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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 06 Feb 2026 at 00:38:43

Take profit at 108.3813 (0.8 %) and Stop Loss at 109.6844 (0.4 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 06 Feb 2026 at 00:38:43

With 18.4183 MSTR at 109.25$ per unit.

Position size of 2012.197 $

Take profit at 108.3813 (0.8 %) and Stop Loss at 109.6844 (0.4 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.53
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.85
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.99
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.661595

15m : 0.051065

1H : 0.03349

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 0.2895674119
Details
  1. score: 1.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 108.668
  4. ema21 : 112.204
  5. ema50 : 119.662
  6. ema100 : 126.992
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00535258
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0315152
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0623214
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.139711
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.629983
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.647786
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.482881
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.329789
  17. rsi : 0.394562
  18. adx : 0.578866
  19. kc_percentage : 0.29894
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.120045
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.594015
  22. volume_ema1 : 406280.54466618
  23. volume_ema2 : 1000729.6058583
  24. chop : 43.5273
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 108.467
  28. ema21 : 108.031
  29. ema50 : 109.378
  30. ema100 : 112.93
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00721164
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00404047
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0123214
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0325925
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0734403
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.058927
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.049241
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0916124
  41. rsi : 0.556674
  42. adx : 0.127992
  43. kc_percentage : 0.817893
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0347847
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.782052
  46. volume_ema1 : 46724.480376742
  47. volume_ema2 : 214383.83782441
  48. chop : 97.6172
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 108.845
  52. ema21 : 108.555
  53. ema50 : 108.07
  54. ema100 : 107.586
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00371733
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00267045
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00448747
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0154595
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0515306
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0373049
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.031306
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0235999
  65. rsi : 0.664164
  66. adx : 0.297478
  67. kc_percentage : 1.15339
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00946769
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.647043
  70. volume_ema1 : 11348.16605659
  71. volume_ema2 : 32151.772700594
  72. chop : 54.3911
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    64398.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0212383
  78. 5m_price: 
    65766.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.661595
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    66581.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0124645
  83. 15m_price: 
    65751.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.051065
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    72256.6
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0898178
  88. 1H_price: 
    65766.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.03349
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-02 21:00:00
                    [1] => 139.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 03:00:00
                    [1] => 142.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 14:00:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-03 21:00:00
                    [1] => 131.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 02:00:00
                    [1] => 134.11
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 12:00:00
                    [1] => 121.54
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-04 16:00:00
                    [1] => 129.85
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 00:00:00
                    [1] => 123.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 19:00:00
                    [1] => 99.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 21:00:00
                    [1] => 109.57
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24641781509537
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.7279389619516
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.9989960847304
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 03:00:00
                    [1] => 124.37
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 04:45:00
                    [1] => 127
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 09:30:00
                    [1] => 123.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 14:15:00
                    [1] => 111.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 16:45:00
                    [1] => 101.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 18:15:00
                    [1] => 109.49
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 19:00:00
                    [1] => 99.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 21:00:00
                    [1] => 109.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 23:00:00
                    [1] => 107.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-06 00:30:00
                    [1] => 109.3
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5799256505576
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5799256505576
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 16:45:00
                    [1] => 101.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 18:15:00
                    [1] => 109.49
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 19:10:00
                    [1] => 99.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 21:00:00
                    [1] => 109.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 21:25:00
                    [1] => 107.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 21:40:00
                    [1] => 109.11
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 23:05:00
                    [1] => 107.6
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 23:25:00
                    [1] => 108.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-05 23:35:00
                    [1] => 108.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-06 00:35:00
                    [1] => 109.3
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5799256505576
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.72804349829508
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.58%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.73%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1144
0.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.7713
8.09%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-05 16:45:00 101.76 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 18:15:00 109.49 ↑ High
2026-02-05 19:10:00 99.61 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 21:00:00 109.57 ↑ High
2026-02-05 21:25:00 107.4 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 21:40:00 109.11 ↑ High
2026-02-05 23:05:00 107.6 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 23:25:00 108.51 ↑ High
2026-02-05 23:35:00 108.51 ↑ High
2026-02-06 00:35:00 109.3 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.58%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.58%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
17.3156
15.79%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.7713
8.09%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-05 03:00:00 124.37 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 04:45:00 127 ↑ High
2026-02-05 09:30:00 123.07 ↑ High
2026-02-05 14:15:00 111.69 ↑ High
2026-02-05 16:45:00 101.76 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 18:15:00 109.49 ↑ High
2026-02-05 19:00:00 99.61 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 21:00:00 109.57 ↑ High
2026-02-05 23:00:00 107.6 ↓ Low
2026-02-06 00:30:00 109.3 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.25%
Dist From Last Low Pct
9.73%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
10.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
32.9156
30.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
8.7713
8.09%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-02 21:00:00 139.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 03:00:00 142.6 ↑ High
2026-02-03 14:00:00 127 ↓ Low
2026-02-03 21:00:00 131.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 02:00:00 134.11 ↑ High
2026-02-04 12:00:00 121.54 ↓ Low
2026-02-04 16:00:00 129.85 ↑ High
2026-02-05 00:00:00 123.44 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 19:00:00 99.61 ↓ Low
2026-02-05 21:00:00 109.57 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
06 Feb 2026
00:38:43		 06 Feb 2026
00:45:00		 6 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
109.25 109.6844 108.3813 2 129.29
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 109.25
  • Stop Loss: 109.6844
  • Take Profit: 108.3813

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 109.6844 - 109.25 = 0.4344

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 109.25 - 108.3813 = 0.8687

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.8687 / 0.4344 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2012.197 100 18.4183 20.12
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4344

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4344 = 18.42

Taille de position USD = 18.42 x 109.25 = 2012.39

Donc, tu peux acheter 18.42 avec un stoploss a 109.6844

Avec un position size USD de 2012.39$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 18.42 x 0.4344 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 18.42 x 0.8687 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 18.42
  • Taille de position USD 2012.39
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.8 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.4 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.40
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9245 % 232.52 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 108.3813
            [entry_price] => 109.25
            [stop_loss] => 109.72784
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 108.3813
            [entry_price] => 109.25
            [stop_loss] => 109.77128
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 108.3813
            [entry_price] => 109.25
            [stop_loss] => 109.81472
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 108.3813
            [entry_price] => 109.25
            [stop_loss] => 109.9016
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-06 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.64
            [max_drawdown] => 3.28
            [rr_ratio] => 0.5
            [high] => 112.53000000
            [low] => 107.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.5
            [mae_pct] => 3
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-06T00:38:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-06T02:38:43-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.64
            [max_drawdown] => 7.68
            [rr_ratio] => 0.21
            [high] => 116.93000000
            [low] => 107.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.5
            [mae_pct] => 7.03
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.21
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-06T00:38:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-06T07:38:43-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 109.57000000
            [high_after] => 115.50000000
            [low_before] => 107.40000000
            [low_after] => 107.61000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)