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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 04 Feb 2026 at 01:37:11

Take profit at 132.5377 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 133.5311 (0.25 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 04 Feb 2026 at 01:37:11

With 24.1583 MSTR at 133.2$ per unit.

Position size of 3217.892 $

Take profit at 132.5377 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 133.5311 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.05
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.87
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.74
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.64
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.624697

15m : 0.026478

1H : 0.195926

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.1
  4. atr: 0.220765646
Details
  1. score: 1.1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 132.764
  4. ema21 : 134.386
  5. ema50 : 138.201
  6. ema100 : 141.942
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00327942
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0120655
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0276107
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0615906
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.160431
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.250183
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.211057
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.150041
  17. rsi : 0.43763
  18. adx : 0.433093
  19. kc_percentage : 0.360495
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0554636
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.829381
  22. volume_ema1 : 185101.5971202
  23. volume_ema2 : 1084889.0190321
  24. chop : 50.2528
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 132.69
  28. ema21 : 132.658
  29. ema50 : 133.224
  30. ema100 : 135.026
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00383782
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000245913
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00425003
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0135263
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00368814
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00914912
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0180927
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0376705
  41. rsi : 0.519213
  42. adx : 0.0961788
  43. kc_percentage : 0.792106
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0139036
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.977268
  46. volume_ema1 : 4829.5922205455
  47. volume_ema2 : 212459.17888427
  48. chop : 62.1104
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 132.745
  52. ema21 : 132.669
  53. ema50 : 132.654
  54. ema100 : 132.582
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00342237
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000575856
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000113837
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00466034
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0112033
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.00335983
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00245316
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.000180547
  65. rsi : 0.63722
  66. adx : 0.184754
  67. kc_percentage : 1.09571
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00668376
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.631482
  70. volume_ema1 : 2697.3775027809
  71. volume_ema2 : 7319.5332749926
  72. chop : 33.113
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    76248.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00500904
  78. 5m_price: 
    76630.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.624697
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    76710.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0030327
  83. 15m_price: 
    76477.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.026478
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    78484.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0236271
  88. 1H_price: 
    76630.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.195926
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 16:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 18:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 20:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 11:00:00
                    [1] => 147.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 21:00:00
                    [1] => 139.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 03:00:00
                    [1] => 142.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:00:00
                    [1] => 131.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 22:00:00
                    [1] => 134
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.59701492537314
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4470677837014
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.056359482102
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 07:45:00
                    [1] => 141.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 10:00:00
                    [1] => 134.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 16:00:00
                    [1] => 134.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 19:30:00
                    [1] => 132.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 19:45:00
                    [1] => 131.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:45:00
                    [1] => 131.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 22:30:00
                    [1] => 134
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 00:45:00
                    [1] => 132.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 01:30:00
                    [1] => 133.31
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.082514440027015
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.81743869209808
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.90069633666364
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 19:35:00
                    [1] => 132.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 19:55:00
                    [1] => 131.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 20:10:00
                    [1] => 132.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 20:50:00
                    [1] => 131.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:15:00
                    [1] => 132.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:45:00
                    [1] => 131.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 22:35:00
                    [1] => 134
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 23:25:00
                    [1] => 132.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 00:55:00
                    [1] => 132.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 01:35:00
                    [1] => 133.31
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.082514440027015
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.81743869209808
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.90069633666364
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.82%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.90%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4689
0.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2377
0.93%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 19:35:00 132.82 ↑ High
2026-02-03 19:55:00 131.67 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 20:10:00 132.77 ↑ High
2026-02-03 20:50:00 131.93 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 21:15:00 132.84 ↑ High
2026-02-03 21:45:00 131.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 22:35:00 134 ↑ High
2026-02-03 23:25:00 132.76 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 00:55:00 132.12 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 01:35:00 133.31 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.08%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.82%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.90%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.2789
6.20%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.5377
4.18%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 07:45:00 141.81 ↑ High
2026-02-03 10:00:00 134.59 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 16:00:00 134.73 ↑ High
2026-02-03 19:30:00 132.82 ↑ High
2026-02-03 19:45:00 131.67 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 21:45:00 131.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 22:30:00 134 ↑ High
2026-02-04 00:45:00 132.12 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 01:30:00 133.31 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.60%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.45%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.06%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.3089
12.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.5377
4.18%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 16:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 18:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 20:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 11:00:00 147.9 ↑ High
2026-02-02 21:00:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:00:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 21:00:00 131.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 22:00:00 134 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
04 Feb 2026
01:37:11		 04 Feb 2026
02:00:00		 22 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
133.2 133.5311 132.5377 2 132.88
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 133.2
  • Stop Loss: 133.5311
  • Take Profit: 132.5377

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 133.5311 - 133.2 = 0.33110000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 133.2 - 132.5377 = 0.66229999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.66229999999999 / 0.33110000000002 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3217.892 100 24.1583 32.18
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.33110000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.33110000000002 = 24.16

Taille de position USD = 24.16 x 133.2 = 3218.11

Donc, tu peux acheter 24.16 avec un stoploss a 133.5311

Avec un position size USD de 3218.11$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 24.16 x 0.33110000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 24.16 x 0.66229999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 24.16
  • Taille de position USD 3218.11
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.5 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.25
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3078 % 123.81 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 132.5377
            [entry_price] => 133.2
            [stop_loss] => 133.56421
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 02:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 132.5377
            [entry_price] => 133.2
            [stop_loss] => 133.59732
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 02:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 132.5377
            [entry_price] => 133.2
            [stop_loss] => 133.63043
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 02:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 132.5377
            [entry_price] => 133.2
            [stop_loss] => 133.69665
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 02:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.72999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.91000000000003
            [rr_ratio] => 0.8
            [high] => 134.11000000
            [low] => 132.47000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.55
            [mae_pct] => 0.68
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.8
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-04T01:37:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-04T03:37:11-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.14
            [max_drawdown] => 0.91000000000003
            [rr_ratio] => 2.35
            [high] => 134.11000000
            [low] => 131.06000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.61
            [mae_pct] => 0.68
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-04T01:37:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-04T08:37:11-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 134.00000000
            [high_after] => 134.11000000
            [low_before] => 131.30000000
            [low_after] => 131.08000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)