Short Trade on AMZN 05 Feb 2026 at 12:48:33
Take profit at 224.4353 (0.65 %) and Stop Loss at 226.6473 (0.33 %)
Short Trade on AMZN 05 Feb 2026 at 12:48:33
Take profit at 224.4353 (0.65 %) and Stop Loss at 226.6473 (0.33 %)
Position size of 2451.0697 $
Take profit at 224.4353 (0.65 %) and Stop Loss at 226.6473 (0.33 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.61 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2 | 0.43 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.57 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_high |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.209533 15m : 0.060024 1H : -0.035912 |
3 |
Indicators:
69038.4
-0.0281621
67094.2
0.209533
70701.5
-0.0510227
67094.2
0.060024
74644.3
-0.101147
67094.2
-0.035912
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 09:00:00
[1] => 236.71
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 10:00:00
[1] => 245.9
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 15:00:00
[1] => 243.06
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 09:00:00
[1] => 246.54
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
[1] => 235.98
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 03:00:00
[1] => 239.04
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 09:00:00
[1] => 240.55
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 13:00:00
[1] => 232.54
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 21:00:00
[1] => 235.36
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 10:00:00
[1] => 220.96
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.981135282121
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2764301230992
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.5170166545981
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 15:00:00
[1] => 235.39
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 16:00:00
[1] => 233.01
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 16:30:00
[1] => 235.33
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 20:15:00
[1] => 235.36
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 21:00:00
[1] => 235.36
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 22:30:00
[1] => 234.17
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 23:00:00
[1] => 234.17
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 02:15:00
[1] => 235.05
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 10:15:00
[1] => 220.96
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 12:45:00
[1] => 225.99
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2764301230992
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2764301230992
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 05:35:00
[1] => 234.34
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 06:10:00
[1] => 234.12
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 08:00:00
[1] => 228.8
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 08:30:00
[1] => 228.77
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 08:50:00
[1] => 230.4
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 09:30:00
[1] => 222.17
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 10:15:00
[1] => 220.96
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 11:40:00
[1] => 225.57
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 12:20:00
[1] => 224.54
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 12:45:00
[1] => 225.99
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.64576467444554
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.64576467444554
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 05:35:00 | 234.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 06:10:00 | 234.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 08:00:00 | 228.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 08:30:00 | 228.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 08:50:00 | 230.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 09:30:00 | 222.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 10:15:00 | 220.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 11:40:00 | 225.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 12:20:00 | 224.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 12:45:00 | 225.99 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 15:00:00 | 235.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-04 16:00:00 | 233.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-04 16:30:00 | 235.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-04 20:15:00 | 235.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-04 21:00:00 | 235.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-04 22:30:00 | 234.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-04 23:00:00 | 234.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 02:15:00 | 235.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 10:15:00 | 220.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 12:45:00 | 225.99 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 09:00:00 | 236.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 10:00:00 | 245.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-02 15:00:00 | 243.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 09:00:00 | 246.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 14:00:00 | 235.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-04 03:00:00 | 239.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-04 09:00:00 | 240.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-04 13:00:00 | 232.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-04 21:00:00 | 235.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 10:00:00 | 220.96 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb 2026 12:48:33 |
05 Feb 2026 13:20:00 |
31 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225.91 | 226.6473 | 224.4353 | 2 | 207.65 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 226.6473 - 225.91 = 0.7373
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 225.91 - 224.4353 = 1.4747
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4747 / 0.7373 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2451.0697 | 100 | 10.8498 | 24.51 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.7373 = 10.85
Taille de position USD = 10.85 x 225.91 = 2451.12
Donc, tu peux acheter 10.85 avec un stoploss a 226.6473
Avec un position size USD de 2451.12$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10.85 x 0.7373 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10.85 x 1.4747 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.65 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.33 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.65 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0354 % | 10.85 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 224.4354
[stop_loss] => 226.6473
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-05 13:20:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 224.06675
[stop_loss] => 226.6473
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-05 13:20:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 223.6981
[stop_loss] => 226.6473
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-05 13:20:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 223.32945
[stop_loss] => 226.6473
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-05 14:30:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 222.9608
[stop_loss] => 226.6473
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-02-05 14:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 222.59215
[stop_loss] => 226.6473
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-05 15:50:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 222.2235
[stop_loss] => 226.6473
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-05 15:50:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 221.85485
[stop_loss] => 226.6473
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-05 16:00:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 221.4862
[stop_loss] => 226.6473
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-02-05 16:00:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 221.11755
[stop_loss] => 226.6473
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-05 16:00:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 220.7489
[stop_loss] => 226.6473
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-02-05 16:00:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.11
[max_drawdown] => 0.080000000000013
[rr_ratio] => 38.87
[high] => 225.99000000
[low] => 222.80000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.38
[mae_pct] => 0.04
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 38.87
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-05T12:48:33-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-05T14:48:33-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 28.43
[max_drawdown] => 1.13
[rr_ratio] => 25.16
[high] => 227.04000000
[low] => 197.48000000
[mfe_pct] => 12.58
[mae_pct] => 0.5
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 25.16
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-05T12:48:33-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-05T19:48:33-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 230.40000000
[high_after] => 227.04000000
[low_before] => 220.96000000
[low_after] => 198.32000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)