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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 06 Feb 2026 at 00:10:48

Take profit at 107.9882 (0.81 %) and Stop Loss at 109.3109 (0.4 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 06 Feb 2026 at 00:10:48

With 18.1441 MSTR at 108.87$ per unit.

Position size of 1975.3535 $

Take profit at 107.9882 (0.81 %) and Stop Loss at 109.3109 (0.4 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.37
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.89
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.73
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.8
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.221041

15m : -0.081292

1H : 0.134551

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.2939423176
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 108.592
  4. ema21 : 112.169
  5. ema50 : 119.647
  6. ema100 : 126.984
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00255686
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0318945
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0624933
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.142652
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.635371
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.650153
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.483859
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.330263
  17. rsi : 0.384995
  18. adx : 0.580153
  19. kc_percentage : 0.27119
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.119656
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.602926
  22. volume_ema1 : 396926.08956618
  23. volume_ema2 : 999629.08172891
  24. chop : 43.5151
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 108.202
  28. ema21 : 107.845
  29. ema50 : 109.417
  30. ema100 : 113.09
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00617001
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00331203
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0143723
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0373201
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0964247
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0641861
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0560997
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.096419
  41. rsi : 0.542666
  42. adx : 0.130599
  43. kc_percentage : 0.736697
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0396693
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.61748
  46. volume_ema1 : 88353.894797669
  47. volume_ema2 : 230978.89657618
  48. chop : 94.0448
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 108.504
  52. ema21 : 108.298
  53. ema50 : 107.866
  54. ema100 : 107.399
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00336791
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00190227
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00400208
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0136897
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0523172
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0301174
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0278581
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0219417
  65. rsi : 0.633024
  66. adx : 0.239306
  67. kc_percentage : 1.0657
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.009058
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.161902
  70. volume_ema1 : 49929.940582853
  71. volume_ema2 : 42972.587167608
  72. chop : 46.7853
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    64055
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0164531
  78. 5m_price: 
    65109
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.221041
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    66636.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0229224
  83. 15m_price: 
    65109
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.081292
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    72243.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0987576
  88. 1H_price: 
    65109
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.134551
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 21:00:00
                    [1] => 139.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 03:00:00
                    [1] => 142.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:00:00
                    [1] => 131.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 02:00:00
                    [1] => 134.11
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 12:00:00
                    [1] => 121.54
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 16:00:00
                    [1] => 129.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 00:00:00
                    [1] => 123.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 19:00:00
                    [1] => 99.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 21:00:00
                    [1] => 109.57
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.70274710230902
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.225981327176
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.9989960847304
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 03:00:00
                    [1] => 124.37
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 04:45:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 09:30:00
                    [1] => 123.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 14:15:00
                    [1] => 111.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 16:45:00
                    [1] => 101.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 18:15:00
                    [1] => 109.49
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 19:00:00
                    [1] => 99.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 21:00:00
                    [1] => 109.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 23:00:00
                    [1] => 107.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-06 00:00:00
                    [1] => 109.03
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21095111437219
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1152416356877
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3289962825279
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 16:45:00
                    [1] => 101.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 18:15:00
                    [1] => 109.49
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 19:10:00
                    [1] => 99.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 21:00:00
                    [1] => 109.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 21:25:00
                    [1] => 107.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 21:40:00
                    [1] => 109.11
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 23:05:00
                    [1] => 107.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 23:25:00
                    [1] => 108.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 23:35:00
                    [1] => 108.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-06 00:05:00
                    [1] => 109.03
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21095111437219
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1152416356877
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.47921850520689
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.12%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.48%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2591
0.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.3782
7.76%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-05 16:45:00 101.76 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 18:15:00 109.49 ↑ High
2026-02-05 19:10:00 99.61 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 21:00:00 109.57 ↑ High
2026-02-05 21:25:00 107.4 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 21:40:00 109.11 ↑ High
2026-02-05 23:05:00 107.6 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 23:25:00 108.51 ↑ High
2026-02-05 23:35:00 108.51 ↑ High
2026-02-06 00:05:00 109.03 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.21%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.12%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.33%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
17.6891
16.18%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.3782
7.76%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-05 03:00:00 124.37 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 04:45:00 127 ↑ High
2026-02-05 09:30:00 123.07 ↑ High
2026-02-05 14:15:00 111.69 ↑ High
2026-02-05 16:45:00 101.76 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 18:15:00 109.49 ↑ High
2026-02-05 19:00:00 99.61 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 21:00:00 109.57 ↑ High
2026-02-05 23:00:00 107.6 ↓ Low
2026-02-06 00:00:00 109.03 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.70%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.23%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
33.2891
30.45%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.3782
7.76%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 21:00:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:00:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 21:00:00 131.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 02:00:00 134.11 ↑ High
2026-02-04 12:00:00 121.54 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 16:00:00 129.85 ↑ High
2026-02-05 00:00:00 123.44 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 19:00:00 99.61 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 21:00:00 109.57 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
06 Feb 2026
00:10:48		 06 Feb 2026
00:40:00		 29 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
108.87 109.3109 107.9882 2 134.05
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 108.87
  • Stop Loss: 109.3109
  • Take Profit: 107.9882

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 109.3109 - 108.87 = 0.4409

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 108.87 - 107.9882 = 0.8818

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.8818 / 0.4409 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1975.3535 100 18.1441 19.75
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4409

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4409 = 18.14

Taille de position USD = 18.14 x 108.87 = 1974.9

Donc, tu peux acheter 18.14 avec un stoploss a 109.3109

Avec un position size USD de 1974.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 18.14 x 0.4409 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 18.14 x 0.8818 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 18.14
  • Taille de position USD 1974.9
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.81 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.4 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.40
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4684 % 115.65 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 107.9882
            [entry_price] => 108.87
            [stop_loss] => 109.35499
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 107.9882
            [entry_price] => 108.87
            [stop_loss] => 109.39908
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 107.9882
            [entry_price] => 108.87
            [stop_loss] => 109.44317
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 107.9882
            [entry_price] => 108.87
            [stop_loss] => 109.53135
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.26
            [max_drawdown] => 3.66
            [rr_ratio] => 0.34
            [high] => 112.53000000
            [low] => 107.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.16
            [mae_pct] => 3.36
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.34
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-06T00:10:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-06T02:10:48-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.26
            [max_drawdown] => 8.06
            [rr_ratio] => 0.16
            [high] => 116.93000000
            [low] => 107.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.16
            [mae_pct] => 7.4
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.16
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-06T00:10:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-06T07:10:48-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 109.57000000
            [high_after] => 115.50000000
            [low_before] => 106.39000000
            [low_after] => 107.61000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)