Short Trade on MSTR 03 Feb 2026 at 16:09:48

Take profit at 131.7962 (2.01 %) and Stop Loss at 135.8519 (1.01 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 03 Feb 2026 at 16:09:48

With 5.9177 MSTR at 134.5$ per unit.

Position size of 795.9299 $

Take profit at 131.7962 (2.01 %) and Stop Loss at 135.8519 (1.01 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 6
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.9
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.91
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.761269

15m : 0.168751

1H : 0.129508

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.25
  4. atr: 0.901251919
Details
  1. score: 1.25
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 134.143
  4. ema21 : 137.079
  5. ema50 : 140.717
  6. ema100 : 143.616
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0026594
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.021423
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0258499
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0634761
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.454109
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.302154
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.192863
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.124974
  17. rsi : 0.428145
  18. adx : 0.46541
  19. kc_percentage : 0.29319
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.086048
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.10579
  22. volume_ema1 : 3233975.5819346
  23. volume_ema2 : 1535748.9885674
  24. chop : 25.3141
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 131.878
  29. ema21 : 132.477
  30. ema50 : 135.342
  31. ema100 : 137.613
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0198816
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00452322
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0211708
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0226248
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0817417
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.200495
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.177071
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.116186
  42. rsi : 0.556735
  43. adx : 0.345067
  44. kc_percentage : 0.822629
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0491384
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.171948
  47. volume_ema1 : 664649.33335848
  48. volume_ema2 : 802666.91146567
  49. chop : 38.7038
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 133.079
  54. ema21 : 131.787
  55. ema50 : 131.93
  56. ema100 : 133.92
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0106725
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00980384
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00108109
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00432514
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.243767
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.143279
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0245212
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0246421
  67. rsi : 0.703971
  68. adx : 0.298457
  69. kc_percentage : 1.25058
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0262812
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.3867
  72. volume_ema1 : 223784.24471558
  73. volume_ema2 : 364885.51502477
  74. chop : 31.4519
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    76141.3
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00923349
  81. 5m_price:
    76844.4
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.761269
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    77305.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00596303
  86. 15m_price:
    76844.4
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.168751
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    78941.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0265629
  91. 1H_price:
    76844.4
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.129508
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 11:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 15:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 19:00:00
                        [1] => 149.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                        [1] => 135.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 11:00:00
                        [1] => 147.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 21:00:00
                        [1] => 139.5
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 03:00:00
                        [1] => 142.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                        [1] => 127
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.6802244039271
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.9055118110236
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.283464566929
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 23:45:00
                        [1] => 142.42
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 01:00:00
                        [1] => 141.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 03:45:00
                        [1] => 142.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 04:15:00
                        [1] => 140.57
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 05:30:00
                        [1] => 142.14
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 07:00:00
                        [1] => 140.45
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 07:45:00
                        [1] => 141.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 10:00:00
                        [1] => 134.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                        [1] => 127
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 16:00:00
                        [1] => 134.73
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17071179395828
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.9055118110236
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.0866141732283
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 07:50:00
                        [1] => 141.81
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 08:30:00
                        [1] => 141.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 08:45:00
                        [1] => 140.6
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 09:15:00
                        [1] => 141.34
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 10:00:00
                        [1] => 134.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 10:55:00
                        [1] => 138.92
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 11:55:00
                        [1] => 136.49
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                        [1] => 127
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 14:15:00
                        [1] => 130.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 16:05:00
                        [1] => 134.73
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17071179395828
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.9055118110236
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 25
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0912847195654
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.91%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
25 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.09%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.9581
4.39%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.7962
3.64%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 07:50:00 141.81 ↑ High
2026-02-03 08:30:00 141.52 ↑ High
2026-02-03 08:45:00 140.6 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 09:15:00 141.34 ↑ High
2026-02-03 10:00:00 134.59 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 10:55:00 138.92 ↑ High
2026-02-03 11:55:00 136.49 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 14:15:00 130.69 ↑ High
2026-02-03 16:05:00 134.73 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.91%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.09%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.7481
4.97%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.7962
3.64%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 23:45:00 142.42 ↑ High
2026-02-03 01:00:00 141.03 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:45:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 04:15:00 140.57 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 05:30:00 142.14 ↑ High
2026-02-03 07:00:00 140.45 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 07:45:00 141.81 ↑ High
2026-02-03 10:00:00 134.59 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 16:00:00 134.73 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.68%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.91%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.28%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
13.9881
10.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.7962
3.64%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 11:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 13:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 15:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 17:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 19:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 11:00:00 147.9 ↑ High
2026-02-02 21:00:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:00:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
03 Feb 2026
16:09:48
03 Feb 2026
19:55:00
3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
134.5 135.8519 131.7962 2 132.06
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 134.5
  • Stop Loss: 135.8519
  • Take Profit: 131.7962

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 135.8519 - 134.5 = 1.3519

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 134.5 - 131.7962 = 2.7038

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.7038 / 1.3519 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
795.9299 100 5.9177 7.96
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.3519

Taille de position = 8 / 1.3519 = 5.92

Taille de position USD = 5.92 x 134.5 = 796.24

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.92 avec un stoploss a 135.8519

Avec un position size USD de 796.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.92 x 1.3519 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.92 x 2.7038 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.92
  • Taille de position USD 796.24
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.01 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.01 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 2.01
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 131.7962
            [stop_loss] => 135.8519
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 19:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.57
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 134.50000000
            [low] => 131.93000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.91
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-03T16:09:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-03T18:09:48-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.2
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 134.50000000
            [low] => 131.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.38
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-03T16:09:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-03T23:09:48-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 134.73000000
            [high_after] => 134.50000000
            [low_before] => 127.00000000
            [low_after] => 131.30000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)