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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 03 Feb 2026 at 16:05:10

Take profit at 132.0484 (1.94 %) and Stop Loss at 135.9658 (0.97 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 03 Feb 2026 at 16:05:10

With 6.1265 MSTR at 134.66$ per unit.

Position size of 824.9921 $

Take profit at 132.0484 (1.94 %) and Stop Loss at 135.9658 (0.97 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 6
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.91
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.89
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.8
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.761179

15m : 0.171782

1H : 0.131512

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.33
  4. atr: 0.8705376333
Details
  1. score: 1.33
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 134.175
  4. ema21 : 137.094
  5. ema50 : 140.723
  6. ema100 : 143.619
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00361274
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0212935
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0257899
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0623827
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.45223
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.301302
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.1925
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.124793
  17. rsi : 0.431545
  18. adx : 0.465734
  19. kc_percentage : 0.305295
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0857675
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.1015
  22. volume_ema1 : 3225212.0697346
  23. volume_ema2 : 1534717.9871321
  24. chop : 25.3088
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 131.91
  28. ema21 : 132.491
  29. ema50 : 135.348
  30. ema100 : 137.616
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0208471
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00439098
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0211087
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0214847
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0797395
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.199602
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.176693
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.115997
  41. rsi : 0.562259
  42. adx : 0.344726
  43. kc_percentage : 0.845788
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0489018
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.181815
  46. volume_ema1 : 655885.82115848
  47. volume_ema2 : 801635.91003037
  48. chop : 38.9915
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 133.111
  52. ema21 : 131.802
  53. ema50 : 131.936
  54. ema100 : 133.923
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0116315
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00993518
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00101835
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00549609
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.24583
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.144215
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0249186
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0244455
  65. rsi : 0.718839
  66. adx : 0.298085
  67. kc_percentage : 1.33202
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0249727
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.409047
  70. volume_ema1 : 215020.73251558
  71. volume_ema2 : 363854.51358947
  72. chop : 31.7578
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    76141.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00924894
  78. 5m_price: 
    76845.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.761179
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    77305.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00594782
  83. 15m_price: 
    76845.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.171782
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    78941.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.026548
  88. 1H_price: 
    76845.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.131512
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 11:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 15:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 19:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 11:00:00
                    [1] => 147.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 21:00:00
                    [1] => 139.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 03:00:00
                    [1] => 142.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.6802244039271
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.9055118110236
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.283464566929
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 23:45:00
                    [1] => 142.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 01:00:00
                    [1] => 141.03
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 03:45:00
                    [1] => 142.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 04:15:00
                    [1] => 140.57
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 05:30:00
                    [1] => 142.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 07:00:00
                    [1] => 140.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 07:45:00
                    [1] => 141.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 10:00:00
                    [1] => 134.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 16:00:00
                    [1] => 134.73
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17071179395828
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.9055118110236
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.0866141732283
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 07:50:00
                    [1] => 141.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 08:30:00
                    [1] => 141.52
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 08:45:00
                    [1] => 140.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 09:15:00
                    [1] => 141.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 10:00:00
                    [1] => 134.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 10:55:00
                    [1] => 138.92
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 11:55:00
                    [1] => 136.49
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:15:00
                    [1] => 130.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 16:05:00
                    [1] => 134.73
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17071179395828
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.9055118110236
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 25
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0912847195654
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.91%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
25 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.09%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.8442
4.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.0484
3.82%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 07:50:00 141.81 ↑ High
2026-02-03 08:30:00 141.52 ↑ High
2026-02-03 08:45:00 140.6 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 09:15:00 141.34 ↑ High
2026-02-03 10:00:00 134.59 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 10:55:00 138.92 ↑ High
2026-02-03 11:55:00 136.49 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 14:15:00 130.69 ↑ High
2026-02-03 16:05:00 134.73 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.91%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.09%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.6342
4.88%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.0484
3.82%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 23:45:00 142.42 ↑ High
2026-02-03 01:00:00 141.03 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:45:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 04:15:00 140.57 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 05:30:00 142.14 ↑ High
2026-02-03 07:00:00 140.45 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 07:45:00 141.81 ↑ High
2026-02-03 10:00:00 134.59 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 16:00:00 134.73 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.68%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.91%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.28%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.8742
10.20%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.0484
3.82%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 11:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 13:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 15:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 17:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 19:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 11:00:00 147.9 ↑ High
2026-02-02 21:00:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:00:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
03 Feb 2026
16:05:10		 03 Feb 2026
17:50:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
134.66 135.9658 132.0484 2 132.06
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 134.66
  • Stop Loss: 135.9658
  • Take Profit: 132.0484

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 135.9658 - 134.66 = 1.3058

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 134.66 - 132.0484 = 2.6116

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.6116 / 1.3058 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
824.9921 100 6.1265 8.25
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.3058

Taille de position = 8 / 1.3058 = 6.13

Taille de position USD = 6.13 x 134.66 = 825.47

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.13 avec un stoploss a 135.9658

Avec un position size USD de 825.47$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.13 x 1.3058 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.13 x 2.6116 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.13
  • Taille de position USD 825.47
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.94 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.97 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.94
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 132.0484
            [stop_loss] => 135.9658
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 17:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 131.3955
            [stop_loss] => 135.9658
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 21:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.73
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 134.50000000
            [low] => 131.93000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.03
            [mae_pct] => -0.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-03T16:05:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-03T18:05:10-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.36
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 134.50000000
            [low] => 131.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.5
            [mae_pct] => -0.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-03T16:05:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-03T23:05:10-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 134.73000000
            [high_after] => 134.50000000
            [low_before] => 127.00000000
            [low_after] => 131.30000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)