18 x 5.0362 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.31 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.66 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7509 % | 114.38 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 378.5138
[entry_price] => 383.55
[stop_loss] => 386.31991
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 07:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 378.5138
[entry_price] => 383.55
[stop_loss] => 386.57172
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 07:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 378.5138
[entry_price] => 383.55
[stop_loss] => 386.82353
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 07:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 378.5138
[entry_price] => 383.55
[stop_loss] => 387.32715
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 07:10:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.5
[max_drawdown] => 4.85
[rr_ratio] => 0.31
[high] => 388.40000000
[low] => 382.05000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.39
[mae_pct] => 1.26
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.31
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-03T06:45:14-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-03T08:45:14-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 15.3
[max_drawdown] => 4.85
[rr_ratio] => 3.15
[high] => 388.40000000
[low] => 368.25000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.99
[mae_pct] => 1.26
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.15
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-03T06:45:14-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-03T13:45:14-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 386.06000000
[high_after] => 388.40000000
[low_before] => 368.28000000
[low_after] => 369.50000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)