Short Trade on RIVER 03 Feb 2026 at 16:10:32
Take profit at 13.2639 (7.1 %) and Stop Loss at 14.7836 (3.55 %)
Short Trade on RIVER 03 Feb 2026 at 16:10:32
Take profit at 13.2639 (7.1 %) and Stop Loss at 14.7836 (3.55 %)
Position size of 225.477 $
Take profit at 13.2639 (7.1 %) and Stop Loss at 14.7836 (3.55 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.9 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.83 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.84 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_medium |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.019049 15m : 0.023632 1H : -0.132562 |
2 |
Indicators:
76147.9
0.00973942
76889.6
0.019049
77306.2
-0.00538985
76889.6
0.023632
78942.2
-0.0260013
76889.6
-0.132562
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-01-31 12:00:00
[1] => 25.037
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 04:00:00
[1] => 14.359
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 07:00:00
[1] => 23.703
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
[1] => 10.25
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 20:00:00
[1] => 20.325
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
[1] => 15
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 08:00:00
[1] => 24.783
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 13:00:00
[1] => 16.644
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 05:00:00
[1] => 16.28
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 09:00:00
[1] => 12.67
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -12.27886977887
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 12.715074980268
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 28.492501973165
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 18:30:00
[1] => 18.88
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 23:00:00
[1] => 14.299
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 00:15:00
[1] => 15.844
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 02:30:00
[1] => 13.769
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 05:15:00
[1] => 16.28
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 06:00:00
[1] => 13.568
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 09:00:00
[1] => 12.67
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 11:45:00
[1] => 15.65
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
[1] => 12.672
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 16:00:00
[1] => 14.506
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.551082310768
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 12.697285353535
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.472853535354
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 09:10:00
[1] => 12.67
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 10:05:00
[1] => 14.601
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 10:40:00
[1] => 15.176
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 11:15:00
[1] => 13.719
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 11:50:00
[1] => 15.65
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 12:15:00
[1] => 14.31
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 14:05:00
[1] => 12.672
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 14:20:00
[1] => 13.559
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 15:00:00
[1] => 12.902
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 16:10:00
[1] => 14.506
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.551082310768
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.688265385212
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.4321810572
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 09:10:00 | 12.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 10:05:00 | 14.601 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 10:40:00 | 15.176 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 11:15:00 | 13.719 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 11:50:00 | 15.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 12:15:00 | 14.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 14:05:00 | 12.672 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 14:20:00 | 13.559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 15:00:00 | 12.902 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 16:10:00 | 14.506 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 18:30:00 | 18.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 23:00:00 | 14.299 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 00:15:00 | 15.844 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 02:30:00 | 13.769 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 05:15:00 | 16.28 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 06:00:00 | 13.568 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 09:00:00 | 12.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 11:45:00 | 15.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 14:00:00 | 12.672 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 16:00:00 | 14.506 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 12:00:00 | 25.037 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 04:00:00 | 14.359 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 07:00:00 | 23.703 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 17:00:00 | 10.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-01 20:00:00 | 20.325 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 04:00:00 | 15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 08:00:00 | 24.783 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 13:00:00 | 16.644 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 05:00:00 | 16.28 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 09:00:00 | 12.67 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb 2026 16:10:32 |
03 Feb 2026 17:30:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.277 | 14.7836 | 13.2639 | 2 | 11.553 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.7836 - 14.277 = 0.5066
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.277 - 13.2639 = 1.0131
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0131 / 0.5066 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 225.477 | 100 | 15.793 | 2.25 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.5066 = 15.79
Taille de position USD = 15.79 x 14.277 = 225.43
Donc, tu peux acheter 15.79 avec un stoploss a 14.7836
Avec un position size USD de 225.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 15.79 x 0.5066 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 15.79 x 1.0131 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.1 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.55 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 7.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8771 % | 52.9 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.2638
[stop_loss] => 14.7836
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 17:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.0105
[stop_loss] => 14.7836
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 18:05:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.7572
[stop_loss] => 14.7836
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 18:10:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.5039
[stop_loss] => 14.7836
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 18:10:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.2506
[stop_loss] => 14.7836
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 18:25:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 11.9973
[stop_loss] => 14.7836
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-03 21:00:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.786
[max_drawdown] => 0.268
[rr_ratio] => 6.66
[high] => 14.54500000
[low] => 12.49100000
[mfe_pct] => 12.51
[mae_pct] => 1.88
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.66
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-03T16:10:32-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-03T18:10:32-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.477
[max_drawdown] => 0.268
[rr_ratio] => 9.24
[high] => 14.54500000
[low] => 11.80000000
[mfe_pct] => 17.35
[mae_pct] => 1.88
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 9.24
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-03T16:10:32-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-03T23:10:32-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 15.09000000
[high_after] => 14.54500000
[low_before] => 12.67200000
[low_after] => 11.80000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)