Short Trade on QQQ 03 Feb 2026 at 16:05:48
Take profit at 614.9055 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 618.6172 (0.2 %)
Short Trade on QQQ 03 Feb 2026 at 16:05:48
Take profit at 614.9055 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 618.6172 (0.2 %)
Position size of 3991.9755 $
Take profit at 614.9055 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 618.6172 (0.2 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.97 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.83 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.78 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_medium |
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.653359 15m : 0.128106 1H : 0.126859 |
2 |
Indicators:
76141.3
0.00924894
76845.6
0.653359
77305.3
-0.00594782
76845.6
0.128106
78941.3
-0.026548
76845.6
0.126859
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 03:00:00
[1] => 621.47
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 05:00:00
[1] => 621.47
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 07:00:00
[1] => 621.47
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 09:00:00
[1] => 621.47
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 11:00:00
[1] => 621.47
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
[1] => 621.47
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 20:00:00
[1] => 621.65
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 02:00:00
[1] => 614.25
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 08:00:00
[1] => 630.33
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
[1] => 611.05
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.095727634731
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.99337206447918
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1552246133704
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 22:15:00
[1] => 627.5
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 23:30:00
[1] => 629.57
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 02:30:00
[1] => 629.28
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 03:00:00
[1] => 630.19
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 05:15:00
[1] => 629.89
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 06:30:00
[1] => 628.24
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 08:30:00
[1] => 630.33
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 10:15:00
[1] => 617.9
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
[1] => 611.05
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 16:00:00
[1] => 617.56
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.071248137832752
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.99337206447918
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0653792651992
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 08:30:00
[1] => 630.33
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 10:25:00
[1] => 617.9
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 10:55:00
[1] => 621.81
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 12:40:00
[1] => 614.62
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 13:05:00
[1] => 616.6
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
[1] => 611.05
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 14:20:00
[1] => 614.67
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 14:50:00
[1] => 611.62
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 16:05:00
[1] => 617.56
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.071248137832752
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.89925116902652
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.97119126254863
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 08:30:00 | 630.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 10:25:00 | 617.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 10:55:00 | 621.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 12:40:00 | 614.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 13:05:00 | 616.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 14:00:00 | 611.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 14:20:00 | 614.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 14:50:00 | 611.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 16:05:00 | 617.56 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 22:15:00 | 627.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 23:30:00 | 629.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 02:30:00 | 629.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 03:00:00 | 630.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 05:15:00 | 629.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 06:30:00 | 628.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 08:30:00 | 630.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 10:15:00 | 617.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 14:00:00 | 611.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 16:00:00 | 617.56 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 03:00:00 | 621.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 05:00:00 | 621.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 07:00:00 | 621.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 09:00:00 | 621.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 11:00:00 | 621.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 13:00:00 | 621.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 20:00:00 | 621.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 02:00:00 | 614.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 08:00:00 | 630.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 14:00:00 | 611.05 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb 2026 16:05:48 |
04 Feb 2026 04:20:00 |
12 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 617.38 | 618.6172 | 614.9055 | 2 | 607.14 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 618.6172 - 617.38 = 1.2372
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 617.38 - 614.9055 = 2.4745
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.4745 / 1.2372 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3991.9755 | 100 | 6.466 | 39.92 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.2372 = 6.47
Taille de position USD = 6.47 x 617.38 = 3994.45
Donc, tu peux acheter 6.47 avec un stoploss a 618.6172
Avec un position size USD de 3994.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6.47 x 1.2372 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6.47 x 2.4745 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0923 % | 46.06 % | 7 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.37
[max_drawdown] => 0.50999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 4.65
[high] => 617.89000000
[low] => 615.01000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.38
[mae_pct] => 0.08
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.65
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-03T16:05:48-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-03T18:05:48-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.37
[max_drawdown] => 0.50999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 4.65
[high] => 617.89000000
[low] => 615.01000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.38
[mae_pct] => 0.08
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.65
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-03T16:05:48-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-03T23:05:48-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 618.69000000
[high_after] => 617.89000000
[low_before] => 611.05000000
[low_after] => 615.01000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)