Short Trade on AVAX 03 Feb 2026 at 14:34:21
Take profit at 9.7305 (2.26 %) and Stop Loss at 10.0688 (1.13 %)
Short Trade on AVAX 03 Feb 2026 at 14:34:21
Take profit at 9.7305 (2.26 %) and Stop Loss at 10.0688 (1.13 %)
Position size of 706.3989 $
Take profit at 9.7305 (2.26 %) and Stop Loss at 10.0688 (1.13 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.62 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.71 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_medium |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.883327 15m : 0.067753 1H : 0.087992 |
3 |
Indicators:
76324.6
-0.0175078
74988.4
0.883327
77519.5
-0.0326517
74988.4
0.067753
78928.1
-0.0499156
74988.4
0.087992
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 03:00:00
[1] => 10.413
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 13:00:00
[1] => 9.154
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 02:00:00
[1] => 10.251
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 10:00:00
[1] => 9.724
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 20:00:00
[1] => 10.124
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 22:00:00
[1] => 9.523
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 10:00:00
[1] => 10.317
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 22:00:00
[1] => 9.94
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 23:00:00
[1] => 10.2
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 13:00:00
[1] => 9.526
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.578431372549
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3145076632375
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.0753726642872
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 22:00:00
[1] => 9.94
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 23:30:00
[1] => 10.2
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 01:00:00
[1] => 10.03
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 02:30:00
[1] => 10.175
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 04:30:00
[1] => 9.967
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 07:45:00
[1] => 10.168
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 10:15:00
[1] => 9.901
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 10:45:00
[1] => 10.167
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 13:45:00
[1] => 9.526
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 14:30:00
[1] => 10.011
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.73918689441614
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3145076632375
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.0913289943313
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 07:55:00
[1] => 10.168
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 08:20:00
[1] => 10.117
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 08:35:00
[1] => 10.159
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 08:55:00
[1] => 10.159
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 09:25:00
[1] => 10.159
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 10:15:00
[1] => 9.901
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 10:50:00
[1] => 10.167
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 11:30:00
[1] => 9.911
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 13:50:00
[1] => 9.526
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 14:30:00
[1] => 10.011
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.73918689441614
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3145076632375
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.0913289943313
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 07:55:00 | 10.168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 08:20:00 | 10.117 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 08:35:00 | 10.159 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 08:55:00 | 10.159 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 09:25:00 | 10.159 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 10:15:00 | 9.901 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 10:50:00 | 10.167 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 11:30:00 | 9.911 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 13:50:00 | 9.526 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 14:30:00 | 10.011 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 22:00:00 | 9.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 23:30:00 | 10.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 01:00:00 | 10.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 02:30:00 | 10.175 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 04:30:00 | 9.967 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 07:45:00 | 10.168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 10:15:00 | 9.901 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 10:45:00 | 10.167 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 13:45:00 | 9.526 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 14:30:00 | 10.011 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 03:00:00 | 10.413 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-01-31 13:00:00 | 9.154 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 02:00:00 | 10.251 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 10:00:00 | 9.724 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 20:00:00 | 10.124 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 22:00:00 | 9.523 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 10:00:00 | 10.317 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 22:00:00 | 9.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 23:00:00 | 10.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 13:00:00 | 9.526 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb 2026 14:34:21 |
03 Feb 2026 15:25:00 |
50 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.956 | 10.0688 | 9.7305 | 2 | 9.099 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 10.0688 - 9.956 = 0.1128
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.956 - 9.7305 = 0.2255
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2255 / 0.1128 = 1.9991
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 706.3989 | 100 | 70.9521 | 7.06 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1128 = 70.92
Taille de position USD = 70.92 x 9.956 = 706.08
Donc, tu peux acheter 70.92 avec un stoploss a 10.0688
Avec un position size USD de 706.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 70.92 x 0.1128 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 70.92 x 0.2255 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.26 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3861 % | 122.34 % | 6 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 9.7305
[entry_price] => 9.956
[stop_loss] => 10.08008
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 15:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 9.7305
[entry_price] => 9.956
[stop_loss] => 10.09136
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 15:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 9.7305
[entry_price] => 9.956
[stop_loss] => 10.10264
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 15:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 9.7305
[entry_price] => 9.956
[stop_loss] => 10.1252
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 15:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.111
[max_drawdown] => 0.383
[rr_ratio] => 0.29
[high] => 10.33900000
[low] => 9.84500000
[mfe_pct] => 1.11
[mae_pct] => 3.85
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-03T14:34:21-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-03T16:34:21-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.111
[max_drawdown] => 0.383
[rr_ratio] => 0.29
[high] => 10.33900000
[low] => 9.84500000
[mfe_pct] => 1.11
[mae_pct] => 3.85
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-03T14:34:21-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-03T21:34:21-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 10.16700000
[high_after] => 10.33900000
[low_before] => 9.52600000
[low_after] => 9.84500000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)