Short Trade on QQQ 04 Feb 2026 at 00:39:25
Take profit at 616.3748 (0.072 %) and Stop Loss at 617.0426 (0.036 %)
Short Trade on QQQ 04 Feb 2026 at 00:39:25
Take profit at 616.3748 (0.072 %) and Stop Loss at 617.0426 (0.036 %)
Position size of 22168.7667 $
Take profit at 616.3748 (0.072 %) and Stop Loss at 617.0426 (0.036 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.95 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.85 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.77 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.302662 15m : 0.11616 1H : 0.13209 |
1 |
Indicators:
76336.8
-0.000131403
76326.8
0.302662
76815.9
-0.00583805
76367.5
0.11616
78537.6
-0.0281506
76326.8
0.13209
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 03:00:00
[1] => 621.47
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 05:00:00
[1] => 621.47
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 07:00:00
[1] => 621.47
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 09:00:00
[1] => 621.47
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 11:00:00
[1] => 621.47
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 13:00:00
[1] => 621.47
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-01 20:00:00
[1] => 621.65
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 02:00:00
[1] => 614.25
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 08:00:00
[1] => 630.33
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
[1] => 611.05
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1433217520981
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.94427624580641
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1552246133704
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 08:30:00
[1] => 630.33
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 10:15:00
[1] => 617.9
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
[1] => 611.05
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 16:15:00
[1] => 617.89
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 18:00:00
[1] => 615.01
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 19:45:00
[1] => 615.23
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 21:00:00
[1] => 617.69
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 21:45:00
[1] => 615.87
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 22:45:00
[1] => 617.07
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 00:30:00
[1] => 616.83
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0016211922247606
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.15425333268385
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.038908613394292
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 20:55:00
[1] => 616.29
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 21:05:00
[1] => 617.69
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 21:50:00
[1] => 615.87
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 22:35:00
[1] => 617.07
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 22:45:00
[1] => 617.07
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 23:35:00
[1] => 616.34
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 23:45:00
[1] => 616.34
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 00:15:00
[1] => 616.36
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 00:25:00
[1] => 616.36
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 00:35:00
[1] => 616.83
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0016211922247606
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.07463170874165
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.076254137192554
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 20:55:00 | 616.29 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 21:05:00 | 617.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 21:50:00 | 615.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 22:35:00 | 617.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 22:45:00 | 617.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 23:35:00 | 616.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 23:45:00 | 616.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-04 00:15:00 | 616.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-04 00:25:00 | 616.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-04 00:35:00 | 616.83 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 08:30:00 | 630.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 10:15:00 | 617.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 14:00:00 | 611.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 16:15:00 | 617.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 18:00:00 | 615.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 19:45:00 | 615.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 21:00:00 | 617.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 21:45:00 | 615.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 22:45:00 | 617.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-04 00:30:00 | 616.83 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 03:00:00 | 621.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 05:00:00 | 621.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 07:00:00 | 621.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 09:00:00 | 621.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 11:00:00 | 621.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 13:00:00 | 621.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-01 20:00:00 | 621.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 02:00:00 | 614.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 08:00:00 | 630.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 14:00:00 | 611.05 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb 2026 00:39:25 |
04 Feb 2026 01:05:00 |
25 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 616.82 | 617.0426 | 616.3748 | 2 | 608.27 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 617.0426 - 616.82 = 0.22259999999994
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 616.82 - 616.3748 = 0.4452
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4452 / 0.22259999999994 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22168.7667 | 100 | 35.9404 | 221.69 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.22259999999994 = 35.94
Taille de position USD = 35.94 x 616.82 = 22168.51
Donc, tu peux acheter 35.94 avec un stoploss a 617.0426
Avec un position size USD de 22168.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 35.94 x 0.22259999999994 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 35.94 x 0.4452 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.072 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.036 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.06 % | 166.2 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 616.3748
[entry_price] => 616.82
[stop_loss] => 617.06486
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-02-04 01:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 616.3748
[entry_price] => 616.82
[stop_loss] => 617.08712
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-04 01:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 616.3748
[entry_price] => 616.82
[stop_loss] => 617.10938
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-04 01:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 616.3748
[entry_price] => 616.82
[stop_loss] => 617.1539
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-04 01:05:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.43000000000006
[max_drawdown] => 1.0799999999999
[rr_ratio] => 0.4
[high] => 617.90000000
[low] => 616.39000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.07
[mae_pct] => 0.18
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.4
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-04T00:39:25-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-04T02:39:25-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.11
[max_drawdown] => 1.2399999999999
[rr_ratio] => 1.7
[high] => 618.06000000
[low] => 614.71000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.34
[mae_pct] => 0.2
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.7
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-04T00:39:25-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-04T07:39:25-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 617.69000000
[high_after] => 617.95000000
[low_before] => 615.87000000
[low_after] => 614.71000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)