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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 04 Feb 2026 at 14:59:37

Take profit at 126.0662 (2.27 %) and Stop Loss at 130.4519 (1.13 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 04 Feb 2026 at 14:59:37

With 5.4723 MSTR at 128.99$ per unit.

Position size of 705.8674 $

Take profit at 126.0662 (2.27 %) and Stop Loss at 130.4519 (1.13 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.26
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.55
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.65
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.808414

15m : -0.084788

1H : 0.037259

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.21
  4. atr: 0.974611744
Details
  1. score: 1.21
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 127.564
  4. ema21 : 130.044
  5. ema50 : 134.412
  6. ema100 : 138.997
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0111751
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0190707
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0324963
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0719994
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.33466
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.264142
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.217575
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.163202
  17. rsi : 0.452927
  18. adx : 0.471932
  19. kc_percentage : 0.428231
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0941386
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.691935
  22. volume_ema1 : 1836663.4392454
  23. volume_ema2 : 1085539.8258048
  24. chop : 32.2149
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 126.111
  28. ema21 : 126.318
  29. ema50 : 128.247
  30. ema100 : 129.533
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0228251
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0016406
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0150367
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00419209
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.00687911
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.130025
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.125918
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0794344
  41. rsi : 0.571476
  42. adx : 0.46268
  43. kc_percentage : 0.875862
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0565505
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.227212
  46. volume_ema1 : 431882.62634131
  47. volume_ema2 : 351921.55049853
  48. chop : 49.2123
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 127.46
  52. ema21 : 126.229
  53. ema50 : 125.862
  54. ema100 : 127.069
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0120032
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00975224
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00291469
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0151147
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.194649
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.144032
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0478592
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0020196
  65. rsi : 0.744785
  66. adx : 0.334171
  67. kc_percentage : 1.20845
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0294742
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.538046
  70. volume_ema1 : 248098.96730542
  71. volume_ema2 : 161307.83899426
  72. chop : 41.5926
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    74139.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00314538
  78. 5m_price: 
    73906.8
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.808414
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    74991.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0186978
  83. 15m_price: 
    73589.8
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.084788
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    77187.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0425064
  88. 1H_price: 
    73906.8
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.037259
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 17:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-01 19:00:00
                    [1] => 149.84
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 11:00:00
                    [1] => 147.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 21:00:00
                    [1] => 139.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 03:00:00
                    [1] => 142.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:00:00
                    [1] => 131.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 02:00:00
                    [1] => 134.11
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 12:00:00
                    [1] => 121.54
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.7730221459996
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.1790357084088
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.342274148429
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:45:00
                    [1] => 131.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 22:30:00
                    [1] => 134
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 00:45:00
                    [1] => 132.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 02:45:00
                    [1] => 134.11
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 04:15:00
                    [1] => 132.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 05:45:00
                    [1] => 133.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 06:00:00
                    [1] => 131.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 10:00:00
                    [1] => 124.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 12:45:00
                    [1] => 121.54
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 14:45:00
                    [1] => 129.23
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13928654337227
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.1790357084088
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.3271350995557
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 07:35:00
                    [1] => 132.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 09:00:00
                    [1] => 128.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 09:35:00
                    [1] => 130.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 10:00:00
                    [1] => 124.11
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 10:25:00
                    [1] => 130.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 10:35:00
                    [1] => 125.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 11:45:00
                    [1] => 122.29
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 12:10:00
                    [1] => 125.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 12:50:00
                    [1] => 121.54
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 14:55:00
                    [1] => 129.23
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.13928654337227
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.1790357084088
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 25
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.3271350995557
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.18%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
25 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.33%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.3681
1.82%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.5262
3.59%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-04 07:35:00 132.82 ↑ High
2026-02-04 09:00:00 128.4 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 09:35:00 130.77 ↑ High
2026-02-04 10:00:00 124.11 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 10:25:00 130.12 ↑ High
2026-02-04 10:35:00 125.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 11:45:00 122.29 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 12:10:00 125.29 ↑ High
2026-02-04 12:50:00 121.54 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 14:55:00 129.23 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.14%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.18%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.33%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.6581
2.80%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.5262
3.59%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-03 21:45:00 131.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 22:30:00 134 ↑ High
2026-02-04 00:45:00 132.12 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 02:45:00 134.11 ↑ High
2026-02-04 04:15:00 132.24 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 05:45:00 133.3 ↑ High
2026-02-04 06:00:00 131.08 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 10:00:00 124.11 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 12:45:00 121.54 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 14:45:00 129.23 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.77%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.18%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.34%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
19.3881
14.86%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.5262
3.59%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-01 17:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-01 19:00:00 149.84 ↑ High
2026-02-02 09:00:00 135.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-02 11:00:00 147.9 ↑ High
2026-02-02 21:00:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:00:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 21:00:00 131.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 02:00:00 134.11 ↑ High
2026-02-04 12:00:00 121.54 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
04 Feb 2026
14:59:37		 04 Feb 2026
21:10:00		 6 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
128.99 130.4519 126.0662 2 134.14
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 128.99
  • Stop Loss: 130.4519
  • Take Profit: 126.0662

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 130.4519 - 128.99 = 1.4619

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 128.99 - 126.0662 = 2.9238

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.9238 / 1.4619 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
705.8674 100 5.4723 7.06
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.4619

Taille de position = 8 / 1.4619 = 5.47

Taille de position USD = 5.47 x 128.99 = 705.58

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.47 avec un stoploss a 130.4519

Avec un position size USD de 705.58$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.47 x 1.4619 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.47 x 2.9238 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.47
  • Taille de position USD 705.58
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.27 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.13 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 2.27
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6667 % 58.83 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.26
            [max_drawdown] => 0.85999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 2.63
            [high] => 129.85000000
            [low] => 126.73000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.75
            [mae_pct] => 0.67
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.63
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-04T14:59:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-04T16:59:37-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.99
            [max_drawdown] => 0.85999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 5.8
            [high] => 129.85000000
            [low] => 124.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.87
            [mae_pct] => 0.67
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.8
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-04T14:59:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-04T21:59:37-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 129.23000000
            [high_after] => 129.85000000
            [low_before] => 121.54000000
            [low_after] => 126.07000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)