Short Trade on RIVER 03 Feb 2026 at 22:13:44

Take profit at 12.8607 (6.32 %) and Stop Loss at 14.1632 (3.16 %)

Short Trade on RIVER

The 03 Feb 2026 at 22:13:44

With 18.4262 RIVER at 13.729$ per unit.

Position size of 252.9734 $

Take profit at 12.8607 (6.32 %) and Stop Loss at 14.1632 (3.16 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.66
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.95
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.93
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.66
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bull_high_confirmed

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.16773

15m : -0.116

1H : 0.120146

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.31
  4. atr: 0.2894428466
Details
  1. score: 1.31
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 13.2218
  4. ema21 : 13.9611
  5. ema50 : 16.0519
  6. ema100 : 19.8616
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0383579
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0529569
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.130252
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.308768
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.691055
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.835861
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.795002
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.682097
  17. rsi : 0.457642
  18. adx : 0.191486
  19. kc_percentage : 0.465775
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.347693
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.545988
  22. volume_ema1 : 2489723.7714894
  23. volume_ema2 : 5483839.8630029
  24. chop : 66.7658
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 12.8433
  29. ema21 : 12.8946
  30. ema50 : 13.322
  31. ema100 : 13.8903
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0689582
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00397986
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0320779
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0116157
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.088228
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.242741
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.242708
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.195341
  42. rsi : 0.601073
  43. adx : 0.232985
  44. kc_percentage : 0.915942
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.14844
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.0764045
  47. volume_ema1 : 912037.24235753
  48. volume_ema2 : 987485.6165376
  49. chop : 49.8998
  50. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 13.0011
  54. ema21 : 12.7503
  55. ema50 : 12.7537
  56. ema100 : 12.8875
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0559818
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0196749
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000266888
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0652929
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.512689
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.221075
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0324023
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0138559
  67. rsi : 0.756642
  68. adx : 0.220459
  69. kc_percentage : 1.3056
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.087674
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.777834
  72. volume_ema1 : 466339.67963118
  73. volume_ema2 : 262307.73204515
  74. chop : 24.8297
  75. regime : bull_high_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    75624
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0120143
  81. 5m_price:
    76532.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.16773
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    76858.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00424348
  86. 15m_price:
    76532.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.116
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    78615.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0264986
  91. 1H_price:
    76532.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.120146
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 04:00:00
                        [1] => 14.359
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 07:00:00
                        [1] => 23.703
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
                        [1] => 10.25
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-01 20:00:00
                        [1] => 20.325
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 04:00:00
                        [1] => 15
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 08:00:00
                        [1] => 24.783
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-02 13:00:00
                        [1] => 16.644
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 05:00:00
                        [1] => 16.28
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 09:00:00
                        [1] => 12.67
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 21:00:00
                        [1] => 11.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -16.406633906634
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.330508474576
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.3728813559322
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 02:30:00
                        [1] => 13.769
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 05:15:00
                        [1] => 16.28
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 06:00:00
                        [1] => 13.568
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 09:00:00
                        [1] => 12.67
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 11:45:00
                        [1] => 15.65
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                        [1] => 12.672
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 16:15:00
                        [1] => 14.545
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 18:15:00
                        [1] => 12.117
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 21:00:00
                        [1] => 11.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 22:00:00
                        [1] => 13.803
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4054915598058
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.330508474576
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.974576271186
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 14:20:00
                        [1] => 13.559
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 15:00:00
                        [1] => 12.902
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 16:20:00
                        [1] => 14.545
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 18:25:00
                        [1] => 12.117
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 18:45:00
                        [1] => 13.204
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 19:05:00
                        [1] => 12.378
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 19:20:00
                        [1] => 13.197
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 20:20:00
                        [1] => 12.231
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 21:00:00
                        [1] => 11.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-03 22:10:00
                        [1] => 13.803
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4054915598058
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.330508474576
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.974576271186
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.41%
Dist From Last Low Pct
15.33%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
16.97%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3818
2.70%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.0607
8.25%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 14:20:00 13.559 ↑ High
2026-02-03 15:00:00 12.902 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 16:20:00 14.545 ↑ High
2026-02-03 18:25:00 12.117 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 18:45:00 13.204 ↑ High
2026-02-03 19:05:00 12.378 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 19:20:00 13.197 ↑ High
2026-02-03 20:20:00 12.231 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 21:00:00 11.8 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 22:10:00 13.803 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.41%
Dist From Last Low Pct
15.33%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
16.97%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.1168
14.95%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.0607
8.25%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 02:30:00 13.769 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 05:15:00 16.28 ↑ High
2026-02-03 06:00:00 13.568 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 09:00:00 12.67 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 11:45:00 15.65 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 12.672 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 16:15:00 14.545 ↑ High
2026-02-03 18:15:00 12.117 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 21:00:00 11.8 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 22:00:00 13.803 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-16.41%
Dist From Last Low Pct
15.33%
Bars Since Swing High
17 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.37%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.6198
74.98%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6107
20.30%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 04:00:00 14.359 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 07:00:00 23.703 ↑ High
2026-02-01 17:00:00 10.25 ↓ Low
2026-02-01 20:00:00 20.325 ↑ High
2026-02-02 04:00:00 15 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 08:00:00 24.783 ↑ High
2026-02-02 13:00:00 16.644 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 05:00:00 16.28 ↑ High
2026-02-03 09:00:00 12.67 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 21:00:00 11.8 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
03 Feb 2026
22:13:44
03 Feb 2026
23:10:00
56 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
13.729 14.1632 12.8607 2 11.056
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 13.729
  • Stop Loss: 14.1632
  • Take Profit: 12.8607

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 14.1632 - 13.729 = 0.4342

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 13.729 - 12.8607 = 0.8683

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.8683 / 0.4342 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
252.9734 100 18.4262 2.53
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4342

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4342 = 18.42

Taille de position USD = 18.42 x 13.729 = 252.89

Donc, tu peux acheter 18.42 avec un stoploss a 14.1632

Avec un position size USD de 252.89$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 18.42 x 0.4342 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 18.42 x 0.8683 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 18.42
  • Taille de position USD 252.89
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
6.32 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.16 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -3.16
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.5014 % 142.33 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.8607
            [entry_price] => 13.729
            [stop_loss] => 14.20662
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 23:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.8607
            [entry_price] => 13.729
            [stop_loss] => 14.25004
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 23:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.8607
            [entry_price] => 13.729
            [stop_loss] => 14.29346
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-03 23:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 12.8607
            [entry_price] => 13.729
            [stop_loss] => 14.3803
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 00:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.471
            [max_drawdown] => 0.727
            [rr_ratio] => 0.65
            [high] => 14.45600000
            [low] => 13.25800000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.43
            [mae_pct] => 5.3
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.65
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-03T22:13:44-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-04T00:13:44-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.66
            [max_drawdown] => 2.789
            [rr_ratio] => 0.24
            [high] => 16.51800000
            [low] => 13.06900000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.81
            [mae_pct] => 20.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.24
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-03T22:13:44-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-04T05:13:44-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 13.80300000
            [high_after] => 16.51800000
            [low_before] => 11.80000000
            [low_after] => 13.06900000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)