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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 04 Feb 2026 at 14:43:53

Take profit at 124.937 (2.26 %) and Stop Loss at 129.2765 (1.13 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 04 Feb 2026 at 14:43:53

With 5.5307 MSTR at 127.83$ per unit.

Position size of 706.9856 $

Take profit at 124.937 (2.26 %) and Stop Loss at 129.2765 (1.13 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.79
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.64
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.57
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.811116

15m : 0.067146

1H : 0.050148

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 0.9643195391
Details
  1. score: 1.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 127.332
  4. ema21 : 129.939
  5. ema50 : 134.366
  6. ema100 : 138.974
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00390745
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.02006
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0329536
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0801929
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.349207
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.270685
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.220322
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.164553
  17. rsi : 0.425137
  18. adx : 0.480092
  19. kc_percentage : 0.334152
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.090612
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.420014
  22. volume_ema1 : 1482279.0196787
  23. volume_ema2 : 1043847.5411499
  24. chop : 32.0859
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 125.353
  28. ema21 : 126.026
  29. ema50 : 128.159
  30. ema100 : 129.206
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0197532
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00533729
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0166399
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0106521
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0803701
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.171486
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.140862
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0813201
  41. rsi : 0.504885
  42. adx : 0.506503
  43. kc_percentage : 0.769012
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.055143
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.0265832
  46. volume_ema1 : 312617.22907863
  47. volume_ema2 : 321154.57497874
  48. chop : 60.9813
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 126.351
  52. ema21 : 125.45
  53. ema50 : 125.526
  54. ema100 : 127.04
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0117036
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00718359
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000610562
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00621591
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.161295
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.116143
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0247177
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0170027
  65. rsi : 0.695412
  66. adx : 0.278149
  67. kc_percentage : 1.12872
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0290475
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.23321
  70. volume_ema1 : 105303.01480162
  71. volume_ema2 : 137329.84186989
  72. chop : 52.3021
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    74136.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00786399
  78. 5m_price: 
    73553.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.811116
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    74819.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0193637
  83. 15m_price: 
    73370.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.067146
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    77180.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.047001
  88. 1H_price: 
    73553.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.050148
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 19:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 11:00:00
                    [1] => 147.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 21:00:00
                    [1] => 139.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 03:00:00
                    [1] => 142.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:00:00
                    [1] => 131.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 02:00:00
                    [1] => 134.11
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 12:00:00
                    [1] => 121.54
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.869137275371
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.9695573473753
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.342274148429
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:45:00
                    [1] => 131.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 22:30:00
                    [1] => 134
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 00:45:00
                    [1] => 132.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 02:45:00
                    [1] => 134.11
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 04:15:00
                    [1] => 132.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 05:45:00
                    [1] => 133.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 06:00:00
                    [1] => 131.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 10:00:00
                    [1] => 124.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 12:45:00
                    [1] => 121.54
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 14:30:00
                    [1] => 127.83
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19557224438708
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.9695573473753
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.1752509461905
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 07:35:00
                    [1] => 132.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 09:00:00
                    [1] => 128.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 09:35:00
                    [1] => 130.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 10:00:00
                    [1] => 124.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 10:25:00
                    [1] => 130.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 10:35:00
                    [1] => 125.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 11:45:00
                    [1] => 122.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 12:10:00
                    [1] => 125.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 12:50:00
                    [1] => 121.54
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 14:40:00
                    [1] => 127.83
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.19557224438708
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.9695573473753
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.1752509461905
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.20%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.97%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
22 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.18%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.5435
2.74%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.3970
2.72%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-04 07:35:00 132.82 ↑ High
2026-02-04 09:00:00 128.4 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 09:35:00 130.77 ↑ High
2026-02-04 10:00:00 124.11 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 10:25:00 130.12 ↑ High
2026-02-04 10:35:00 125.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 11:45:00 122.29 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 12:10:00 125.29 ↑ High
2026-02-04 12:50:00 121.54 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 14:40:00 127.83 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.20%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.97%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.18%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.8335
3.74%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.3970
2.72%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 21:45:00 131.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 22:30:00 134 ↑ High
2026-02-04 00:45:00 132.12 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 02:45:00 134.11 ↑ High
2026-02-04 04:15:00 132.24 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 05:45:00 133.3 ↑ High
2026-02-04 06:00:00 131.08 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 10:00:00 124.11 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 12:45:00 121.54 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 14:30:00 127.83 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.87%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.97%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.34%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
20.5635
15.91%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.3970
2.72%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 17:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 19:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 11:00:00 147.9 ↑ High
2026-02-02 21:00:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:00:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 21:00:00 131.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 02:00:00 134.11 ↑ High
2026-02-04 12:00:00 121.54 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
04 Feb 2026
14:43:53		 04 Feb 2026
15:00:00		 16 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
127.83 129.2765 124.937 2 129.61
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 127.83
  • Stop Loss: 129.2765
  • Take Profit: 124.937

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 129.2765 - 127.83 = 1.4465

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 127.83 - 124.937 = 2.893

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.893 / 1.4465 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
706.9856 100 5.5307 7.07
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.4465

Taille de position = 8 / 1.4465 = 5.53

Taille de position USD = 5.53 x 127.83 = 706.9

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.53 avec un stoploss a 129.2765

Avec un position size USD de 706.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.53 x 1.4465 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.53 x 2.893 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.53
  • Taille de position USD 706.9
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.26 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.13 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.13
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2517 % 110.61 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 124.937
            [entry_price] => 127.83
            [stop_loss] => 129.42115
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 124.937
            [entry_price] => 127.83
            [stop_loss] => 129.5658
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 124.937
            [entry_price] => 127.83
            [stop_loss] => 129.71045
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-04 15:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.42999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 2.02
            [rr_ratio] => 0.21
            [high] => 129.85000000
            [low] => 127.40000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.34
            [mae_pct] => 1.58
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.21
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-04T14:43:53-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-04T16:43:53-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.09
            [max_drawdown] => 2.02
            [rr_ratio] => 1.03
            [high] => 129.85000000
            [low] => 125.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.63
            [mae_pct] => 1.58
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.03
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-04T14:43:53-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-04T21:43:53-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 127.99000000
            [high_after] => 129.85000000
            [low_before] => 121.54000000
            [low_after] => 126.07000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)