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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 03 Feb 2026 at 15:44:58

Take profit at 129.9922 (2.16 %) and Stop Loss at 134.2939 (1.08 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 03 Feb 2026 at 15:44:58

With 5.5791 MSTR at 132.86$ per unit.

Position size of 741.2444 $

Take profit at 129.9922 (2.16 %) and Stop Loss at 134.2939 (1.08 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.87
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.93
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.83
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.9
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.753622

15m : -0.099959

1H : -0.030769

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.9559420423
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 133.934
  4. ema21 : 137.283
  5. ema50 : 140.896
  6. ema100 : 143.414
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00801942
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0243955
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0256424
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0735933
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.471999
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.294545
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.18377
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.114635
  17. rsi : 0.391885
  18. adx : 0.479918
  19. kc_percentage : 0.148871
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0906341
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.83158
  22. volume_ema1 : 4333571.8565852
  23. volume_ema2 : 1530440.809469
  24. chop : 24.3343
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 130.571
  28. ema21 : 132.114
  29. ema50 : 135.459
  30. ema100 : 137.91
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.017529
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0116835
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0246893
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0366188
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.259033
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.289207
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.210628
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.132178
  41. rsi : 0.474004
  42. adx : 0.395135
  43. kc_percentage : 0.637399
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0492526
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.185515
  46. volume_ema1 : 664711.97714825
  47. volume_ema2 : 816114.03503774
  48. chop : 39.8655
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 131.369
  52. ema21 : 130.569
  53. ema50 : 131.526
  54. ema100 : 133.895
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0113471
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00612506
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00727621
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00773465
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.138013
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0560225
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0312324
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.054724
  65. rsi : 0.659993
  66. adx : 0.272256
  67. kc_percentage : 1.09289
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.028865
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.655706
  70. volume_ema1 : 134475.32789646
  71. volume_ema2 : 390583.62964485
  72. chop : 41.9868
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    76083.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00313087
  78. 5m_price: 
    76321.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.753622
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    77319.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0145071
  83. 15m_price: 
    76197.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.099959
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    78845.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0320132
  88. 1H_price: 
    76321.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.030769
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 11:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 15:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 19:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 11:00:00
                    [1] => 147.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 21:00:00
                    [1] => 139.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 03:00:00
                    [1] => 142.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.8302945301543
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.6141732283465
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.283464566929
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 23:45:00
                    [1] => 142.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 01:00:00
                    [1] => 141.03
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 03:45:00
                    [1] => 142.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 04:15:00
                    [1] => 140.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 05:30:00
                    [1] => 142.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 07:00:00
                    [1] => 140.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 07:45:00
                    [1] => 141.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 10:00:00
                    [1] => 134.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 15:30:00
                    [1] => 133.14
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21030494216612
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.6141732283465
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8346456692913
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 07:45:00
                    [1] => 141.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 08:30:00
                    [1] => 141.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 08:45:00
                    [1] => 140.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 09:15:00
                    [1] => 141.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 10:00:00
                    [1] => 134.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 10:55:00
                    [1] => 138.92
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 11:55:00
                    [1] => 136.49
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:15:00
                    [1] => 130.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 15:35:00
                    [1] => 133.14
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21030494216612
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.6141732283465
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8746652383503
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.61%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
20 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.87%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.5161
5.60%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.9922
2.30%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 07:45:00 141.81 ↑ High
2026-02-03 08:30:00 141.52 ↑ High
2026-02-03 08:45:00 140.6 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 09:15:00 141.34 ↑ High
2026-02-03 10:00:00 134.59 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 10:55:00 138.92 ↑ High
2026-02-03 11:55:00 136.49 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 14:15:00 130.69 ↑ High
2026-02-03 15:35:00 133.14 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.61%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.83%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.3061
6.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.9922
2.30%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 23:45:00 142.42 ↑ High
2026-02-03 01:00:00 141.03 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:45:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 04:15:00 140.57 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 05:30:00 142.14 ↑ High
2026-02-03 07:00:00 140.45 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 07:45:00 141.81 ↑ High
2026-02-03 10:00:00 134.59 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 15:30:00 133.14 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-6.83%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.61%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.28%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.5461
11.58%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.9922
2.30%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 11:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 13:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 15:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 17:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 19:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 11:00:00 147.9 ↑ High
2026-02-02 21:00:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:00:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
03 Feb 2026
15:44:58		 03 Feb 2026
16:00:00		 15 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
132.86 134.2939 129.9922 2 132.99
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 132.86
  • Stop Loss: 134.2939
  • Take Profit: 129.9922

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 134.2939 - 132.86 = 1.4339

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 132.86 - 129.9922 = 2.8678

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.8678 / 1.4339 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
741.2444 100 5.5791 7.41
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.4339

Taille de position = 8 / 1.4339 = 5.58

Taille de position USD = 5.58 x 132.86 = 741.36

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.58 avec un stoploss a 134.2939

Avec un position size USD de 741.36$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.58 x 1.4339 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.58 x 2.8678 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.58
  • Taille de position USD 741.36
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.16 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.08 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.08
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3623 % 126.22 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 129.9922
            [entry_price] => 132.86
            [stop_loss] => 134.43729
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 16:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 129.9922
            [entry_price] => 132.86
            [stop_loss] => 134.58068
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 16:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 129.9922
            [entry_price] => 132.86
            [stop_loss] => 134.72407
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 16:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.87
            [max_drawdown] => 1.87
            [rr_ratio] => 0.47
            [high] => 134.73000000
            [low] => 131.99000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.65
            [mae_pct] => 1.41
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.47
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-03T15:44:58-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-03T17:44:58-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.56
            [max_drawdown] => 1.87
            [rr_ratio] => 0.83
            [high] => 134.73000000
            [low] => 131.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.17
            [mae_pct] => 1.41
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.83
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-03T15:44:58-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-03T22:44:58-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 136.49000000
            [high_after] => 134.73000000
            [low_before] => 127.00000000
            [low_after] => 131.32000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)