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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 05 Feb 2026 at 20:49:28

Take profit at 105.8529 (2.91 %) and Stop Loss at 110.6036 (1.45 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 05 Feb 2026 at 20:49:28

With 5.0519 MSTR at 109.02$ per unit.

Position size of 550.7583 $

Take profit at 105.8529 (2.91 %) and Stop Loss at 110.6036 (1.45 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.64
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.75
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.95
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.87
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.71299

15m : -0.030064

1H : 0.179876

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 1.055708029
Details
  1. score: 1.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 108.793
  4. ema21 : 113.901
  5. ema50 : 121.708
  6. ema100 : 129.334
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00207757
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0448414
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0641417
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.15707
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.979279
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.756647
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.499478
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.33561
  17. rsi : 0.370704
  18. adx : 0.585152
  19. kc_percentage : 0.23984
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.159011
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.00564636
  22. volume_ema1 : 1110894.2957496
  23. volume_ema2 : 1117202.4287743
  24. chop : 24.0629
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 106.717
  28. ema21 : 106.925
  29. ema50 : 110.347
  30. ema100 : 115.181
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.021572
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00194424
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0310094
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0534939
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0374243
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0984343
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.188588
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.173214
  41. rsi : 0.538087
  42. adx : 0.287757
  43. kc_percentage : 0.731046
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0862851
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.470037
  46. volume_ema1 : 176714.37302763
  47. volume_ema2 : 333446.7111757
  48. chop : 48.7991
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 107.423
  52. ema21 : 106.574
  53. ema50 : 106.409
  54. ema100 : 107.401
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0148604
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00796578
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00155694
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0150694
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.229826
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.140344
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0434565
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00271262
  65. rsi : 0.626945
  66. adx : 0.162032
  67. kc_percentage : 1.12132
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0354864
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.166092
  70. volume_ema1 : 78964.790875447
  71. volume_ema2 : 94692.483903373
  72. chop : 54.8411
  73. regime : bull_high_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    64261.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0151915
  78. 5m_price: 
    65237.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.71299
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    67526.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0339031
  83. 15m_price: 
    65237.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.030064
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    72970.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.105969
  88. 1H_price: 
    65237.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.179876
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 11:00:00
                    [1] => 147.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 21:00:00
                    [1] => 139.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 03:00:00
                    [1] => 142.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:00:00
                    [1] => 131.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 02:00:00
                    [1] => 134.11
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 12:00:00
                    [1] => 121.54
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 16:00:00
                    [1] => 129.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 00:00:00
                    [1] => 123.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 19:00:00
                    [1] => 99.61
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -16.134000770119
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.3263728541311
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 28
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 23.923300873406
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 00:15:00
                    [1] => 123.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 02:00:00
                    [1] => 127.99
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 03:00:00
                    [1] => 124.37
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 04:45:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 09:30:00
                    [1] => 123.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 14:15:00
                    [1] => 111.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 16:45:00
                    [1] => 101.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 18:15:00
                    [1] => 109.49
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 19:00:00
                    [1] => 99.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 20:45:00
                    [1] => 109.07
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15586320711469
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.3263728541311
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.4970384499548
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 12:30:00
                    [1] => 113.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 13:50:00
                    [1] => 109.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 14:15:00
                    [1] => 111.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 15:50:00
                    [1] => 104.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 16:05:00
                    [1] => 109.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 16:45:00
                    [1] => 101.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 18:15:00
                    [1] => 109.49
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 19:10:00
                    [1] => 99.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 20:45:00
                    [1] => 109.07
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15586320711469
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.3263728541311
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 19
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.4970384499548
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.33%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
19 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.50%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.1664
2.86%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.2429
5.90%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-05 12:30:00 113.77 ↑ High
2026-02-05 13:50:00 109.27 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 14:15:00 111.69 ↑ High
2026-02-05 15:50:00 104.45 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 16:05:00 109.36 ↑ High
2026-02-05 16:45:00 101.76 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 18:15:00 109.49 ↑ High
2026-02-05 19:10:00 99.61 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 20:45:00 109.07 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.33%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.50%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
17.3864
15.72%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.2429
5.90%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-05 00:15:00 123.44 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 02:00:00 127.99 ↑ High
2026-02-05 03:00:00 124.37 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 04:45:00 127 ↑ High
2026-02-05 09:30:00 123.07 ↑ High
2026-02-05 14:15:00 111.69 ↑ High
2026-02-05 16:45:00 101.76 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 18:15:00 109.49 ↑ High
2026-02-05 19:00:00 99.61 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 20:45:00 109.07 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-16.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.33%
Bars Since Swing High
28 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
23.92%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
37.2964
33.72%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.2429
5.90%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 11:00:00 147.9 ↑ High
2026-02-02 21:00:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:00:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 21:00:00 131.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 02:00:00 134.11 ↑ High
2026-02-04 12:00:00 121.54 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 16:00:00 129.85 ↑ High
2026-02-05 00:00:00 123.44 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 19:00:00 99.61 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
05 Feb 2026
20:49:28		 06 Feb 2026
00:50:00		 4 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
109.02 110.6036 105.8529 2 133.73
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 109.02
  • Stop Loss: 110.6036
  • Take Profit: 105.8529

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 110.6036 - 109.02 = 1.5836

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 109.02 - 105.8529 = 3.1671

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.1671 / 1.5836 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
550.7583 100 5.0519 5.51
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.5836

Taille de position = 8 / 1.5836 = 5.05

Taille de position USD = 5.05 x 109.02 = 550.55

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.05 avec un stoploss a 110.6036

Avec un position size USD de 550.55$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.05 x 1.5836 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.05 x 3.1671 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.05
  • Taille de position USD 550.55
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.91 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.45 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.45
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.2656 % 155.97 % 9

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 105.8529
            [entry_price] => 109.02
            [stop_loss] => 110.76196
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 105.8529
            [entry_price] => 109.02
            [stop_loss] => 110.92032
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 105.8529
            [entry_price] => 109.02
            [stop_loss] => 111.07868
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 105.8529
            [entry_price] => 109.02
            [stop_loss] => 111.3954
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.62
            [max_drawdown] => 0.55
            [rr_ratio] => 2.95
            [high] => 109.57000000
            [low] => 107.40000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.49
            [mae_pct] => 0.5
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.95
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-05T20:49:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-05T22:49:28-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.62
            [max_drawdown] => 3.51
            [rr_ratio] => 0.46
            [high] => 112.53000000
            [low] => 107.40000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.49
            [mae_pct] => 3.22
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.46
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-05T20:49:28-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-06T03:49:28-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 109.49000000
            [high_after] => 112.53000000
            [low_before] => 99.61000000
            [low_after] => 107.40000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)