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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 04 Feb 2026 at 01:59:49

Take profit at 132.7141 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 133.5179 (0.2 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 04 Feb 2026 at 01:59:49

With 29.8575 MSTR at 133.25$ per unit.

Position size of 3978.512 $

Take profit at 132.7141 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 133.5179 (0.2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.37
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.54
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.69
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.620207

15m : 0.009672

1H : 0.161938

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.1
  4. atr: 0.178626246
Details
  1. score: 1.1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 132.774
  4. ema21 : 134.39
  5. ema50 : 138.203
  6. ema100 : 141.943
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00358043
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0120245
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0275916
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0612448
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.159816
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.24991
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.210942
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.149984
  17. rsi : 0.439178
  18. adx : 0.433093
  19. kc_percentage : 0.366618
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0554428
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.828869
  22. volume_ema1 : 185668.49725354
  23. volume_ema2 : 1084955.7131654
  24. chop : 50.2528
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 132.861
  28. ema21 : 132.742
  29. ema50 : 133.229
  30. ema100 : 134.923
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00292179
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000898933
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00365342
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0124069
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00490522
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00943968
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0164711
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0354496
  41. rsi : 0.563447
  42. adx : 0.106969
  43. kc_percentage : 0.771451
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0139014
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.97874
  46. volume_ema1 : 4343.2010803637
  47. volume_ema2 : 204299.21335201
  48. chop : 61.1845
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 133.038
  52. ema21 : 132.849
  53. ema50 : 132.747
  54. ema100 : 132.686
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00159114
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00141767
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000773237
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00424647
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0426252
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0177989
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00695794
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00374319
  65. rsi : 0.647032
  66. adx : 0.214976
  67. kc_percentage : 1.09579
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0049428
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.883693
  70. volume_ema1 : 720.65806474685
  71. volume_ema2 : 6196.204656028
  72. chop : 33.0778
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    76282.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00416396
  78. 5m_price: 
    76600.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.620207
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    76688.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00101257
  83. 15m_price: 
    76611
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.009672
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    78483.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0240019
  88. 1H_price: 
    76600.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.161938
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 16:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 18:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 20:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 11:00:00
                    [1] => 147.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 21:00:00
                    [1] => 139.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 03:00:00
                    [1] => 142.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:00:00
                    [1] => 131.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 22:00:00
                    [1] => 134
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.55970149253731
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4851485148515
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.056359482102
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 07:45:00
                    [1] => 141.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 10:00:00
                    [1] => 134.59
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 16:00:00
                    [1] => 134.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 19:30:00
                    [1] => 132.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 19:45:00
                    [1] => 131.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:45:00
                    [1] => 131.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 22:30:00
                    [1] => 134
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 00:45:00
                    [1] => 132.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 01:30:00
                    [1] => 133.31
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.045007876378368
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.85528307599152
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.90069633666364
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 19:35:00
                    [1] => 132.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 19:55:00
                    [1] => 131.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 20:10:00
                    [1] => 132.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 20:50:00
                    [1] => 131.93
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:15:00
                    [1] => 132.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:45:00
                    [1] => 131.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 22:35:00
                    [1] => 134
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 23:25:00
                    [1] => 132.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 00:55:00
                    [1] => 132.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 01:35:00
                    [1] => 133.31
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.045007876378368
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.85528307599152
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.90069633666364
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.86%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.90%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4821
0.36%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.4141
1.07%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 19:35:00 132.82 ↑ High
2026-02-03 19:55:00 131.67 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 20:10:00 132.77 ↑ High
2026-02-03 20:50:00 131.93 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 21:15:00 132.84 ↑ High
2026-02-03 21:45:00 131.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 22:35:00 134 ↑ High
2026-02-03 23:25:00 132.76 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 00:55:00 132.12 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 01:35:00 133.31 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.86%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.90%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.2921
6.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.7141
4.31%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 07:45:00 141.81 ↑ High
2026-02-03 10:00:00 134.59 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 16:00:00 134.73 ↑ High
2026-02-03 19:30:00 132.82 ↑ High
2026-02-03 19:45:00 131.67 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 21:45:00 131.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 22:30:00 134 ↑ High
2026-02-04 00:45:00 132.12 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 01:30:00 133.31 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.56%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.49%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.06%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.3221
12.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.7141
4.31%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 16:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 18:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 20:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 11:00:00 147.9 ↑ High
2026-02-02 21:00:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:00:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 21:00:00 131.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 22:00:00 134 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
04 Feb 2026
01:59:49		 04 Feb 2026
02:00:00		 11 seconds

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
133.25 133.5179 132.7141 2 133.25
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 133.25
  • Stop Loss: 133.5179
  • Take Profit: 132.7141

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 133.5179 - 133.25 = 0.2679

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 133.25 - 132.7141 = 0.5359

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5359 / 0.2679 = 2.0004

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3978.512 100 29.8575 39.79
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2679

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2679 = 29.86

Taille de position USD = 29.86 x 133.25 = 3978.85

Donc, tu peux acheter 29.86 avec un stoploss a 133.5179

Avec un position size USD de 3978.85$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 29.86 x 0.2679 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 29.86 x 0.5359 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 29.86
  • Taille de position USD 3978.85
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0004

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.4 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.2 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.20
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2702 % 134.36 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 132.7141
            [entry_price] => 133.25
            [stop_loss] => 133.54469
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 02:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 132.7141
            [entry_price] => 133.25
            [stop_loss] => 133.57148
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 02:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 132.7141
            [entry_price] => 133.25
            [stop_loss] => 133.59827
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 02:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 132.7141
            [entry_price] => 133.25
            [stop_loss] => 133.65185
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 02:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.78
            [max_drawdown] => 0.86000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 0.91
            [high] => 134.11000000
            [low] => 132.47000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.59
            [mae_pct] => 0.65
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.91
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-04T01:59:49-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-04T03:59:49-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.79
            [max_drawdown] => 0.86000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 4.41
            [high] => 134.11000000
            [low] => 129.46000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.84
            [mae_pct] => 0.65
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.41
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-04T01:59:49-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-04T08:59:49-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 134.00000000
            [high_after] => 134.11000000
            [low_before] => 131.82000000
            [low_after] => 131.08000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)