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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 03 Feb 2026 at 15:55:12

Take profit at 130.6296 (2.03 %) and Stop Loss at 134.6802 (1.01 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 03 Feb 2026 at 15:55:12

With 5.9251 MSTR at 133.33$ per unit.

Position size of 789.987 $

Take profit at 130.6296 (2.03 %) and Stop Loss at 134.6802 (1.01 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.61
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.84
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.73
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.77
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.752989

15m : 0.115475

1H : 0.138381

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.1
  4. atr: 0.9001329227
Details
  1. score: 1.1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 134.028
  4. ema21 : 137.325
  5. ema50 : 140.914
  6. ema100 : 143.423
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00520841
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0240145
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0254666
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0703765
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.466482
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.292044
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.182704
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.114102
  17. rsi : 0.402253
  18. adx : 0.477593
  19. kc_percentage : 0.188326
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0915147
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.89533
  22. volume_ema1 : 4481536.5198518
  23. volume_ema2 : 1547848.4169121
  24. chop : 24.3708
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 131.012
  28. ema21 : 132.179
  29. ema50 : 135.347
  30. ema100 : 137.737
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0176886
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00882913
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0234024
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0319961
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.183235
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.252433
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.197541
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.126147
  41. rsi : 0.474935
  42. adx : 0.365428
  43. kc_percentage : 0.700245
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.048194
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.331029
  46. volume_ema1 : 535874.33462106
  47. volume_ema2 : 801043.37919932
  48. chop : 46.9839
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 132.214
  52. ema21 : 131.19
  53. ema50 : 131.704
  54. ema100 : 133.89
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00843491
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00780935
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00390545
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00418753
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.186057
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.100465
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00194501
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0392658
  65. rsi : 0.662754
  66. adx : 0.276601
  67. kc_percentage : 1.09661
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0264045
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.64863
  70. volume_ema1 : 127515.06341006
  71. volume_ema2 : 362908.24180498
  72. chop : 38.9847
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    76089.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00436613
  78. 5m_price: 
    76421.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.752989
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    77314.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0133602
  83. 15m_price: 
    76281.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.115475
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    78847.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0307667
  88. 1H_price: 
    76421.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.138381
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 11:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 15:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 19:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 11:00:00
                    [1] => 147.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 21:00:00
                    [1] => 139.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 03:00:00
                    [1] => 142.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.4095371669004
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.0866141732284
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.283464566929
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 23:45:00
                    [1] => 142.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 01:00:00
                    [1] => 141.03
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 03:45:00
                    [1] => 142.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 04:15:00
                    [1] => 140.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 05:30:00
                    [1] => 142.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 07:00:00
                    [1] => 140.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 07:45:00
                    [1] => 141.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 10:00:00
                    [1] => 134.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 15:45:00
                    [1] => 133.64
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13469021251121
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.0866141732284
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.2283464566929
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 07:45:00
                    [1] => 141.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 08:30:00
                    [1] => 141.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 08:45:00
                    [1] => 140.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 09:15:00
                    [1] => 141.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 10:00:00
                    [1] => 134.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 10:55:00
                    [1] => 138.92
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 11:55:00
                    [1] => 136.49
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:15:00
                    [1] => 130.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 15:55:00
                    [1] => 133.64
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13469021251121
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.0866141732284
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 23
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2572499808708
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.09%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
23 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.26%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.1298
5.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.6296
2.78%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 07:45:00 141.81 ↑ High
2026-02-03 08:30:00 141.52 ↑ High
2026-02-03 08:45:00 140.6 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 09:15:00 141.34 ↑ High
2026-02-03 10:00:00 134.59 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 10:55:00 138.92 ↑ High
2026-02-03 11:55:00 136.49 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 14:15:00 130.69 ↑ High
2026-02-03 15:55:00 133.64 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.09%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.23%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.9198
5.88%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.6296
2.78%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 23:45:00 142.42 ↑ High
2026-02-03 01:00:00 141.03 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:45:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 04:15:00 140.57 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 05:30:00 142.14 ↑ High
2026-02-03 07:00:00 140.45 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 07:45:00 141.81 ↑ High
2026-02-03 10:00:00 134.59 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 15:45:00 133.64 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-6.41%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.09%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.28%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.1598
11.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.6296
2.78%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 11:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 13:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 15:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 17:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 19:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 11:00:00 147.9 ↑ High
2026-02-02 21:00:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:00:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
03 Feb 2026
15:55:12		 03 Feb 2026
16:05:00		 9 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
133.33 134.6802 130.6296 2 132.46
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 133.33
  • Stop Loss: 134.6802
  • Take Profit: 130.6296

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 134.6802 - 133.33 = 1.3502

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 133.33 - 130.6296 = 2.7004

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.7004 / 1.3502 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
789.987 100 5.9251 7.90
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.3502

Taille de position = 8 / 1.3502 = 5.93

Taille de position USD = 5.93 x 133.33 = 790.65

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.93 avec un stoploss a 134.6802

Avec un position size USD de 790.65$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.93 x 1.3502 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.93 x 2.7004 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.93
  • Taille de position USD 790.65
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.03 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.01 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.01
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.05 % 103.68 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.29
            [max_drawdown] => 1.4
            [rr_ratio] => 0.92
            [high] => 134.73000000
            [low] => 132.04000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.97
            [mae_pct] => 1.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.92
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-03T15:55:12-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-03T17:55:12-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.03
            [max_drawdown] => 1.4
            [rr_ratio] => 1.45
            [high] => 134.73000000
            [low] => 131.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.52
            [mae_pct] => 1.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.45
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-03T15:55:12-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-03T22:55:12-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 135.96000000
            [high_after] => 134.73000000
            [low_before] => 127.00000000
            [low_after] => 131.30000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)