Short Trade on AVAX 03 Feb 2026 at 14:34:21

Take profit at 9.7305 (2.26 %) and Stop Loss at 10.0688 (1.13 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 03 Feb 2026 at 14:34:21

With 70.9521 AVAX at 9.956$ per unit.

Position size of 706.3989 $

Take profit at 9.7305 (2.26 %) and Stop Loss at 10.0688 (1.13 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.41
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.62
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.71
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : range_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.883327

15m : 0.067753

1H : 0.087992

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.07516810447
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 9.91586
  4. ema21 : 9.99509
  5. ema50 : 10.0594
  6. ema100 : 10.206
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00404775
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00792689
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0064005
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0245007
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.164446
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0833881
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0456184
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0503418
  17. rsi : 0.482024
  18. adx : 0.282164
  19. kc_percentage : 0.453489
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0770159
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.0367
  22. volume_ema1 : 1606489.8872663
  23. volume_ema2 : 788769.25117325
  24. chop : 38.7618
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 9.81082
  29. ema21 : 9.86683
  30. ema50 : 9.96347
  31. ema100 : 10.0312
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0147973
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00567633
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00969922
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00749954
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.176976
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.1547
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0944163
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.056545
  42. rsi : 0.534842
  43. adx : 0.301933
  44. kc_percentage : 0.696715
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0481361
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.744505
  47. volume_ema1 : 496251.63821231
  48. volume_ema2 : 284465.52026058
  49. chop : 33.4292
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 9.81113
  54. ema21 : 9.76753
  55. ema50 : 9.83093
  56. ema100 : 9.91283
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0147651
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00446362
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00644828
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00435446
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.105213
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.00712622
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0488942
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0421465
  67. rsi : 0.672165
  68. adx : 0.373738
  69. kc_percentage : 1.08555
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.032399
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.384126
  72. volume_ema1 : 222593.37450361
  73. volume_ema2 : 160818.64405009
  74. chop : 22.7412
  75. regime : range_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    76324.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0175078
  81. 5m_price:
    74988.4
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.883327
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    77519.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0326517
  86. 15m_price:
    74988.4
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.067753
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    78928.1
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0499156
  91. 1H_price:
    74988.4
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.087992
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 03:00:00
                        [1] => 10.413
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-01-31 13:00:00
                        [1] => 9.154
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 02:00:00
                        [1] => 10.251
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 10:00:00
                        [1] => 9.724
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 20:00:00
                        [1] => 10.124
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 22:00:00
                        [1] => 9.523
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 10:00:00
                        [1] => 10.317
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 22:00:00
                        [1] => 9.94
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 23:00:00
                        [1] => 10.2
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 13:00:00
                        [1] => 9.526
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.578431372549
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3145076632375
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.0753726642872
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 22:00:00
                        [1] => 9.94
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 23:30:00
                        [1] => 10.2
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 01:00:00
                        [1] => 10.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 02:30:00
                        [1] => 10.175
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 04:30:00
                        [1] => 9.967
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 07:45:00
                        [1] => 10.168
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 10:15:00
                        [1] => 9.901
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 10:45:00
                        [1] => 10.167
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 13:45:00
                        [1] => 9.526
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 14:30:00
                        [1] => 10.011
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.73918689441614
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3145076632375
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.0913289943313
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 07:55:00
                        [1] => 10.168
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 08:20:00
                        [1] => 10.117
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 08:35:00
                        [1] => 10.159
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 08:55:00
                        [1] => 10.159
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 09:25:00
                        [1] => 10.159
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 10:15:00
                        [1] => 9.901
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 10:50:00
                        [1] => 10.167
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 11:30:00
                        [1] => 9.911
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 13:50:00
                        [1] => 9.526
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 14:30:00
                        [1] => 10.011
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.73918689441614
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3145076632375
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.0913289943313
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.74%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.31%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.09%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0992
0.99%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2045
2.10%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 07:55:00 10.168 ↑ High
2026-02-03 08:20:00 10.117 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 08:35:00 10.159 ↑ High
2026-02-03 08:55:00 10.159 ↑ High
2026-02-03 09:25:00 10.159 ↑ High
2026-02-03 10:15:00 9.901 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 10:50:00 10.167 ↑ High
2026-02-03 11:30:00 9.911 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 13:50:00 9.526 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 14:30:00 10.011 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.74%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.31%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.09%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1312
1.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2045
2.10%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 22:00:00 9.94 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 23:30:00 10.2 ↑ High
2026-02-03 01:00:00 10.03 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 02:30:00 10.175 ↑ High
2026-02-03 04:30:00 9.967 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 07:45:00 10.168 ↑ High
2026-02-03 10:15:00 9.901 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 10:45:00 10.167 ↑ High
2026-02-03 13:45:00 9.526 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 14:30:00 10.011 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.58%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.31%
Bars Since Swing High
15 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.08%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2482
2.47%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.5765
5.92%
DateTime Price Type
2026-01-31 03:00:00 10.413 ↓ Low
2026-01-31 13:00:00 9.154 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 02:00:00 10.251 ↑ High
2026-02-01 10:00:00 9.724 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 20:00:00 10.124 ↑ High
2026-02-01 22:00:00 9.523 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 10:00:00 10.317 ↑ High
2026-02-02 22:00:00 9.94 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 23:00:00 10.2 ↑ High
2026-02-03 13:00:00 9.526 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
03 Feb 2026
14:34:21
03 Feb 2026
15:25:00
50 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
9.956 10.0688 9.7305 2 9.099
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 9.956
  • Stop Loss: 10.0688
  • Take Profit: 9.7305

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 10.0688 - 9.956 = 0.1128

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 9.956 - 9.7305 = 0.2255

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2255 / 0.1128 = 1.9991

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
706.3989 100 70.9521 7.06
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1128

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1128 = 70.92

Taille de position USD = 70.92 x 9.956 = 706.08

Donc, tu peux acheter 70.92 avec un stoploss a 10.0688

Avec un position size USD de 706.08$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 70.92 x 0.1128 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 70.92 x 0.2255 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 70.92
  • Taille de position USD 706.08
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9991

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.26 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.13 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.13
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3861 % 122.34 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 9.7305
            [entry_price] => 9.956
            [stop_loss] => 10.08008
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 15:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 9.7305
            [entry_price] => 9.956
            [stop_loss] => 10.09136
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 15:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 9.7305
            [entry_price] => 9.956
            [stop_loss] => 10.10264
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 15:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 9.7305
            [entry_price] => 9.956
            [stop_loss] => 10.1252
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 15:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.111
            [max_drawdown] => 0.383
            [rr_ratio] => 0.29
            [high] => 10.33900000
            [low] => 9.84500000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.11
            [mae_pct] => 3.85
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-03T14:34:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-03T16:34:21-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.111
            [max_drawdown] => 0.383
            [rr_ratio] => 0.29
            [high] => 10.33900000
            [low] => 9.84500000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.11
            [mae_pct] => 3.85
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-03T14:34:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-03T21:34:21-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 10.16700000
            [high_after] => 10.33900000
            [low_before] => 9.52600000
            [low_after] => 9.84500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)